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Neighborhood · Ranked #50,654 of 84,120 nationally

Trails at Coal Creek Eviction Risk: Lower , Lafayette

Tract 08013012904 · Boulder County, CO · pop 6,120 · neighborhood within 0.9 mi

Tract 08013012904 sits in the Trails at Coal Creek area of Lafayette eviction risk, CO, carrying an eviction-risk score of 3.9/10. Population here is 6,120. 44% are severely burdened past the 50% mark. That cohort absorbs no shock: one repair bill or one cut shift converts straight into arrears.

Risk score
3.9
Lower
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 11% Stable renters 10% Owners 79%
Tract context
Occupied units2,679
Renter share21.8%
SVI overall0.26
Poverty rate4.9%
Median income$145,639

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
0 th percentile
Rank, 0th percentileLowHigh
#3 of 3 tracts In Trails at Coal Creek
Very Low
Within parent city
17 th percentile
Rank, 17th percentileLowHigh
#6 of 7 tracts In Lafayette
Very Low
Within county
22 th percentile
Rank, 22nd percentileLowHigh
#61 of 78 tracts In Boulder County
Low
Within state
29 th percentile
Rank, 29th percentileLowHigh
#1,024 of 1,447 tracts In Colorado
Low
Geographic context

Risk heat across Lafayette and the region

Centroid at 39.9916, -105.1122 · click any tract to drill in

Why Trails at Coal Creek scores 3.9

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Lafayette
6.7
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
7.8
State political climate
Colorado legislature & governorship
4.7
Economic stress
4.9% poverty · this tract
1.2
Supply constraint
$2,480 rent vs county FMR
7.0
Rent control risk
Inherited from Lafayette
7.6
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
4.6
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Lafayette
7.1
Housing court bias
Inherited from Lafayette
5.6

How Trails at Coal Creek compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Trails at Coal Creek risk score vs. parent city / county / state3.9This tracttract 0129045.3Lafayetteparent city5.8Countyavg tract in county4.9Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 26

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 4Total filings over 1 yrs
  • 1.29%Avg annual filing rate
  • 1.3%Peak (2002)
  • 4Filings in 2002 (latest validated)
Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Trails at Coal Creek. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Trails at Coal Creek

Pulling hardest the other way is economic stress at 1.2/10. It sits 1.9 points below the Boulder County average of 5.8.

Running hot, regional political climate reads 7.8/10. The voucher gap is 20.5%: households holding assistance that local rents will not absorb, which surfaces as churn rather than arrears. Sitting well above the midpoint, rent-regulation exposure reads 7.6/10.

At $2,480 a month, rents run 17% over what the rest of Lafayette commands. The filing record is not thin: 4 evictions over 1 years of observation.

Filings peaked in 2002 at 1.3% of renter households. In a typical year about 1.3% of renter households face a filing. Nationally it ranks #50,654 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty.

At 22% renter-occupied this is predominantly owner territory, and comps have to be drawn from further out.

These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.

Frequently asked

About tract 08013012904

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 08013012904?

Census tract 08013012904 in the Trails at Coal Creek neighborhood scores 3.9/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 08013012904?

Median gross rent is $2,480/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 53% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 08013012904?

4.9% of residents in tract 08013012904 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 6,120.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 08013012904?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 26th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 9th, household 32th, minority 29th, housing 64th.
Q5

Is tract 08013012904 considered part of Trails at Coal Creek?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 08013012904 fall within Trails at Coal Creek (neighborhood centroid within 0.9 miles, OSM data).
Q6

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 08013012904?

Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 4 eviction filings across 1 validated years in tract 08013012904 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 1.29% of renter households, peaking at 1.3% in 2002. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7

How does tract 08013012904 compare to Lafayette overall?

Tract 08013012904 scores 3.9/10, lower than the parent city of Lafayette at 5.3/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Lafayette eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Lafayette

Top eight tracts in Lafayette ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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