Within neighborhood
100
th percentile
Very High
Neighborhood · Ranked #24,859 of 84,120 nationally
Trails at Coal Creek Eviction Risk: Moderate , Lafayette
Tract 08013012905 · Boulder County, CO · pop 2,671 · neighborhood within 0.9 mi
Census tract 08013012905 covers part of the Trails at Coal Creek area of Lafayette, CO, and scores 5.4/10 on landlord eviction risk. The severe-burden share is 39%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment.
Risk score
5.4
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 36%
Stable renters 22%
Owners 42%
Tract context
Occupied units1,379
Renter share58.1%
SVI overall0.32
Poverty rate5.9%
Median income$76,702
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
67
th percentile
Elevated
Within county
42
th percentile
Moderate
Within state
65
th percentile
Elevated
Geographic context
Risk heat across Lafayette and the region
Centroid at 39.9942, -105.0960 · click any tract to drill in
Why Trails at Coal Creek scores 5.4
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Lafayette
6.7
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
7.8
State political climate
Colorado legislature & governorship
4.7
Economic stress
5.9% poverty · this tract
1.5
Supply constraint
$1,759 rent vs county FMR
3.5
Rent control risk
Inherited from Lafayette
7.6
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
4.6
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Lafayette
7.1
Housing court bias
Inherited from Lafayette
5.6
How Trails at Coal Creek compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 32
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 37%Socioeconomic
- 23%Household composition
- 35%Racial/ethnic minority
- 41%Housing & transportation
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 10Total filings over 1 yrs
- 2.40%Avg annual filing rate
- 2.4%Peak (2002)
- 10Filings in 2002 (latest validated)
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within Trails at Coal Creek. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Trails at Coal Creek
The clearest offset is economic stress at 1.5/10. Cost burden runs 63% here against 52.5% across Boulder County. Running hot, regional political climate reads 7.8/10.
On the high side, rent-regulation exposure reads 7.6/10. At $1,759 a month, rents run 17% under what the rest of Lafayette commands. The filing record is not thin: 10 evictions over 1 years of observation.
The worst year on record was 2002, when 2.4% of renter households were served. In a typical year about 2.4% of renter households face a filing. That is riskier than roughly 70% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model.
CDC social-vulnerability scoring puts the tract at 3.9/10. Of its three components the household composition measure is the least pressured.
Poverty sits at 6%, low enough that arrears here usually signal a specific shock rather than a structural income gap. It tracks the Boulder County average of 5.8 closely.
These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.
Frequently asked
About tract 08013012905
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 08013012905?
Census tract 08013012905 in the Trails at Coal Creek neighborhood scores 5.4/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 08013012905?
Median gross rent is $1,759/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 63% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 08013012905?
5.9% of residents in tract 08013012905 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 2,671.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 08013012905?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 32th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 37th, household 23th, minority 35th, housing 41th.
Q5
Is tract 08013012905 considered part of Trails at Coal Creek?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 08013012905 fall within Trails at Coal Creek (neighborhood centroid within 0.9 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 08013012905?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 10 eviction filings across 1 validated years in tract 08013012905 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 2.40% of renter households, peaking at 2.4% in 2002. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
How does tract 08013012905 compare to Lafayette overall?
Tract 08013012905 scores 5.4/10, right in line with the parent city of Lafayette at 5.3/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Lafayette eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Lafayette
Top eight tracts in Lafayette ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
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