Neighborhood · Lafayette, CO

Trails at Coal Creek Eviction Risk: Lower

3 census tracts · pop 14,406 · pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score 1.5/10 · range 1.2–2.4

Trails at Coal Creek is a white (non-hispanic) neighborhood in Lafayette with 3 census tracts and a population of 14,406 residents. The neighborhood's pop-weighted eviction-risk score of 1.5/10 (Lower tier) blends state law, county-level filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty. 54% of renters here pay at least 30% of household income on rent, and 31% are severely cost-burdened (≥50% of income). Average gross rent of $2,218/month sits 5% higher than the Lafayette citywide average ($2,121).

Risk score

1.5

Lower

3 tracts · population-weighted

Trails at Coal Creek vs Lafayette How this neighborhood stacks against the citywide average

% of income on rent

53.6% +68%

Lafayette: 31.9%

Average gross rent

$2,218 +5%

Lafayette: $2,121

Average HH income

$122,269 +11%

Lafayette: $110,431

Poverty rate

4.9% -19%

Lafayette: 6.1%

Renter share

29.1% -15%

Lafayette: 34.3%

Peer neighborhoods

Neighborhoods with similar eviction risk

Same county, closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Trails at Coal Creek and the region

Click any tract to drill in · 3 tracts span score 1.2–2.4

Why Trails at Coal Creek scores 1.5

9 axes · pop-weighted · 1 = landlord-friendly

State political climate

legislature & governorship · Range 4.7–4.7 across tracts

4.7

Regional political climate

County-level mix · 2024 presidential margin · Range 7.8–7.8 across tracts

7.8

Local political climate

Parent city governance · Range 6.7–6.7 across tracts

6.7

Rent control risk

54% of income on rent · Range 7.6–7.6 across tracts

7.6

Eviction process difficulty

State notice requirements & court backlog · Range 4.6–4.6 across tracts

4.6

Tenant organizing strength

29% renter households · Range 7.1–7.1 across tracts

7.1

Housing court bias

County bench composition · Range 5.6–5.6 across tracts

5.6

Economic stress

4.9% below poverty line · Range 1.1–1.5 across tracts

1.2

Supply constraint

Rent-to-FMR gap & zoning friction · Range 3.5–7.0 across tracts

5.7

Risk score comparison

Trails at Coal Creek vs. parent city, state, U.S.

Eviction Risk Score (0–10 scale).

Variance across tracts

How uniformly does eviction risk play out in Trails at Coal Creek?

Left: distribution of constituent tract scores. Right: every tract as a heat square. Click any square to drill in.

Score distribution

0246810

Spread of 1.2 points from 1.2 to 2.4. Moderate variation across constituent tracts.

Tracts as heat grid

2.4 1.5 1.2

Each square = one census tract. Color tracks the same green→red ramp as the chloropleth map above.

Census tracts

3 tracts in Trails at Coal Creek

Ranked highest-risk first. Click for per-tract detail.

Tract↕	Score↕	Pop↕	% over 30% on rent↕	Average rent↕
08013012905	2.4	2,671	63%	$1,759
08013060900	1.5	5,615	50%	$2,151
08013012904	1.2	6,120	53%	$2,480

Social Vulnerability Index

CDC SVI percentile: 25

Pop-weighted across 3 tracts. Higher = more vulnerable to disaster, displacement, and rent shocks. Source: CDC/ATSDR SVI 2022.

Socioeconomic status 18%ile

Poverty, unemployment, no-HS-diploma, housing cost burden

Household characteristics 25%ile

Single-parent HH, disability, language barriers, age 17- / 65+

Racial/ethnic minority 34%ile

Hispanic + non-white share of population

Housing & transport 51%ile

Multi-unit structures, mobile homes, crowding, no vehicle

Eviction filings · Princeton Eviction Lab

Court-record eviction history in Trails at Coal Creek

Aggregated across 3 validated constituent tracts. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households, pop-weighted.

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

22Total filings (sum)
1.81%Avg annual filing rate
2.4%Peak year (2002)
1.81%Latest filed (2002)

Frequently asked

About Trails at Coal Creek

What is the eviction-risk score for Trails at Coal Creek?

Trails at Coal Creek scores 1.5/10 (Lower tier) across 3 census tracts. The pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income and poverty signals.

How does Trails at Coal Creek compare to Lafayette overall?

Trails at Coal Creek scores 3.0 points lower than Lafayette overall (4.5/10). Renters spend 54% of income on rent vs 32% citywide. Average rent: $2,218 vs $2,121.

What is the average rent in Trails at Coal Creek?

Average gross rent in Trails at Coal Creek is $2,218/month (pop-weighted across 3 census tracts, ACS 5-year 2023). 54% of renter households are cost-burdened.

What percentage of Trails at Coal Creek residents are renters?

29% of Trails at Coal Creek households are renter-occupied (vs 34% in Lafayette). The neighborhood has 14,406 residents.

Is Trails at Coal Creek a high social-vulnerability area?

Trails at Coal Creek sits in the 25th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index (less vulnerable). The index combines poverty, unemployment, household composition, racial/ethnic minority share, and housing/transportation factors across all US census tracts.

Which tracts in Trails at Coal Creek have the highest eviction risk?

The highest-risk constituent tract in Trails at Coal Creek is census tract 08013012905 (score 2.4/10). Across the 3 tracts in this neighborhood the score ranges from 1.2 to 2.4, a spread of 1.2 points.

How safe is Trails at Coal Creek for landlords?

Trails at Coal Creek carries a lower-tier eviction-risk profile for landlords (1.5/10). Pop-weighted across 3 constituent tracts, the score blends parent-city rent-control posture, county eviction-process timelines, and tract-specific rent-to-income / poverty signals. Compared to Lafayette as a whole (4.5/10), this neighborhood is lower-risk.

What is the demographic breakdown of Trails at Coal Creek?

Trails at Coal Creek has 14,374 residents (White (non-Hispanic) Neighborhood). Top groups: White (non-Hispanic) (80.7%), Hispanic / Latino (10.5%), Other / Multiracial (5.1%). Source: ACS 5-year 2023, table B03002.

Nearby

Other neighborhoods near Trails at Coal Creek

2.3 Parkdale 2 tracts · pop 8,523 2.6 Arapahoe Ridge 2 tracts · pop 12,022 1.3 Cross Creek 2 tracts · pop 8,181 2.2 Heatherwood 2 tracts · pop 6,395 5 Keewaydin 2 tracts · pop 8,907 4.4 Table Mesa 2 tracts · pop 5,915

Sibling neighborhoods

Other neighborhoods inside Lafayette

Same parent city, ranked by score similarity to Trails at Coal Creek.

2.4 Parkdale 2 tracts · pop 8,523 2.6 Green Minor 1 tracts · pop 3,687

Zoom out