3 census tracts · pop 14,406 · pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score 4.3/10
· range 3.9–5.4
Trails at Coal Creek spans 3 census tracts of Lafayette, CO, population 14,406. That produces an Eviction Risk Score of 4.3/10, Moderate tier. 54% of renters here are cost-burdened at the 30% threshold, far above the Lafayette rate of 31.9%.
Severe burden reaches 31%. A tenant at that level absorbs no shock: one cut shift or one repair bill converts directly into arrears. The clearest offset is economic stress, at 1.2/10.
Internally this is not one market. Tract scores span 3.9 to 5.4, so two buildings inside the same boundary can carry materially different risk. Sitting well above the midpoint is rent-regulation exposure at 7.6/10. Filings are well documented here: 22 across 3 observed tracts.
On the high side is tenant-organizing strength at 7.1/10. The worst year on record was 2002, when filings touched 2.4% of renter households. Judgments average 1.3% of renter households a year, the share of filings that actually convert to an order.
Poverty sits at 5%, low enough that arrears here usually reflect a specific shock rather than a structural income gap. Average gross rent runs $2,218, close to the Lafayette average. Annual rent works out to 22% of average household income of $122,269.
For a specific building, read the per-tract breakdown below rather than the 4.3 headline, because the internal range is too wide to average safely. Scores move when the ACS release, the court-record feed, or the statute ledger behind them moves.
Risk score
4.3
Moderate
3 tracts · population-weighted
Trails at Coal Creek vs LafayetteHow this neighborhood stacks against the citywide average
Single-parent HH, disability, language barriers, age 17- / 65+
Racial/ethnic minority34%ile
Hispanic + non-white share of population
Housing & transport51%ile
Multi-unit structures, mobile homes, crowding, no vehicle
Eviction filings · Princeton Eviction Lab
Court-record eviction history in Trails at Coal Creek
Aggregated across 3 validated constituent tracts. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households, pop-weighted.
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
22Total filings (sum)
1.81%Avg annual filing rate
2.4%Peak year (2002)
1.81%Latest filed (2002)
Frequently asked
About Trails at Coal Creek
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for Trails at Coal Creek?
Trails at Coal Creek scores 4.3/10 (Moderate tier) across 3 census tracts. The pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income and poverty signals.
Q2
How does Trails at Coal Creek compare to Lafayette overall?
Trails at Coal Creek scores 1.0 points lower than Lafayette overall (5.3/10). Renters spend 54% of income on rent vs 32% citywide. Average rent: $2,218 vs $2,121.
Q3
What is the average rent in Trails at Coal Creek?
Average gross rent in Trails at Coal Creek is $2,218/month (pop-weighted across 3 census tracts, ACS 5-year 2023). 54% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q4
What percentage of Trails at Coal Creek residents are renters?
29% of Trails at Coal Creek households are renter-occupied (vs 34% in Lafayette). The neighborhood has 14,406 residents.
Q5
Is Trails at Coal Creek a high social-vulnerability area?
Trails at Coal Creek sits in the 25th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index (less vulnerable). The index combines poverty, unemployment, household composition, racial/ethnic minority share, and housing/transportation factors across all US census tracts.
Q6
Which tracts in Trails at Coal Creek have the highest eviction risk?
The highest-risk constituent tract in Trails at Coal Creek is census tract 08013012905 (score 5.4/10). Across the 3 tracts in this neighborhood the score ranges from 3.9 to 5.4, a spread of 1.5 points.
Q7
How safe is Trails at Coal Creek for landlords?
Trails at Coal Creek carries a moderate-tier eviction-risk profile for landlords (4.3/10). Pop-weighted across 3 constituent tracts, the score blends parent-city rent-control posture, county eviction-process timelines, and tract-specific rent-to-income / poverty signals. Compared to Lafayette as a whole (5.3/10), this neighborhood is lower-risk.
Q8
What is the demographic breakdown of Trails at Coal Creek?
Trails at Coal Creek has 14,374 residents. Top groups: White (non-Hispanic) (80.7%), Hispanic / Latino (10.5%), Other / Multiracial (5.1%). Source: ACS 5-year 2023, table B03002.
