Within neighborhood
100
th percentile
Very High
Neighborhood · Ranked #18,163 of 84,120 nationally
Northridge Manor Eviction Risk: Elevated , Arvada
Tract 08059009831 · Jefferson County, CO · pop 2,626 · neighborhood within 1.4 mi
With a score of 6/10, tract 08059009831 in the Northridge Manor area of Westminster, CO reads elevated for landlord eviction risk. 100% of occupied units are rented, so comparables are plentiful and vacancy risk is low, but a mispriced renewal loses the tenant to a building nearby.
Risk score
6
Elevated
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 53%
Stable renters 47%
Owners 0%
Tract context
Occupied units1,537
Renter share100.0%
SVI overall0.27
Poverty rate10.7%
Median income$65,801
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
88
th percentile
High
Within county
77
th percentile
High
Within state
80
th percentile
High
Geographic context
Risk heat across Arvada and the region
Centroid at 39.8594, -105.0666 · click any tract to drill in
Why Northridge Manor scores 6
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Arvada
6.7
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.9
State political climate
Colorado legislature & governorship
4.7
Economic stress
10.7% poverty · this tract
2.7
Supply constraint
$1,841 rent vs county FMR
3.6
Rent control risk
Inherited from Arvada
6.8
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
4.1
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Arvada
7.6
Housing court bias
Inherited from Arvada
5.4
How Northridge Manor compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 27
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 63%Socioeconomic
- 2%Household composition
- 60%Racial/ethnic minority
- 24%Housing & transportation
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 96Total filings over 1 yrs
- 7.92%Avg annual filing rate
- 7.9%Peak (2010)
- 96Filings in 2010 (latest validated)
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within Northridge Manor. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Northridge Manor
Set annual rent against average income of $65,801 and the ratio lands at 34%, above the conventional 30% ceiling. Severe burden reaches 20%. Those are renters paying half their income or more, and that is where non-payment filings originate.
What pushes it up most is tenant-organizing strength at 7.6/10. It sits 1.3 points above the Jefferson County average of 4.7.
Sitting well above the midpoint, court filing pressure reads 7.5/10. Well under the midpoint, economic stress reads 2.7/10.
Cost burden runs roughly one in two here against 48.0% across Jefferson County. Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 96 filings here across 1 tracked years. The worst year on record was 2010, when 7.9% of renter households were served.
In a typical year about 7.9% of renter households face a filing. Nationally it ranks #18,163 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty. CDC social-vulnerability scoring puts the tract at 3.5/10.
Statewide the CO average is 4.9, so this tract runs 1.1 points hotter.
These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.
Frequently asked
About tract 08059009831
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 08059009831?
Census tract 08059009831 in the Northridge Manor neighborhood scores 6/10 (Elevated tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 08059009831?
Median gross rent is $1,841/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 53% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 08059009831?
10.7% of residents in tract 08059009831 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 2,626.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 08059009831?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 27th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 63th, household 2th, minority 60th, housing 24th.
Q5
Is tract 08059009831 considered part of Northridge Manor?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 08059009831 fall within Northridge Manor (neighborhood centroid within 1.4 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 08059009831?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 96 eviction filings across 1 validated years in tract 08059009831 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 7.92% of renter households, peaking at 7.9% in 2010. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
How does tract 08059009831 compare to Arvada overall?
Tract 08059009831 scores 6/10, higher than the parent city of Arvada at 4.5/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Arvada eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Arvada
Top eight tracts in Arvada ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Tract · CO
Northridge Manor
6
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · CO
08001009604
6
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · CO
Abbey
6
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · CO
08059010209
5.6
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · CO
08001009607
5.4
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · CO
08001060200
4.8
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · CO
08001009501
4.7
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · CO
Cedar Bridge
4.5
/ 10 · Moderate
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