Within neighborhood
100
th percentile
Very High
Neighborhood · Ranked #61,757 of 84,120 nationally
Northridge Manor Eviction Risk: Lower , Arvada
Tract 08059009831 · Jefferson County, CO · pop 2,626 · neighborhood within 1.4 mi
Here is how census tract 08059009831, in Northridge Manor in Arvada eviction risk, looks to a landlord: a 6.3/10 eviction-risk score (Elevated tier) across a population of 2,626. That is riskier than roughly 83% of the 84,120 US census tracts we score.
53% of renter households here spend at least 30% of income on rent, a severe level, and 20% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average gross rent is $1,841 monthly, set against $65,801 in average yearly household income, roughly 34% of income at the averages. About 100% of occupied units are renter-occupied, a renter-majority tract.
Risk score
2.8
Lower
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 53%
Stable renters 47%
Owners 0%
Tract context
Occupied units1,537
Renter share100.0%
SVI overall0.27
Poverty rate10.7%
Median income$65,801
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
84
th percentile
High
Within county
76
th percentile
High
Within state
44
th percentile
Moderate
Geographic context
Risk heat across Arvada and the region
Centroid at 39.8594, -105.0666 · click any tract to drill in
Why Northridge Manor scores 2.8
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Arvada
6.7
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.9
State political climate
Colorado legislature & governorship
4.7
Economic stress
10.7% poverty · this tract
2.7
Supply constraint
$1,841 rent vs county FMR
3.6
Rent control risk
Inherited from Arvada
6.8
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
4.1
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Arvada
7.6
Housing court bias
Inherited from Arvada
5.4
How Northridge Manor compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 27
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 63%Socioeconomic
- 2%Household composition
- 60%Racial/ethnic minority
- 24%Housing & transportation
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 96Total filings over 1 yrs
- 7.92%Avg annual filing rate
- 7.9%Peak (2010)
- 96Filings in 2010 (latest validated)
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within Northridge Manor. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Northridge Manor
What moves this score most is tenant organizing strength at 7.6/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Arvada eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.
Set against its neighbors, this tract scores above the Jefferson County average of 5.8 and above the Colorado statewide average of 5.7. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.
The tract is White and Hispanic or Latino and ranks around the 27th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. That is a relatively low-vulnerability reading.
Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 96 eviction filings here over 1 tracked years, with about 7.9% of renter households facing a filing in a typical year. Filings peaked at 7.9% of renter households in 2010.
For a landlord, this is a tract where process discipline pays off. Clean paperwork and steady screening keep the elevated risk manageable.
Frequently asked
About tract 08059009831
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 08059009831?
Census tract 08059009831 in the Northridge Manor neighborhood scores 2.8/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 08059009831?
Median gross rent is $1,841/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 53% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 08059009831?
10.7% of residents in tract 08059009831 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 2,626.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 08059009831?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 27th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 63th, household 2th, minority 60th, housing 24th.
Q5
Is tract 08059009831 considered part of Northridge Manor?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 08059009831 fall within Northridge Manor (neighborhood centroid within 1.4 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 08059009831?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 96 eviction filings across 1 validated years in tract 08059009831 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 7.92% of renter households, peaking at 7.9% in 2010. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
How does tract 08059009831 compare to Arvada overall?
Tract 08059009831 scores 2.8/10, lower than the parent city of Arvada at 4.5/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Arvada eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Arvada
Top eight tracts in Arvada ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Tract · CO
08001009604
4
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · CO
Abbey
3.9
/ 10 · Low
Tract · CO
Northridge Manor
3.8
/ 10 · Low
Tract · CO
08001009607
3
/ 10 · Low
Tract · CO
08059010209
2.5
/ 10 · Low
Tract · CO
08001009501
2.5
/ 10 · Low
Tract · CO
08001060200
2.5
/ 10 · Low
Tract · CO
Cedar Bridge
2.3
/ 10 · Low
Related