Within neighborhood
0
th percentile
Very Low
Neighborhood · Ranked #45,786 of 84,120 nationally
Northridge Manor Eviction Risk: Moderate , Arvada
Tract 08059009832 · Jefferson County, CO · pop 2,314 · neighborhood within 1.2 mi
08059009832 is a census tract in the Northridge Manor area of Arvada, CO. It scores 4.2/10 for landlords. Population here is 2,314. The clearest offset is economic stress at 1/10.
Risk score
4.2
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 4%
Stable renters 5%
Owners 91%
Tract context
Occupied units915
Renter share8.9%
SVI overall0.19
Poverty rate2.9%
Median income$106,250
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
52
th percentile
Moderate
Within county
41
th percentile
Moderate
Within state
38
th percentile
Low
Geographic context
Risk heat across Arvada and the region
Centroid at 39.8491, -105.0579 · click any tract to drill in
Why Northridge Manor scores 4.2
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Arvada
6.7
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.9
State political climate
Colorado legislature & governorship
4.7
Economic stress
2.9% poverty · this tract
1.0
Supply constraint
$1,639 rent vs county FMR
2.7
Rent control risk
Inherited from Arvada
7.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
4.4
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Arvada
5.6
Housing court bias
Inherited from Arvada
5.3
How Northridge Manor compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 19
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 15%Socioeconomic
- 13%Household composition
- 43%Racial/ethnic minority
- 44%Housing & transportation
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 17Total filings over 1 yrs
- 9.94%Avg annual filing rate
- 9.9%Peak (2010)
- 17Filings in 2010 (latest validated)
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within Northridge Manor. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Northridge Manor
Against Jefferson County at 48.0%, 41% of renters here are cost-burdened. Running hot, court filing pressure reads 7.5/10.
Running cool, supply constraint reads 2.7/10. The filing record is not thin: 17 evictions over 1 years of observation.
The severe-burden share is 9%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment. At $1,639 a month, rents run 13% under what the rest of Arvada commands. Filings peaked in 2010 at 9.9% of renter households.
In a typical year about 9.9% of renter households face a filing. That is riskier than roughly 46% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model. At 9% renter-occupied this is predominantly owner territory, and comps have to be drawn from further out.
CDC social-vulnerability scoring puts the tract at 2.7/10. Of its three components the household composition measure is the least pressured. Poverty sits at 3%, low enough that arrears here usually signal a specific shock rather than a structural income gap.
It tracks the Jefferson County average of 4.7 closely.
All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.
Frequently asked
About tract 08059009832
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 08059009832?
Census tract 08059009832 in the Northridge Manor neighborhood scores 4.2/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 08059009832?
Median gross rent is $1,639/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 41% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 08059009832?
2.9% of residents in tract 08059009832 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 2,314.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 08059009832?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 19th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 15th, household 13th, minority 43th, housing 44th.
Q5
Is tract 08059009832 considered part of Northridge Manor?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 08059009832 fall within Northridge Manor (neighborhood centroid within 1.2 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 08059009832?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 17 eviction filings across 1 validated years in tract 08059009832 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 9.94% of renter households, peaking at 9.9% in 2010. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
How does tract 08059009832 compare to Arvada overall?
Tract 08059009832 scores 4.2/10, lower than the parent city of Arvada at 4.5/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Arvada eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Arvada
Top eight tracts in Arvada ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Tract · CO
08059010402
5.9
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · CO
Regis
5.9
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · CO
08059010212
5.8
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · CO
08059009833
5.7
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · CO
08059010213
5.6
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · CO
08059010307
5.5
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · CO
08059009834
5.2
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · CO
08059010405
5.1
/ 10 · Moderate
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