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Neighborhood · Arvada, CO

Northridge Manor Eviction Risk: Moderate

2 census tracts · pop 4,940 · pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score 5.2/10 · range 4.2–6

Northridge Manor spans 2 census tracts of Arvada, CO, population 4,940. That produces an Eviction Risk Score of 5.2/10, Moderate tier. Against a Arvada baseline of 30.9%, 47% of renters here cross the 30%-of-income line.

The main counterweight is economic stress, at 1.9/10. Internally this is not one market. Tract scores span 4.2 to 6, so two buildings inside the same boundary can carry materially different risk. Severe burden reaches 15%. A tenant at that level absorbs no shock: one cut shift or one repair bill converts directly into arrears.

Court records carry 113 eviction filings across its 2 observed tracts. Filing activity peaked in 2010 at 9.9% of renter households. At $1,746 a month, rents sit 8% under what the rest of Arvada commands.

Judgments average 6.6% of renter households a year, the share of filings that actually convert to an order. The closest comparables inside the same city are Regis and Mount Olivet. Poverty sits at 7%, low enough that arrears here usually reflect a specific shock rather than a structural income gap.

Annual rent works out to 25% of average household income of $84,748. 57% of occupied units are renter-occupied.

Underwrite the address, not the area: with 1.8 points between its best and worst tract, the per-tract table below is the operative number. The number is rebuilt whenever its ACS, court-record, or statutory inputs change.

Risk score
5.2
Moderate
2 tracts · population-weighted
Northridge Manor vs Arvada How this neighborhood stacks against the citywide average
% of income on rent
47.2% +53%
Arvada: 30.9%
Average gross rent
$1,746 -8%
Arvada: $1,888
Average HH income
$84,748 -25%
Arvada: $113,396
Poverty rate
7.0% +17%
Arvada: 6.0%
Renter share
57.3% +132%
Arvada: 24.7%
Peer neighborhoods

Neighborhoods with similar eviction risk

Same county, closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Northridge Manor and the region

Click any tract to drill in · 2 tracts span score 4.2–6

Why Northridge Manor scores 5.2

9 axes · pop-weighted · 1 = landlord-friendly
State political climate
legislature & governorship · Range 4.7–4.7 across tracts
4.7
Regional political climate
County-level mix · 2024 presidential margin · Range 5.9–5.9 across tracts
5.9
Local political climate
Parent city governance · Range 6.7–6.7 across tracts
6.7
Rent control risk
47% of income on rent · Range 6.8–7.0 across tracts
6.9
Eviction process difficulty
State notice requirements & court backlog · Range 4.1–4.4 across tracts
4.2
Tenant organizing strength
57% renter households · Range 5.6–7.6 across tracts
6.7
Housing court bias
County bench composition · Range 5.3–5.4 across tracts
5.4
Economic stress
7.0% below poverty line · Range 1.0–2.7 across tracts
1.9
Supply constraint
Rent-to-FMR gap & zoning friction · Range 2.7–3.6 across tracts
3.2
Risk score comparison

Northridge Manor vs. parent city, state, U.S.

Eviction Risk Score (0–10 scale).

Northridge Manor score vs. parent city, state, U.S.5.2Northridge ManorNeighborhood4.5Parent cityhost city5.0Stateavg in state5.1U.S.national avgU.S. avg = 5.0
Census tracts

2 tracts in Northridge Manor

Ranked highest-risk first. Click for per-tract detail.

Tract Score Pop % over 30% on rent Average rent
08059009831 6 2,626 53% $1,841
08059009832 4.2 2,314 41% $1,639
Social Vulnerability Index

CDC SVI percentile: 24

Pop-weighted across 2 tracts. Higher = more vulnerable to disaster, displacement, and rent shocks. Source: CDC/ATSDR SVI 2022.

Socioeconomic status 41%ile
Poverty, unemployment, no-HS-diploma, housing cost burden
Household characteristics 8%ile
Single-parent HH, disability, language barriers, age 17- / 65+
Racial/ethnic minority 52%ile
Hispanic + non-white share of population
Housing & transport 33%ile
Multi-unit structures, mobile homes, crowding, no vehicle
Eviction filings · Princeton Eviction Lab

Court-record eviction history in Northridge Manor

Aggregated across 2 validated constituent tracts. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households, pop-weighted.

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 113Total filings (sum)
  • 8.87%Avg annual filing rate
  • 9.9%Peak year (2010)
  • 8.87%Latest filed (2010)
Frequently asked

About Northridge Manor

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for Northridge Manor?

Northridge Manor scores 5.2/10 (Moderate tier) across 2 census tracts. The pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income and poverty signals.
Q2

How does Northridge Manor compare to Arvada overall?

Northridge Manor scores 0.7 points higher than Arvada overall (4.5/10). Renters spend 47% of income on rent vs 31% citywide. Average rent: $1,746 vs $1,888.
Q3

What is the average rent in Northridge Manor?

Average gross rent in Northridge Manor is $1,746/month (pop-weighted across 2 census tracts, ACS 5-year 2023). 47% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q4

What percentage of Northridge Manor residents are renters?

57% of Northridge Manor households are renter-occupied (vs 25% in Arvada). The neighborhood has 4,940 residents.
Q5

Is Northridge Manor a high social-vulnerability area?

Northridge Manor sits in the 24th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index (low vulnerability). The index combines poverty, unemployment, household composition, racial/ethnic minority share, and housing/transportation factors across all US census tracts.
Q6

Which tracts in Northridge Manor have the highest eviction risk?

The highest-risk constituent tract in Northridge Manor is census tract 08059009831 (score 6/10). Across the 2 tracts in this neighborhood the score ranges from 4.2 to 6, a spread of 1.8 points.
Q7

How safe is Northridge Manor for landlords?

Northridge Manor carries a moderate-tier eviction-risk profile for landlords (5.2/10). Pop-weighted across 2 constituent tracts, the score blends parent-city rent-control posture, county eviction-process timelines, and tract-specific rent-to-income / poverty signals. Compared to Arvada as a whole (4.5/10), this neighborhood is higher-risk.
Q8

What is the demographic breakdown of Northridge Manor?

Northridge Manor has 5,172 residents. Top groups: White (non-Hispanic) (63%), Hispanic / Latino (21.8%), Other / Multiracial (7.1%). Source: ACS 5-year 2023, table B03002.
Nearby

Other neighborhoods near Northridge Manor

Sibling neighborhoods

Other neighborhoods inside Arvada

Same parent city, ranked by score similarity to Northridge Manor.

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