Within neighborhood
0
th percentile
Very Low
Neighborhood · Ranked #14,906 of 84,120 nationally
Bella Vira Eviction Risk: Elevated , Fort Collins
Tract 08069000402 · Larimer County, CO · pop 2,509 · neighborhood within 1.4 mi
Census tract 08069000402 covers part of the Bella Vira area of Fort Collins, CO, and scores 6.6/10 on landlord eviction risk. It is home to 2,509 residents. Against Larimer County at 46.1%, 59% of renters here are cost-burdened.
Risk score
6.6
Elevated
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 31%
Stable renters 21%
Owners 48%
Tract context
Occupied units1,114
Renter share52.2%
SVI overall0.15
Poverty rate13.3%
Median income$73,511
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
63
th percentile
Elevated
Within county
79
th percentile
High
Within state
88
th percentile
High
Geographic context
Risk heat across Fort Collins and the region
Centroid at 40.5852, -105.1125 · click any tract to drill in
Why Bella Vira scores 6.6
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Fort Collins
7.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.8
State political climate
Colorado legislature & governorship
4.7
Economic stress
13.3% poverty · this tract
3.3
Supply constraint
$1,633 rent vs county FMR
4.6
Rent control risk
Inherited from Fort Collins
5.5
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
6.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Fort Collins
6.0
Housing court bias
Inherited from Fort Collins
5.5
How Bella Vira compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 15
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 43%Socioeconomic
- 1%Household composition
- 23%Racial/ethnic minority
- 42%Housing & transportation
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 29Total filings over 1 yrs
- 4.27%Avg annual filing rate
- 4.3%Peak (2010)
- 29Filings in 2010 (latest validated)
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within Bella Vira. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Bella Vira
24% are severely burdened past the 50% mark. That cohort absorbs no shock: one repair bill or one cut shift converts straight into arrears. The score leans hardest on local political climate at 7.5/10.
Against the Larimer County average of 5.3, this tract reads riskier for landlords by 1.3 points. Court records carry 29 eviction filings across 1 observed years. The worst year on record was 2010, when 4.3% of renter households were served.
In a typical year about 4.3% of renter households face a filing. That is riskier than roughly 82% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model. Statute speed, court posture and rent-regulation exposure are inherited from Fort Collins eviction risk rather than measured on these blocks; the economic and supply components are the tract-level part of the score.
CDC social-vulnerability scoring puts the tract at 2.3/10. Statewide the CO average is 4.9, so this tract runs 1.7 points hotter. Of its three components the household composition measure is the least pressured.
Average gross rent is $1,633, close to the Fort Collins average.
These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.
Frequently asked
About tract 08069000402
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 08069000402?
Census tract 08069000402 in the Bella Vira neighborhood scores 6.6/10 (Elevated tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 08069000402?
Median gross rent is $1,633/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 59% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 08069000402?
13.3% of residents in tract 08069000402 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 2,509.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 08069000402?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 15th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 43th, household 1th, minority 23th, housing 42th.
Q5
Is tract 08069000402 considered part of Bella Vira?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 08069000402 fall within Bella Vira (neighborhood centroid within 1.4 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 08069000402?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 29 eviction filings across 1 validated years in tract 08069000402 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 4.27% of renter households, peaking at 4.3% in 2010. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
How does tract 08069000402 compare to Fort Collins overall?
Tract 08069000402 scores 6.6/10, higher than the parent city of Fort Collins at 5.9/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Fort Collins eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Fort Collins
Top eight tracts in Fort Collins ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Tract · CO
08069000503
7.3
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · CO
Lexington Green
7.3
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · CO
Bella Vira
7.3
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · CO
Bella Vira
7.3
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · CO
Lexington Green
7.3
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · CO
Woodwest
7.3
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · CO
Woodwest
7.3
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · CO
Parkwood
7.3
/ 10 · Elevated
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