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Neighborhood · Ranked #11,153 of 84,120 nationally

Lexington Green Eviction Risk: Elevated , Fort Collins

Tract 08069000504 · Larimer County, CO · pop 3,042 · neighborhood within 1.3 mi

With a score of 7.3/10, tract 08069000504 in the Lexington Green area of Fort Collins, CO reads elevated for landlord eviction risk. Population here is 3,042. The severe-burden share is 60%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment.

Risk score
7.3
Elevated
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 61% Stable renters 20% Owners 19%
Tract context
Occupied units1,530
Renter share81.0%
SVI overall0.42
Poverty rate46.9%
Median income$34,671

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
100 th percentile
Rank, 100th percentileLowHigh
#1 of 3 tracts In Lexington Green
Very High
Within parent city
85 th percentile
Rank, 85th percentileLowHigh
#8 of 47 tracts In Fort Collins
High
Within county
87 th percentile
Rank, 87th percentileLowHigh
#12 of 86 tracts In Larimer County
High
Within state
94 th percentile
Rank, 94th percentileLowHigh
#85 of 1,447 tracts In Colorado
Very High
Geographic context

Risk heat across Fort Collins and the region

Centroid at 40.5725, -105.1055 · click any tract to drill in

Why Lexington Green scores 7.3

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Fort Collins
7.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.8
State political climate
Colorado legislature & governorship
4.7
Economic stress
46.9% poverty · this tract
10.0
Supply constraint
$1,608 rent vs county FMR
4.5
Rent control risk
Inherited from Fort Collins
5.5
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
6.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Fort Collins
6.0
Housing court bias
Inherited from Fort Collins
5.5

How Lexington Green compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Lexington Green risk score vs. parent city / county / state7.3This tracttract 0005045.9Fort Collinsparent city5.3Countyavg tract in county4.9Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 42

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 9Total filings over 1 yrs
  • 1.02%Avg annual filing rate
  • 1.0%Peak (2010)
  • 9Filings in 2010 (latest validated)
Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Lexington Green. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Lexington Green

75% of renter households cross the 30%-of-income line, well clear of the Larimer County average of 46.1%. Annualized rent equals 56% of average household income of $34,671, past the 30% affordability line, which thins the margin any screening standard has to work with.

The dominant input is economic stress at 10/10. The poverty rate is 47%. Judgments in high-poverty tracts are collectible far less often than filing counts suggest.

81% of occupied units are rented, so comparables are plentiful and vacancy risk is low, but a mispriced renewal loses the tenant to a building nearby. Against the Larimer County average of 5.3, this tract reads riskier for landlords by 2.0 points. Sitting well above the midpoint, local political climate reads 7.5/10.

Court records carry 9 eviction filings across 1 observed years. The worst year on record was 2010, when 1.0% of renter households were served. In a typical year about 1.0% of renter households face a filing.

On the national scale it lands near the 87th percentile of the 84,120 tracts scored. Social vulnerability reads 4.8/10 on the CDC index, a measure of exposure to housing and economic shocks.

Tract-level figures come from the ACS 5-year release and are rebuilt whenever that, the court-record feed, or the statutory ledger behind the score changes.

Frequently asked

About tract 08069000504

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 08069000504?

Census tract 08069000504 in the Lexington Green neighborhood scores 7.3/10 (Elevated tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 08069000504?

Median gross rent is $1,608/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 75% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 08069000504?

46.9% of residents in tract 08069000504 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,042.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 08069000504?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 42th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 90th, household 1th, minority 34th, housing 39th.
Q5

Is tract 08069000504 considered part of Lexington Green?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 08069000504 fall within Lexington Green (neighborhood centroid within 1.3 miles, OSM data).
Q6

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 08069000504?

Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 9 eviction filings across 1 validated years in tract 08069000504 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 1.02% of renter households, peaking at 1.0% in 2010. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7

How does tract 08069000504 compare to Fort Collins overall?

Tract 08069000504 scores 7.3/10, higher than the parent city of Fort Collins at 5.9/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Fort Collins eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Fort Collins

Top eight tracts in Fort Collins ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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