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Neighborhood · Ranked #5,690 of 84,120 nationally

Lexington Green Eviction Risk: Elevated , Fort Collins

Tract 08069000504 · Larimer County, CO · pop 3,042 · neighborhood within 1.3 mi

With a score of 6.6/10, tract 08069000504 in the Lexington Green area of Fort Collins ranks in the Elevated tier for landlord eviction risk. The tract is home to 3,042 residents. That is riskier than about 89% of US census tracts.

Rent eats 30% or more of income for 75% of renter households, a severe level, and 60% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average rent runs $1,608 a month against an average household income of $34,671 a year, roughly 56% of income at the averages. Renters make up 81% of occupied homes, a renter-majority tract.

Risk score
6.8
Elevated
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 61% Stable renters 20% Owners 19%
Tract context
Occupied units1,530
Renter share81.0%
SVI overall0.42
Poverty rate46.9%
Median income$34,671

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
100 th percentile
Rank, 100th percentileLowHigh
#1 of 3 tracts In Lexington Green
Very High
Within parent city
96 th percentile
Rank, 96th percentileLowHigh
#3 of 47 tracts In Fort Collins
Very High
Within county
98 th percentile
Rank, 98th percentileLowHigh
#3 of 86 tracts In Larimer County
Very High
Within state
99 th percentile
Rank, 99th percentileLowHigh
#14 of 1,447 tracts In Colorado
Very High
Geographic context

Risk heat across Fort Collins and the region

Centroid at 40.5725, -105.1055 · click any tract to drill in

Why Lexington Green scores 6.8

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Fort Collins
7.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.8
State political climate
Colorado legislature & governorship
4.7
Economic stress
46.9% poverty · this tract
10.0
Supply constraint
$1,608 rent vs county FMR
4.5
Rent control risk
Inherited from Fort Collins
5.5
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
6.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Fort Collins
6.0
Housing court bias
Inherited from Fort Collins
5.5

How Lexington Green compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Lexington Green risk score vs. parent city / county / stateThis tract: 6.86.8This tracttract 000504Fort Collins: 5.45.4Fort Collinsparent cityCounty: 3.73.7Countyavg tract in countyState: 3.23.2Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 42

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 9Total filings over 1 yrs
  • 1.02%Avg annual filing rate
  • 1.0%Peak (2010)
  • 9Filings in 2010 (latest validated)
Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Lexington Green. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Lexington Green

The heaviest input here is economic stress at $1/10. That part is specific to this tract, computed from its own rent, income, and poverty figures. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Fort Collins eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.

Set against its neighbors, this tract scores above the Larimer County average of 5.4 and above the Colorado statewide average of 5.7. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.

Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 9 eviction filings here over 1 tracked years, with about 1.0% of renter households facing a filing in a typical year. Filings peaked at 1.0% of renter households in 2010.

The tract is predominantly White and ranks around the 42nd percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. That is a middle-of-the-pack reading for social vulnerability.

For a landlord, this is a tract where process discipline pays off. Clean paperwork and steady screening keep the elevated risk manageable.

Frequently asked

About tract 08069000504

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 08069000504?

Census tract 08069000504 in the Lexington Green neighborhood scores 6.8/10 (Elevated tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 08069000504?

Median gross rent is $1,608/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 75% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 08069000504?

46.9% of residents in tract 08069000504 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,042.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 08069000504?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 42th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 90th, household 1th, minority 34th, housing 39th.
Q5

Is tract 08069000504 considered part of Lexington Green?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 08069000504 fall within Lexington Green (neighborhood centroid within 1.3 miles, OSM data).
Q6

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 08069000504?

Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 9 eviction filings across 1 validated years in tract 08069000504 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 1.02% of renter households, peaking at 1.0% in 2010. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7

How does tract 08069000504 compare to Fort Collins overall?

Tract 08069000504 scores 6.8/10, higher than the parent city of Fort Collins at 5.4/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Fort Collins eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Fort Collins

Top eight tracts in Fort Collins ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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