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Neighborhood · Fort Collins, CO

Lexington Green Eviction Risk: Elevated

3 census tracts · pop 14,067 · pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score 6.9/10 · range 6.2–7.3

Lexington Green spans 3 census tracts of Fort Collins, CO and houses 14,067 people. Scored across those inputs it reaches 6.9/10, placing it in the Elevated tier. Severe burden reaches 39%. A tenant at that level absorbs no shock: one cut shift or one repair bill converts directly into arrears.

63% of renters here are cost-burdened at the 30% threshold, dramatically above the Fort Collins rate of 33.7%. 66% of occupied units are rented, so comparables are plentiful and vacancy risk is low, but a mispriced renewal loses the tenant to a building two streets over. The poverty rate is 22%. Judgments in high-poverty tracts are collectible far less often than the filing statistics suggest.

The 3 tracts inside this boundary do not behave alike. Individual scores run 6.2 to 7.3, a 1.1-point gap wide enough that the area average misleads on any specific address. Filings are well documented here: 83 across 3 observed tracts.

The worst year on record was 2010, when filings touched 5.2% of renter households. Among the 27 mapped neighborhoods of Fort Collins, it ranks #7 by risk, the upper third. Judgments average 1.0% of renter households a year, the share of filings that actually convert to an order.

The closest comparables inside the same city are Warren Shores and River Rock Cohousing. Average gross rent runs $1,648, close to the Fort Collins average.

Annual rent works out to 30% of average household income of $66,790.

Underwrite the address, not the area: with 1.1 points between its best and worst tract, the per-tract table below is the operative number. Scores move when the ACS release, the court-record feed, or the statute ledger behind them moves.

Risk score
6.9
Elevated
3 tracts · population-weighted
Lexington Green vs Fort Collins How this neighborhood stacks against the citywide average
% of income on rent
63.4% +88%
Fort Collins: 33.7%
Average gross rent
$1,648 -2%
Fort Collins: $1,690
Average HH income
$66,790 -20%
Fort Collins: $83,598
Poverty rate
22.2% +39%
Fort Collins: 16.0%
Renter share
66.2% +37%
Fort Collins: 48.4%
Peer neighborhoods

Neighborhoods with similar eviction risk

Same county, closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Lexington Green and the region

Click any tract to drill in · 3 tracts span score 6.2–7.3

Why Lexington Green scores 6.9

9 axes · pop-weighted · 1 = landlord-friendly
State political climate
legislature & governorship · Range 4.7–4.7 across tracts
4.7
Regional political climate
County-level mix · 2024 presidential margin · Range 5.8–5.8 across tracts
5.8
Local political climate
Parent city governance · Range 7.5–7.5 across tracts
7.5
Rent control risk
63% of income on rent · Range 5.5–5.5 across tracts
5.5
Eviction process difficulty
State notice requirements & court backlog · Range 6.5–6.5 across tracts
6.5
Tenant organizing strength
66% renter households · Range 6.0–6.0 across tracts
6.0
Housing court bias
County bench composition · Range 5.5–5.5 across tracts
5.5
Economic stress
22.2% below poverty line · Range 2.6–10.0 across tracts
5.2
Supply constraint
Rent-to-FMR gap & zoning friction · Range 4.2–5.3 across tracts
4.7
Risk score comparison

Lexington Green vs. parent city, state, U.S.

Eviction Risk Score (0–10 scale).

Lexington Green score vs. parent city, state, U.S.6.9Lexington GreenNeighborhood5.9Parent cityhost city5.0Stateavg in state5.1U.S.national avgU.S. avg = 5.0
Variance across tracts

How uniformly does eviction risk play out in Lexington Green?

Left: distribution of constituent tract scores. Right: every tract as a heat square. Click any square to drill in.

Score distribution
0246810
Spread of 1.1 points from 6.2 to 7.3. Moderate variation across constituent tracts.
Tracts as heat grid
Each square = one census tract. Color tracks the same green→red ramp as the chloropleth map above.
Census tracts

3 tracts in Lexington Green

Ranked highest-risk first. Click for per-tract detail.

Tract Score Pop % over 30% on rent Average rent
08069001110 7.3 5,284 59% $1,560
08069000504 7.3 3,042 75% $1,608
08069001107 6.2 5,741 62% $1,750
Social Vulnerability Index

CDC SVI percentile: 27

Pop-weighted across 3 tracts. Higher = more vulnerable to disaster, displacement, and rent shocks. Source: CDC/ATSDR SVI 2022.

Socioeconomic status 60%ile
Poverty, unemployment, no-HS-diploma, housing cost burden
Household characteristics 2%ile
Single-parent HH, disability, language barriers, age 17- / 65+
Racial/ethnic minority 31%ile
Hispanic + non-white share of population
Housing & transport 38%ile
Multi-unit structures, mobile homes, crowding, no vehicle
Eviction filings · Princeton Eviction Lab

Court-record eviction history in Lexington Green

Aggregated across 3 validated constituent tracts. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households, pop-weighted.

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 83Total filings (sum)
  • 3.03%Avg annual filing rate
  • 5.2%Peak year (2010)
  • 3.03%Latest filed (2010)
Frequently asked

About Lexington Green

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for Lexington Green?

Lexington Green scores 6.9/10 (Elevated tier) across 3 census tracts. The pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income and poverty signals.
Q2

How does Lexington Green compare to Fort Collins overall?

Lexington Green scores 1.0 points higher than Fort Collins overall (5.9/10). Renters spend 63% of income on rent vs 34% citywide. Average rent: $1,648 vs $1,690.
Q3

What is the average rent in Lexington Green?

Average gross rent in Lexington Green is $1,648/month (pop-weighted across 3 census tracts, ACS 5-year 2023). 63% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q4

What percentage of Lexington Green residents are renters?

66% of Lexington Green households are renter-occupied (vs 48% in Fort Collins). The neighborhood has 14,067 residents.
Q5

Is Lexington Green a high social-vulnerability area?

Lexington Green sits in the 27th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index (less vulnerable). The index combines poverty, unemployment, household composition, racial/ethnic minority share, and housing/transportation factors across all US census tracts.
Q6

Which tracts in Lexington Green have the highest eviction risk?

The highest-risk constituent tract in Lexington Green is census tract 08069001110 (score 7.3/10). Across the 3 tracts in this neighborhood the score ranges from 6.2 to 7.3, a spread of 1.1 points.
Q7

How safe is Lexington Green for landlords?

Lexington Green carries a elevated-tier eviction-risk profile for landlords (6.9/10). Pop-weighted across 3 constituent tracts, the score blends parent-city rent-control posture, county eviction-process timelines, and tract-specific rent-to-income / poverty signals. Compared to Fort Collins as a whole (5.9/10), this neighborhood is higher-risk.
Q8

What is the demographic breakdown of Lexington Green?

Lexington Green has 13,941 residents. Top groups: White (non-Hispanic) (80.1%), Hispanic / Latino (12.1%), Other / Multiracial (5.4%). Source: ACS 5-year 2023, table B03002.
Nearby

Other neighborhoods near Lexington Green

Sibling neighborhoods

Other neighborhoods inside Fort Collins

Same parent city, ranked by score similarity to Lexington Green.

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