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Neighborhood · Ranked #18,240 of 84,120 nationally

Warren Shores Eviction Risk: Moderate , Fort Collins

Tract 08069001003 · Larimer County, CO · pop 5,594 · neighborhood within 0.7 mi

Census tract 08069001003 runs through Warren Shores in Fort Collins. With 5,594 residents, it scores 5.9/10 for landlords. That is riskier than roughly 73% of the 84,120 US census tracts we score.

55% of renter households here spend at least 30% of income on rent, a severe level, and 20% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average gross rent is $1,603 monthly, set against $56,088 in average yearly household income, roughly 34% of income at the averages. About 73% of occupied units are renter-occupied, a renter-majority tract.

Risk score
5.5
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 40% Stable renters 33% Owners 27%
Tract context
Occupied units3,154
Renter share72.5%
SVI overall0.21
Poverty rate16.8%
Median income$56,088

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
100 th percentile
Rank, 100th percentileLowHigh
#1 of 2 tracts In Warren Shores
Very High
Within parent city
74 th percentile
Rank, 74th percentileLowHigh
#13 of 47 tracts In Fort Collins
Elevated
Within county
87 th percentile
Rank, 87th percentileLowHigh
#12 of 86 tracts In Larimer County
High
Within state
93 th percentile
Rank, 93rd percentileLowHigh
#108 of 1,447 tracts In Colorado
Very High
Geographic context

Risk heat across Fort Collins and the region

Centroid at 40.5453, -105.0691 · click any tract to drill in

Why Warren Shores scores 5.5

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Fort Collins
7.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.8
State political climate
Colorado legislature & governorship
4.7
Economic stress
16.8% poverty · this tract
4.2
Supply constraint
$1,603 rent vs county FMR
4.5
Rent control risk
Inherited from Fort Collins
5.5
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
6.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Fort Collins
6.0
Housing court bias
Inherited from Fort Collins
5.5

How Warren Shores compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Warren Shores risk score vs. parent city / county / stateThis tract: 5.55.5This tracttract 001003Fort Collins: 5.45.4Fort Collinsparent cityCounty: 3.73.7Countyavg tract in countyState: 3.23.2Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 21

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 41Total filings over 1 yrs
  • 2.60%Avg annual filing rate
  • 2.6%Peak (2010)
  • 41Filings in 2010 (latest validated)
Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Warren Shores. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Warren Shores

What moves this score most is eviction process difficulty at 6.5/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Fort Collins eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.

Set against its neighbors, this tract scores above the Larimer County average of 5.4 and in line with the Colorado statewide average of 5.7. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.

The tract is predominantly White and ranks around the 21st percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. That is a relatively low-vulnerability reading.

Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 41 eviction filings here over 1 tracked years, with about 2.6% of renter households facing a filing in a typical year. Filings peaked at 2.6% of renter households in 2010.

For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.

Frequently asked

About tract 08069001003

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 08069001003?

Census tract 08069001003 in the Warren Shores neighborhood scores 5.5/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 08069001003?

Median gross rent is $1,603/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 55% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 08069001003?

16.8% of residents in tract 08069001003 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 5,594.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 08069001003?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 21th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 40th, household 4th, minority 40th, housing 36th.
Q5

Is tract 08069001003 considered part of Warren Shores?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 08069001003 fall within Warren Shores (neighborhood centroid within 0.7 miles, OSM data).
Q6

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 08069001003?

Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 41 eviction filings across 1 validated years in tract 08069001003 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 2.60% of renter households, peaking at 2.6% in 2010. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7

How does tract 08069001003 compare to Fort Collins overall?

Tract 08069001003 scores 5.5/10, right in line with the parent city of Fort Collins at 5.4/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Fort Collins eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Fort Collins

Top eight tracts in Fort Collins ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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