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Neighborhood · Ranked #11,153 of 84,120 nationally

Warren Shores Eviction Risk: Elevated , Fort Collins

Tract 08069001003 · Larimer County, CO · pop 5,594 · neighborhood within 0.7 mi

08069001003 is a census tract in the Warren Shores area of Fort Collins, CO. It scores 7.3/10 for landlords. Population here is 5,594. Against the Larimer County average of 5.3, this tract reads riskier for landlords by 2.0 points.

Risk score
7.3
Elevated
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 40% Stable renters 33% Owners 27%
Tract context
Occupied units3,154
Renter share72.5%
SVI overall0.21
Poverty rate16.8%
Median income$56,088

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
100 th percentile
Rank, 100th percentileLowHigh
#1 of 2 tracts In Warren Shores
Very High
Within parent city
94 th percentile
Rank, 94th percentileLowHigh
#4 of 47 tracts In Fort Collins
Very High
Within county
98 th percentile
Rank, 98th percentileLowHigh
#3 of 86 tracts In Larimer County
Very High
Within state
94 th percentile
Rank, 94th percentileLowHigh
#85 of 1,447 tracts In Colorado
Very High
Geographic context

Risk heat across Fort Collins and the region

Centroid at 40.5453, -105.0691 · click any tract to drill in

Why Warren Shores scores 7.3

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Fort Collins
7.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.8
State political climate
Colorado legislature & governorship
4.7
Economic stress
16.8% poverty · this tract
4.2
Supply constraint
$1,603 rent vs county FMR
4.5
Rent control risk
Inherited from Fort Collins
5.5
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
6.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Fort Collins
6.0
Housing court bias
Inherited from Fort Collins
5.5

How Warren Shores compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Warren Shores risk score vs. parent city / county / state7.3This tracttract 0010035.9Fort Collinsparent city5.3Countyavg tract in county4.9Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 21

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 41Total filings over 1 yrs
  • 2.60%Avg annual filing rate
  • 2.6%Peak (2010)
  • 41Filings in 2010 (latest validated)
Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Warren Shores. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Warren Shores

Annualized rent equals 34% of average household income of $56,088, past the 30% affordability line, which thins the margin any screening standard has to work with. 73% of occupied units are rented, so comparables are plentiful and vacancy risk is low, but a mispriced renewal loses the tenant to a building nearby. The severe-burden share is 20%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment.

55% of renter households cross the 30%-of-income line, higher than the Larimer County average of 46.1%. The score leans hardest on local political climate at 7.5/10. Court records carry 41 eviction filings across 1 observed years.

Filings peaked in 2010 at 2.6% of renter households. In a typical year about 2.6% of renter households face a filing.

On the national scale it lands near the 87th percentile of the 84,120 tracts scored. The legal-climate inputs (statute speed, court posture, rent-regulation exposure) come from Fort Collins eviction risk as a whole. Only the economic and supply signals are measured inside this tract. On the CDC Social Vulnerability Index the tract reads 2.9/10, which tracks how hard a shock lands on the households already here.

Statewide the CO average is 4.9, so this tract runs 2.4 points hotter. Of its three components the household composition measure is the least pressured.

Average gross rent is $1,603, close to the Fort Collins average.

Tract-level figures come from the ACS 5-year release and are rebuilt whenever that, the court-record feed, or the statutory ledger behind the score changes.

Frequently asked

About tract 08069001003

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 08069001003?

Census tract 08069001003 in the Warren Shores neighborhood scores 7.3/10 (Elevated tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 08069001003?

Median gross rent is $1,603/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 55% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 08069001003?

16.8% of residents in tract 08069001003 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 5,594.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 08069001003?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 21th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 40th, household 4th, minority 40th, housing 36th.
Q5

Is tract 08069001003 considered part of Warren Shores?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 08069001003 fall within Warren Shores (neighborhood centroid within 0.7 miles, OSM data).
Q6

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 08069001003?

Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 41 eviction filings across 1 validated years in tract 08069001003 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 2.60% of renter households, peaking at 2.6% in 2010. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7

How does tract 08069001003 compare to Fort Collins overall?

Tract 08069001003 scores 7.3/10, higher than the parent city of Fort Collins at 5.9/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Fort Collins eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Fort Collins

Top eight tracts in Fort Collins ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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