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Neighborhood · Ranked #16,032 of 84,120 nationally

Warren Shores Eviction Risk: Elevated , Fort Collins

Tract 08069001007 · Larimer County, CO · pop 3,198 · neighborhood within 0.5 mi

With a score of 6.4/10, tract 08069001007 in the Warren Shores area of Fort Collins, CO reads elevated for landlord eviction risk. It is home to 3,198 residents. 18% are severely burdened past the 50% mark. That cohort absorbs no shock: one repair bill or one cut shift converts straight into arrears.

Risk score
6.4
Elevated
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 29% Stable renters 29% Owners 42%
Tract context
Occupied units1,698
Renter share58.4%
SVI overall0.39
Poverty rate10.5%
Median income$71,382

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
0 th percentile
Rank, 0th percentileLowHigh
#2 of 2 tracts In Warren Shores
Very Low
Within parent city
59 th percentile
Rank, 59th percentileLowHigh
#20 of 47 tracts In Fort Collins
Elevated
Within county
78 th percentile
Rank, 78th percentileLowHigh
#20 of 86 tracts In Larimer County
High
Within state
85 th percentile
Rank, 85th percentileLowHigh
#222 of 1,447 tracts In Colorado
High
Geographic context

Risk heat across Fort Collins and the region

Centroid at 40.5311, -105.0672 · click any tract to drill in

Why Warren Shores scores 6.4

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Fort Collins
7.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.8
State political climate
Colorado legislature & governorship
4.7
Economic stress
10.5% poverty · this tract
2.6
Supply constraint
$1,492 rent vs county FMR
3.8
Rent control risk
Inherited from Fort Collins
5.5
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
6.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Fort Collins
6.0
Housing court bias
Inherited from Fort Collins
5.5

How Warren Shores compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Warren Shores risk score vs. parent city / county / state6.4This tracttract 0010075.9Fort Collinsparent city5.3Countyavg tract in county4.9Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 39

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 7Total filings over 1 yrs
  • 0.71%Avg annual filing rate
  • 0.7%Peak (2010)
  • 7Filings in 2010 (latest validated)
Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Warren Shores. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Warren Shores

What pushes it up most is local political climate at 7.5/10. Well under the midpoint, economic stress reads 2.6/10. Against the Larimer County average of 5.3, this tract reads riskier for landlords by 1.1 points.

Court records carry 7 eviction filings across 1 observed years. Cost burden runs about half here against 46.1% across Larimer County. Average gross rent is $1,492, 12% below the Fort Collins average.

The worst year on record was 2010, when 0.7% of renter households were served. In a typical year about 0.7% of renter households face a filing. That is riskier than roughly 81% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model.

Statute speed, court posture and rent-regulation exposure are inherited from Fort Collins eviction risk rather than measured on these blocks; the economic and supply components are the tract-level part of the score. On the CDC Social Vulnerability Index the tract reads 4.5/10, which tracks how hard a shock lands on the households already here. Statewide the CO average is 4.9, so this tract runs 1.5 points hotter.

These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.

Frequently asked

About tract 08069001007

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 08069001007?

Census tract 08069001007 in the Warren Shores neighborhood scores 6.4/10 (Elevated tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 08069001007?

Median gross rent is $1,492/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 50% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 08069001007?

10.5% of residents in tract 08069001007 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,198.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 08069001007?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 39th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 50th, household 44th, minority 35th, housing 29th.
Q5

Is tract 08069001007 considered part of Warren Shores?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 08069001007 fall within Warren Shores (neighborhood centroid within 0.5 miles, OSM data).
Q6

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 08069001007?

Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 7 eviction filings across 1 validated years in tract 08069001007 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 0.71% of renter households, peaking at 0.7% in 2010. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7

How does tract 08069001007 compare to Fort Collins overall?

Tract 08069001007 scores 6.4/10, higher than the parent city of Fort Collins at 5.9/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Fort Collins eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Fort Collins

Top eight tracts in Fort Collins ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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