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Neighborhood · Ranked #53,267 of 84,120 nationally

Colonial Heights Eviction Risk: Lower , Grand Junction

Tract 08077001002 · Mesa County, CO · pop 7,294 · neighborhood within 1.1 mi

How risky is the Colonial Heights area of Grand Junction for landlords? Census tract 08077001002 scores 5.8/10, the Moderate tier. That is riskier than roughly 69% of the 84,120 US census tracts we score.

50% of renter households here spend at least 30% of income on rent, a severe level, and 17% are severely burdened at 50% or more. The typical renter pays about $1,344 a month while the average household earns $89,024 a year, roughly 18% of income at the averages. About 39% of occupied units are renter-occupied.

Risk score
3.3
Lower
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 19% Stable renters 20% Owners 61%
Tract context
Occupied units3,517
Renter share38.8%
SVI overall0.37
Poverty rate6.3%
Median income$89,024

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
50 th percentile
Rank, 50th percentileLowHigh
#1 of 1 tracts In Colonial Heights
Moderate
Within parent city
17 th percentile
Rank, 17th percentileLowHigh
#16 of 19 tracts In Grand Junction
Very Low
Within county
38 th percentile
Rank, 38th percentileLowHigh
#21 of 33 tracts In Mesa County
Low
Within state
53 th percentile
Rank, 53rd percentileLowHigh
#679 of 1,447 tracts In Colorado
Moderate
Geographic context

Risk heat across Grand Junction and the region

Centroid at 39.1015, -108.5683 · click any tract to drill in

Why Colonial Heights scores 3.3

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Grand Junction
4.2
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
3.6
State political climate
Colorado legislature & governorship
4.7
Economic stress
6.3% poverty · this tract
1.6
Supply constraint
$1,344 rent vs county FMR
5.8
Rent control risk
Inherited from Grand Junction
6.1
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
4.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Grand Junction
7.7
Housing court bias
Inherited from Grand Junction
6.2

How Colonial Heights compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Colonial Heights risk score vs. parent city / county / stateThis tract: 3.33.3This tracttract 001002Grand Junction: 4.34.3Grand Junctionparent cityCounty: 3.83.8Countyavg tract in countyState: 3.23.2Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 37

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 50Total filings over 2 yrs
  • 2.97%Avg annual filing rate
  • 3.3%Peak (2006)
  • 22Filings in 2008 (latest validated)
Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Colonial Heights

What moves this score most is tenant organizing strength at 7.7/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Grand Junction eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.

Set against its neighbors, this tract scores about the same as the Mesa County average of 5.6 and in line with the Colorado statewide average of 5.7. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.

Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 50 eviction filings here over 2 tracked years, with about 3.0% of renter households facing a filing in a typical year. Filings peaked at 3.3% of renter households in 2006.

The tract is predominantly White and ranks around the 37th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. That is a relatively low-vulnerability reading.

For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.

Frequently asked

About tract 08077001002

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 08077001002?

Census tract 08077001002 in the Colonial Heights neighborhood scores 3.3/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 08077001002?

Median gross rent is $1,344/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 50% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 08077001002?

6.3% of residents in tract 08077001002 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 7,294.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 08077001002?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 37th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 39th, household 35th, minority 27th, housing 47th.
Q5

Is tract 08077001002 considered part of Colonial Heights?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 08077001002 fall within Colonial Heights (neighborhood centroid within 1.1 miles, OSM data).
Q6

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 08077001002?

Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 50 eviction filings across 2 validated years in tract 08077001002 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 2.97% of renter households, peaking at 3.3% in 2006. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7

How does tract 08077001002 compare to Grand Junction overall?

Tract 08077001002 scores 3.3/10, lower than the parent city of Grand Junction at 4.3/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Grand Junction eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Grand Junction

Top eight tracts in Grand Junction ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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