Census Tract · Ranked #34,278 of 84,120 nationally

Grand Junction Eviction Risk: Moderate

Tract 08077001303 · Mesa County, CO · pop 2,443 · 52% of tract blocks fall in Grand Junction

Tract 08077001303 sits in Grand Junction eviction risk, CO, carrying an eviction-risk score of 4.9/10. Population here is 2,443. The severe-burden share is 38%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment.

Risk score

4.9

Moderate

Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale

Household mix · 100 hh

Burdened renters 21% Stable renters 24% Owners 55%

Tract context

Occupied units1,179

Renter share45.0%

SVI overall0.60

Poverty rate11.2%

Median income$61,767

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Grand Junction and the region

Centroid at 39.0383, -108.5535 · click any tract to drill in

Why Grand Junction scores 4.9

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly

Local political climate

Inherited from Grand Junction

4.2

Regional political climate

2024 county presidential margin

3.6

State political climate

Colorado legislature & governorship

4.7

Economic stress

11.2% poverty · this tract

2.8

Supply constraint

$913 rent vs county FMR

2.3

Rent control risk

Inherited from Grand Junction

6.1

Eviction process difficulty

State law sets the calendar

4.5

Tenant organizing strength

Inherited from Grand Junction

7.7

Housing court bias

Inherited from Grand Junction

6.2

How Grand Junction compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.

CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 60

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

61%Socioeconomic
60%Household composition
19%Racial/ethnic minority
64%Housing & transportation

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Grand Junction

The score leans hardest on tenant-organizing strength at 7.7/10. On the softer side, supply constraint reads 2.3/10. At $913 a month, rents run 20% under what the rest of Grand Junction commands.

Well under the midpoint, economic stress reads 2.8/10. On the national scale it lands near the 59th percentile of the 84,120 tracts scored.

CDC social-vulnerability scoring puts the tract at 6.4/10. Rent consumes only 18% of average household income of $61,767, an unusually wide affordability cushion. Rent takes 30% or more of income for 46% of renters.

It tracks the Mesa County average of 4.5 closely. 45% of occupied units are renter-occupied.

All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.

Frequently asked

About tract 08077001303

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 08077001303?

Census tract 08077001303 in Grand Junction scores 4.9/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.

What is the average rent in tract 08077001303?

Median gross rent is $913/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 46% of renter households are cost-burdened.

What is the poverty rate in tract 08077001303?

11.2% of residents in tract 08077001303 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 2,443.

How socially vulnerable is tract 08077001303?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 60th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 61th, household 60th, minority 19th, housing 64th.

How does tract 08077001303 compare to Grand Junction overall?

Tract 08077001303 scores 4.9/10, higher than the parent city of Grand Junction at 4.6/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Grand Junction eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.

Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Grand Junction

Top eight tracts in Grand Junction ranked by composite eviction-risk score.