Census Tract · Ranked #37,643 of 84,120 nationally

Grand Junction Eviction Risk: Moderate

Tract 08077001303 · Mesa County, CO · pop 2,443 · 52% of tract blocks fall in Grand Junction

In Grand Junction in Mesa County, census tract 08077001303 scores 5.7/10 for eviction risk. It lands near the 66th percentile nationally for landlord eviction risk.

About 46% of renters carry a rent burden of 30% of income or higher, a severe level, and 38% are severely burdened at 50% or more. The typical renter pays about $913 a month while the average household earns $61,767 a year, roughly 18% of income at the averages. Renters make up 45% of occupied homes.

Risk score

4.2

Moderate

Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale

Household mix · 100 hh

Burdened renters 21% Stable renters 24% Owners 55%

Tract context

Occupied units1,179

Renter share45.0%

SVI overall0.60

Poverty rate11.2%

Median income$61,767

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Grand Junction and the region

Centroid at 39.0383, -108.5535 · click any tract to drill in

Why Grand Junction scores 4.2

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly

Local political climate

Inherited from Grand Junction

4.2

Regional political climate

2024 county presidential margin

3.6

State political climate

Colorado legislature & governorship

4.7

Economic stress

11.2% poverty · this tract

2.8

Supply constraint

$913 rent vs county FMR

2.3

Rent control risk

Inherited from Grand Junction

6.1

Eviction process difficulty

State law sets the calendar

4.5

Tenant organizing strength

Inherited from Grand Junction

7.7

Housing court bias

Inherited from Grand Junction

6.2

How Grand Junction compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.

CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 60

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

61%Socioeconomic
60%Household composition
19%Racial/ethnic minority
64%Housing & transportation

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Grand Junction

The score leans hardest on tenant organizing strength at 7.7/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Grand Junction eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.

Set against its neighbors, this tract scores about the same as the Mesa County average of 5.6 and in line with the Colorado statewide average of 5.7. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.

The tract is predominantly White and ranks around the 60th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. That is a middle-of-the-pack reading for social vulnerability.

For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.

Frequently asked

About tract 08077001303

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 08077001303?

Census tract 08077001303 in Grand Junction scores 4.2/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.

What is the average rent in tract 08077001303?

Median gross rent is $913/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 46% of renter households are cost-burdened.

What is the poverty rate in tract 08077001303?

11.2% of residents in tract 08077001303 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 2,443.

How socially vulnerable is tract 08077001303?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 60th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 61th, household 60th, minority 19th, housing 64th.

How does tract 08077001303 compare to Grand Junction overall?

Tract 08077001303 scores 4.2/10, right in line with the parent city of Grand Junction at 4.3/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Grand Junction eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.

Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Grand Junction

Top eight tracts in Grand Junction ranked by composite eviction-risk score.