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Census Tract · Ranked #41,065 of 84,120 nationally

Dover Eviction Risk: Moderate

Tract 10001040502 · Kent County, DE · pop 2,647 · 41% of tract blocks fall in Dover

Tract 10001040502 covers Dover in Kent County in Delaware. Home to 2,647 residents, it scores 5.5/10 on landlord eviction risk. It lands near the 58th percentile nationally for landlord eviction risk.

Rent eats 30% or more of income for 57% of renter households, a severe level, and 27% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average gross rent is $1,411 monthly, set against $90,227 in average yearly household income, roughly 19% of income at the averages. About 30% of occupied units are renter-occupied.

Risk score
4
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 17% Stable renters 13% Owners 70%
Tract context
Occupied units1,112
Renter share29.8%
SVI overall0.81
Poverty rate7.0%
Median income$90,227

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within parent city
0 th percentile
Rank, 0th percentileLowHigh
#13 of 13 tracts In Dover
Very Low
Within county
60 th percentile
Rank, 60th percentileLowHigh
#17 of 41 tracts In Kent County
Elevated
Within state
68 th percentile
Rank, 68th percentileLowHigh
#83 of 259 tracts In Delaware
Elevated
National
51 th percentile
Rank, 51st percentileLowHigh
#41,065 of 84,120 tracts In U.S.
Moderate
Geographic context

Risk heat across Dover and the region

Centroid at 39.2211, -75.5325 · click any tract to drill in

Why Dover scores 4

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Dover
4.0
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.2
State political climate
Delaware legislature & governorship
3.2
Economic stress
7.0% poverty · this tract
1.8
Supply constraint
$1,411 rent vs county FMR
4.5
Rent control risk
Inherited from Dover
2.5
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
3.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Dover
3.0
Housing court bias
Inherited from Dover
3.5

How Dover compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Dover risk score vs. parent city / county / stateThis tract: 4.04.0This tracttract 040502Dover: 4.54.5Doverparent cityCounty: 3.73.7Countyavg tract in countyState: 3.43.4Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 81

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 568Total filings over 9 yrs
  • 33.16%Avg annual filing rate
  • 52.8%Peak (2010)
  • 66Filings in 2018 (latest validated)
Filings by year 2010 to 2018
Year-by-year eviction filings in tract 100010405022010: 95 filings (52.78/100 renter HHs)2011: 51 filings (29.82/100 renter HHs)2012: 73 filings (42.69/100 renter HHs)2013: 69 filings (40.35/100 renter HHs)2014: 37 filings (21.64/100 renter HHs)2015: 53 filings (30.99/100 renter HHs)2016: 61 filings (25.74/100 renter HHs)2017: 63 filings (26.58/100 renter HHs)2018: 66 filings (27.85/100 renter HHs)
Filings dropped 31% over the past 9 months.
Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Dover

The heaviest input here is supply constraint at 4.5/10. That part is specific to this tract, computed from its own rent, income, and poverty figures. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Dover eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.

Set against its neighbors, this tract scores about the same as the Kent County average of 5.7 and in line with the Delaware statewide average of 5.6. Within its own county it reads on the safer side for landlords.

In CDC survey modeling, about 13.6% of adults here said they could not pay rent or mortgage at some point in the past year, and 8.2% faced a utility shutoff threat, a common early warning before a filing.

The tract is White and Hispanic or Latino and ranks around the 81st percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. High vulnerability tends to track with higher eviction-filing rates when rents climb.

For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.

Frequently asked

About tract 10001040502

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 10001040502?

Census tract 10001040502 in Dover scores 4/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 10001040502?

Median gross rent is $1,411/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 57% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 10001040502?

7.0% of residents in tract 10001040502 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 2,647.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 10001040502?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 81th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 70th, household 66th, minority 68th, housing 89th.
Q5

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 10001040502?

Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 568 eviction filings across 9 validated years in tract 10001040502 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 33.16% of renter households, peaking at 52.8% in 2010. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q6

What share of households in tract 10001040502 struggle to pay rent?

About 13.6% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 8.2% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7

How does tract 10001040502 compare to Dover overall?

Tract 10001040502 scores 4/10, lower than the parent city of Dover at 4.5/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Dover eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Dover

Top eight tracts in Dover ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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