Within parent city
0
th percentile
Very Low
Census Tract · Ranked #63,308 of 84,120 nationally
Lower Grand Lagoon Eviction Risk: Lower
Tract 12005002606 · Bay, FL · pop 1,645 · 98% of tract blocks fall in Lower Grand Lagoon
Tract 12005002606 sits in Lower Grand Lagoon, FL, carrying an eviction-risk score of 3.2/10. 29% of renter households cross the 30%-of-income line, well under the Bay County average of 54.8%.
Risk score
3.2
Lower
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 10%
Stable renters 24%
Owners 66%
Tract context
Occupied units919
Renter share33.9%
SVI overall0.26
Poverty rate10.4%
Median income$84,162
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within county
27
th percentile
Low
Within state
34
th percentile
Low
National
25
th percentile
Low
Geographic context
Risk heat across Lower Grand Lagoon and the region
Centroid at 30.1515, -85.7676 · click any tract to drill in
Why Lower Grand Lagoon scores 3.2
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Lower Grand Lagoon
3.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
2.8
State political climate
Florida legislature & governorship
1.5
Economic stress
10.4% poverty · this tract
2.6
Supply constraint
$1,256 rent vs county FMR
2.8
Rent control risk
Inherited from Lower Grand Lagoon
4.4
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
1.8
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Lower Grand Lagoon
6.8
Housing court bias
Inherited from Lower Grand Lagoon
5.4
How Lower Grand Lagoon compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 26
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 52%Socioeconomic
- 36%Household composition
- 8%Racial/ethnic minority
- 14%Housing & transportation
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 215Total filings over 10 yrs
- 4.69%Avg annual filing rate
- 6.2%Peak (2008)
- 16Filings in 2018 (latest validated)
Filings dropped 50% over the past 10 months.
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Lower Grand Lagoon
The clearest offset is state political climate at 1.5/10. On the softer side, eviction-process difficulty reads 1.8/10. The severe-burden share is 17%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment.
Well under the midpoint, economic stress reads 2.6/10. Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 215 filings here across 10 tracked years.
The worst year on record was 2008, when 6.2% of renter households were served. In a typical year about 4.7% of renter households face a filing.
That is riskier than roughly 25% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model. CDC social-vulnerability scoring puts the tract at 3.4/10.
Against average income of $84,162, annual rent is just 18%. Statewide the FL average is 4.1, so this tract runs 0.9 points cooler.
Of its three components the housing type and transport measure is the least pressured. It tracks the Bay County average of 3.8 closely. Average gross rent is $1,256, close to the Lower Grand Lagoon average.
Tract-level figures come from the ACS 5-year release and are rebuilt whenever that, the court-record feed, or the statutory ledger behind the score changes.
Frequently asked
About tract 12005002606
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 12005002606?
Census tract 12005002606 in Lower Grand Lagoon scores 3.2/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 12005002606?
Median gross rent is $1,256/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 29% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 12005002606?
10.4% of residents in tract 12005002606 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 1,645.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 12005002606?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 26th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 52th, household 36th, minority 8th, housing 14th.
Q5
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 12005002606?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 215 eviction filings across 10 validated years in tract 12005002606 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 4.69% of renter households, peaking at 6.2% in 2008. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q6
How does tract 12005002606 compare to Lower Grand Lagoon overall?
Tract 12005002606 scores 3.2/10, lower than the parent city of Lower Grand Lagoon at 3.6/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Lower Grand Lagoon; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Lower Grand Lagoon
Top eight tracts in Lower Grand Lagoon ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
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