Within parent city
100
th percentile
Very High
Census Tract · Ranked #44,543 of 84,120 nationally
Lower Grand Lagoon Eviction Risk: Lower
Tract 12005002607 · Bay, FL · pop 1,233 · 92% of tract blocks fall in Lower Grand Lagoon
Census tract 12005002607 sits in Lower Grand Lagoon, Florida eviction laws, and carries an eviction-risk score of 4.5/10. That is riskier than about 24% of US census tracts.
29% of renter households here spend at least 30% of income on rent, a moderate level, and 18% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average rent runs $1,180 a month against an average household income of $52,396 a year, roughly 27% of income at the averages. About 32% of occupied units are renter-occupied.
Risk score
3.8
Lower
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 9%
Stable renters 23%
Owners 68%
Tract context
Occupied units640
Renter share32.2%
SVI overall0.49
Poverty rate13.5%
Median income$52,396
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within county
73
th percentile
Elevated
Within state
63
th percentile
Elevated
National
47
th percentile
Moderate
Geographic context
Risk heat across Lower Grand Lagoon and the region
Centroid at 30.1051, -85.7007 · click any tract to drill in
Why Lower Grand Lagoon scores 3.8
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Lower Grand Lagoon
3.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
2.8
State political climate
Florida legislature & governorship
1.5
Economic stress
13.5% poverty · this tract
3.4
Supply constraint
$1,180 rent vs county FMR
2.3
Rent control risk
Inherited from Lower Grand Lagoon
4.4
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
1.8
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Lower Grand Lagoon
6.8
Housing court bias
Inherited from Lower Grand Lagoon
5.4
How Lower Grand Lagoon compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 49
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 45%Socioeconomic
- 49%Household composition
- 32%Racial/ethnic minority
- 58%Housing & transportation
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 197Total filings over 10 yrs
- 6.70%Avg annual filing rate
- 15.1%Peak (2011)
- 9Filings in 2018 (latest validated)
Filings dropped 50% over the past 10 months.
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Lower Grand Lagoon
What moves this score most is tenant organizing strength at 6.8/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Lower Grand Lagoon, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.
Set against its neighbors, this tract scores below the Bay County average of 5.0 and below the Florida statewide average of 4.9. Within its own county it reads on the safer side for landlords.
Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 197 eviction filings here over 10 tracked years, with about 6.7% of renter households facing a filing in a typical year. Filings peaked at 15.1% of renter households in 2011.
The tract is predominantly White and ranks around the 49th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. That is a middle-of-the-pack reading for social vulnerability.
For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.
Frequently asked
About tract 12005002607
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 12005002607?
Census tract 12005002607 in Lower Grand Lagoon scores 3.8/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 12005002607?
Median gross rent is $1,180/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 29% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 12005002607?
13.5% of residents in tract 12005002607 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 1,233.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 12005002607?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 49th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 45th, household 49th, minority 32th, housing 58th.
Q5
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 12005002607?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 197 eviction filings across 10 validated years in tract 12005002607 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 6.70% of renter households, peaking at 15.1% in 2011. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q6
How does tract 12005002607 compare to Lower Grand Lagoon overall?
Tract 12005002607 scores 3.8/10, higher than the parent city of Lower Grand Lagoon at 2.3/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Lower Grand Lagoon; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Lower Grand Lagoon
Top eight tracts in Lower Grand Lagoon ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
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