Within neighborhood
0
th percentile
Very Low
Neighborhood · Ranked #46,312 of 84,120 nationally
Belle Rive Eviction Risk: Lower , Jacksonville
Tract 12031015922 · Duval, FL · pop 3,959 · neighborhood within 0.2 mi
Tract 12031015922, home to 3,959 residents in the Belle Rive area of Jacksonville, scores 4.7/10 for landlord eviction risk. On the national scale it ranks #59,242 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty.
Rent eats 30% or more of income for 58% of renter households, a severe level, and 22% are severely burdened at 50% or more. The typical renter pays about $1,346 a month while the average household earns $51,377 a year, roughly 31% of income at the averages. Renters make up 85% of occupied homes, a renter-majority tract.
Risk score
3.7
Lower
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 49%
Stable renters 36%
Owners 15%
Tract context
Occupied units2,233
Renter share85.3%
SVI overall0.57
Poverty rate6.2%
Median income$51,377
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
40
th percentile
Moderate
Within county
44
th percentile
Moderate
Within state
60
th percentile
Elevated
Geographic context
Risk heat across Jacksonville and the region
Centroid at 30.2096, -81.5593 · click any tract to drill in
Why Belle Rive scores 3.7
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Jacksonville
3.0
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.2
State political climate
Florida legislature & governorship
1.5
Economic stress
6.2% poverty · this tract
1.6
Supply constraint
$1,346 rent vs county FMR
2.8
Rent control risk
Inherited from Jacksonville
1.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
2.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Jacksonville
2.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Jacksonville
3.0
How Belle Rive compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 57
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 54%Socioeconomic
- 29%Household composition
- 71%Racial/ethnic minority
- 64%Housing & transportation
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 1,651Total filings over 10 yrs
- 10.27%Avg annual filing rate
- 8.9%Peak (2007)
- 153Filings in 2016 (latest validated)
Filings dropped 25% over the past 10 months.
Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)
- 1,112Total filings 2020-21
- 14.4Avg monthly (observed)
- 10.5Pre-pandemic baseline
- 1.38×Ratio to baseline
Pandemic filings ran above baseline. Eviction Lab tracked Jacksonville, FL as part of its 34-metro Eviction Tracking System.
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within Belle Rive. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Belle Rive
What moves this score most is housing court bias at $1/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Jacksonville eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.
Set against its neighbors, this tract scores about the same as the Duval County average of 4.8 and in line with the Florida statewide average of 4.9. Within its own county it reads on the safer side for landlords.
Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 1,651 eviction filings here over 10 tracked years, with about 10.3% of renter households facing a filing in a typical year. Filings peaked at 8.9% of renter households in 2007.
During 2020 and 2021, eviction filings here ran at about 1.38x the pre-COVID monthly baseline, above pre-pandemic levels.
For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.
Frequently asked
About tract 12031015922
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 12031015922?
Census tract 12031015922 in the Belle Rive neighborhood scores 3.7/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 12031015922?
Median gross rent is $1,346/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 58% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 12031015922?
6.2% of residents in tract 12031015922 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,959.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 12031015922?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 57th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 54th, household 29th, minority 71th, housing 64th.
Q5
Is tract 12031015922 considered part of Belle Rive?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 12031015922 fall within Belle Rive (neighborhood centroid within 0.2 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 12031015922?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 1,651 eviction filings across 10 validated years in tract 12031015922 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 10.27% of renter households, peaking at 8.9% in 2007. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
Did eviction filings in tract 12031015922 drop during COVID?
Pandemic-era filings ran 1.38× the pre-COVID monthly baseline. Filings ran above pre-pandemic norms. Tracked by the Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Jacksonville eviction risk, FL), 2020-2021.
Q8
How does tract 12031015922 compare to Jacksonville overall?
Tract 12031015922 scores 3.7/10, higher than the parent city of Jacksonville at 2.5/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Jacksonville eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Jacksonville
Top eight tracts in Jacksonville ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Tract · FL
LaVilla
6
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · FL
12031002801
6
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · FL
12031002802
6
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · FL
LaVilla
6
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · FL
12031011000
5.9
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · FL
Riverside
5.9
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · FL
Azalea Terrace
5.9
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · FL
12031002702
5.9
/ 10 · Elevated
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