Within neighborhood
0
th percentile
Very Low
Neighborhood · Ranked #63,308 of 84,120 nationally
Belle Rive Eviction Risk: Lower , Jacksonville
Tract 12031015922 · Duval, FL · pop 3,959 · neighborhood within 0.2 mi
12031015922 is a census tract in the Belle Rive area of Jacksonville, FL. It scores 3.2/10 for landlords. Pulling hardest the other way is rent-regulation exposure at 1/10.
Risk score
3.2
Lower
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 49%
Stable renters 36%
Owners 15%
Tract context
Occupied units2,233
Renter share85.3%
SVI overall0.57
Poverty rate6.2%
Median income$51,377
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
44
th percentile
Moderate
Within county
47
th percentile
Moderate
Within state
34
th percentile
Low
Geographic context
Risk heat across Jacksonville and the region
Centroid at 30.2096, -81.5593 · click any tract to drill in
Why Belle Rive scores 3.2
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Jacksonville
3.0
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.2
State political climate
Florida legislature & governorship
1.5
Economic stress
6.2% poverty · this tract
1.6
Supply constraint
$1,346 rent vs county FMR
2.8
Rent control risk
Inherited from Jacksonville
1.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
2.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Jacksonville
2.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Jacksonville
3.0
How Belle Rive compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 57
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 54%Socioeconomic
- 29%Household composition
- 71%Racial/ethnic minority
- 64%Housing & transportation
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 1,651Total filings over 10 yrs
- 10.27%Avg annual filing rate
- 8.9%Peak (2007)
- 153Filings in 2016 (latest validated)
Filings dropped 25% over the past 10 months.
Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)
- 1,112Total filings 2020-21
- 14.4Avg monthly (observed)
- 10.5Pre-pandemic baseline
- 1.38×Ratio to baseline
Pandemic filings ran above baseline. Eviction Lab tracked Jacksonville, FL as part of its 34-metro Eviction Tracking System.
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within Belle Rive. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Belle Rive
85% of occupied units are rented, so comparables are plentiful and vacancy risk is low, but a mispriced renewal loses the tenant to a building nearby. 22% are severely burdened past the 50% mark. That cohort absorbs no shock: one repair bill or one cut shift converts straight into arrears. Well under the midpoint, state political climate reads 1.5/10.
On the high side, court filing pressure reads 8.4/10. Cost burden runs 58% here against 49.2% across Duval County. Court records carry 1,651 eviction filings across 10 observed years.
The worst year on record was 2007, when 8.9% of renter households were served. At $1,346 a month, rents run 8% under what the rest of Jacksonville commands.
In a typical year about 10.3% of renter households face a filing. Nationally it ranks #63,308 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty. Social vulnerability reads 6.1/10 on the CDC index, a measure of exposure to housing and economic shocks.
All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.
Frequently asked
About tract 12031015922
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 12031015922?
Census tract 12031015922 in the Belle Rive neighborhood scores 3.2/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 12031015922?
Median gross rent is $1,346/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 58% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 12031015922?
6.2% of residents in tract 12031015922 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,959.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 12031015922?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 57th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 54th, household 29th, minority 71th, housing 64th.
Q5
Is tract 12031015922 considered part of Belle Rive?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 12031015922 fall within Belle Rive (neighborhood centroid within 0.2 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 12031015922?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 1,651 eviction filings across 10 validated years in tract 12031015922 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 10.27% of renter households, peaking at 8.9% in 2007. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
Did eviction filings in tract 12031015922 drop during COVID?
Pandemic-era filings ran 1.38× the pre-COVID monthly baseline. Filings ran above pre-pandemic norms. Tracked by the Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Jacksonville eviction risk, FL), 2020-2021.
Q8
How does tract 12031015922 compare to Jacksonville overall?
Tract 12031015922 scores 3.2/10, right in line with the parent city of Jacksonville at 3.4/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Jacksonville eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Jacksonville
Top eight tracts in Jacksonville ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Tract · FL
12031011000
4.8
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · FL
Avondale
4.8
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · FL
Tallulah-North Shore
4.8
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · FL
Azalea Terrace
4.8
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · FL
12031011200
4.8
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · FL
Riverside
4.8
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · FL
12031011300
4.8
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · FL
Belle Rive
4.8
/ 10 · Moderate
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