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Neighborhood · Jacksonville, FL

Belle Rive Eviction Risk: Moderate

2 census tracts · pop 8,424 · pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score 4.4/10 · range 3.7–5

Belle Rive is a white-black neighborhood in Jacksonville with 2 census tracts and a population of 8,424 residents. The neighborhood's pop-weighted eviction-risk score of 4.4/10 (Moderate tier) blends state law, county-level filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty. 65% of renters here pay at least 30% of household income on rent, and 31% are severely cost-burdened (≥50% of income). Average gross rent of $1,278/month sits 13% lower than the Jacksonville citywide average ($1,465).

Risk score
4.4
Moderate
2 tracts · population-weighted
Belle Rive vs Jacksonville How this neighborhood stacks against the citywide average
% of income on rent
64.6% +97%
Jacksonville: 32.8%
Average gross rent
$1,278 -13%
Jacksonville: $1,465
Average HH income
$46,068 -31%
Jacksonville: $66,981
Poverty rate
14.0% -7%
Jacksonville: 15.0%
Renter share
72.2% +70%
Jacksonville: 42.4%
Peer neighborhoods

Neighborhoods with similar eviction risk

Same county, closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Belle Rive and the region

Click any tract to drill in · 2 tracts span score 3.7–5

Why Belle Rive scores 4.4

9 axes · pop-weighted · 1 = landlord-friendly
State political climate
legislature & governorship · Range 1.5–1.5 across tracts
1.5
Regional political climate
County-level mix · 2024 presidential margin · Range 5.2–5.2 across tracts
5.2
Local political climate
Parent city governance · Range 3.0–3.0 across tracts
3.0
Rent control risk
65% of income on rent · Range 1.0–1.0 across tracts
1.0
Eviction process difficulty
State notice requirements & court backlog · Range 2.5–2.5 across tracts
2.5
Tenant organizing strength
72% renter households · Range 2.5–2.5 across tracts
2.5
Housing court bias
County bench composition · Range 3.0–3.0 across tracts
3.0
Economic stress
14.0% below poverty line · Range 1.6–5.3 across tracts
3.6
Supply constraint
Rent-to-FMR gap & zoning friction · Range 2.0–2.8 across tracts
2.4
Risk score comparison

Belle Rive vs. parent city, state, U.S.

Eviction Risk Score (0–10 scale).

Belle Rive score vs. parent city, state, U.S.Belle Rive: 4.44.4Belle RiveNeighborhoodParent city: 2.52.5Parent cityhost cityState: 2.52.5Stateavg in stateU.S.: 4.74.7U.S.national avgU.S. avg = 5.0
Census tracts

2 tracts in Belle Rive

Ranked highest-risk first. Click for per-tract detail.

Tract Score Pop % over 30% on rent Average rent
12031016725 5 4,465 70% $1,217
12031015922 3.7 3,959 58% $1,346
Social Vulnerability Index

CDC SVI percentile: 63

Pop-weighted across 2 tracts. Higher = more vulnerable to disaster, displacement, and rent shocks. Source: CDC/ATSDR SVI 2022.

Socioeconomic status 63%ile
Poverty, unemployment, no-HS-diploma, housing cost burden
Household characteristics 53%ile
Single-parent HH, disability, language barriers, age 17- / 65+
Racial/ethnic minority 67%ile
Hispanic + non-white share of population
Housing & transport 55%ile
Multi-unit structures, mobile homes, crowding, no vehicle
Eviction filings · Princeton Eviction Lab

Court-record eviction history in Belle Rive

Aggregated across 2 validated constituent tracts. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households, pop-weighted.

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 2,756Total filings (sum)
  • 10.68%Avg annual filing rate
  • 15.7%Peak year (2007)
  • 9.21%Latest filed (2016)

Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)

  • 1,458Total filings 2020-21
  • 9.2Avg monthly observed
  • 9.4Pre-pandemic baseline
  • 0.93×Ratio to baseline

Pandemic filings ran below baseline. Tracked under Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Jacksonville, FL).

Frequently asked

About Belle Rive

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for Belle Rive?

Belle Rive scores 4.4/10 (Moderate tier) across 2 census tracts. The pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income and poverty signals.
Q2

How does Belle Rive compare to Jacksonville overall?

Belle Rive scores 1.9 points higher than Jacksonville overall (2.5/10). Renters spend 65% of income on rent vs 33% citywide. Average rent: $1,278 vs $1,465.
Q3

What is the average rent in Belle Rive?

Average gross rent in Belle Rive is $1,278/month (pop-weighted across 2 census tracts, ACS 5-year 2023). 65% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q4

What percentage of Belle Rive residents are renters?

72% of Belle Rive households are renter-occupied (vs 42% in Jacksonville). The neighborhood has 8,424 residents.
Q5

Is Belle Rive a high social-vulnerability area?

Belle Rive sits in the 63rd percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index (moderately vulnerable). The index combines poverty, unemployment, household composition, racial/ethnic minority share, and housing/transportation factors across all US census tracts.
Q6

Which tracts in Belle Rive have the highest eviction risk?

The highest-risk constituent tract in Belle Rive is census tract 12031016725 (score 5/10). Across the 2 tracts in this neighborhood the score ranges from 3.7 to 5, a spread of 1.3 points.
Q7

How safe is Belle Rive for landlords?

Belle Rive carries a moderate-tier eviction-risk profile for landlords (4.4/10). Pop-weighted across 2 constituent tracts, the score blends parent-city rent-control posture, county eviction-process timelines, and tract-specific rent-to-income / poverty signals. Compared to Jacksonville as a whole (2.5/10), this neighborhood is higher-risk.
Q8

What is the demographic breakdown of Belle Rive?

Belle Rive has 8,547 residents (White-Black Neighborhood). Top groups: White (non-Hispanic) (47.4%), Black (non-Hispanic) (27.6%), Hispanic / Latino (18.3%). Source: ACS 5-year 2023, table B03002.
Nearby

Other neighborhoods near Belle Rive

Sibling neighborhoods

Other neighborhoods inside Jacksonville

Same parent city, ranked by score similarity to Belle Rive.

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