Armenia Heights Eviction Risk: Moderate , Tampa

77% of renter households cross the 30%-of-income line, far above the Hillsborough County average of 51.5%. Pulling hardest the other way is state political climate at 1.5/10.

On the softer side, rent-regulation exposure reads 1.5/10. Adults with no health insurance runs 26.4% against 11.3% nationally.

Running cool, supply constraint reads 1.6/10. The poverty rate is 27%, which in this model reads as reduced rent-recovery odds after a judgment.

At $1,298 a month, rents run 24% under what the rest of Tampa commands. Against the Hillsborough County average of 4.2, this tract reads riskier for landlords by 1.2 points. The filing record is not thin: 279 evictions over 11 years of observation.

Filings peaked in 2002 at 8.4% of renter households. In a typical year about 5.7% of renter households face a filing.

That is riskier than roughly 70% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model. On the CDC Social Vulnerability Index the tract reads 9.8/10, which tracks how hard a shock lands on the households already here.

These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.