Within neighborhood
100
th percentile
Very High
Neighborhood · Ranked #19,562 of 84,120 nationally
Armenia Heights Eviction Risk: Moderate , Tampa
Tract 12057000402 · Hillsborough, FL · pop 3,340 · neighborhood within 1.3 mi
Eviction risk in the Armenia Heights neighborhood of Tampa centers on tract 12057000402, which scores 5.2/10 (Moderate tier) and is home to 3,340 residents. That is riskier than about 47% of US census tracts.
Rent eats 30% or more of income for 77% of renter households, a severe level, and 47% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average rent runs $1,298 a month against an average household income of $50,179 a year, roughly 31% of income at the averages. About 39% of occupied units are renter-occupied.
Risk score
5.4
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 30%
Stable renters 9%
Owners 61%
Tract context
Occupied units1,113
Renter share38.7%
SVI overall0.98
Poverty rate27.4%
Median income$50,179
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
79
th percentile
High
Within county
91
th percentile
Very High
Within state
92
th percentile
Very High
Geographic context
Risk heat across Tampa and the region
Centroid at 28.0382, -82.4595 · click any tract to drill in
Why Armenia Heights scores 5.4
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Tampa
4.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.3
State political climate
Florida legislature & governorship
1.5
Economic stress
27.4% poverty · this tract
6.8
Supply constraint
$1,298 rent vs county FMR
1.6
Rent control risk
Inherited from Tampa
1.5
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
3.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Tampa
4.0
Housing court bias
Inherited from Tampa
3.5
How Armenia Heights compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 98
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 91%Socioeconomic
- 81%Household composition
- 80%Racial/ethnic minority
- 99%Housing & transportation
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 279Total filings over 11 yrs
- 5.65%Avg annual filing rate
- 8.4%Peak (2002)
- 23Filings in 2016 (latest validated)
Filings stayed roughly flat over the past 11 months.
Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)
- 182Total filings 2020-21
- 2.5Avg monthly (observed)
- 2.0Pre-pandemic baseline
- 1.24×Ratio to baseline
Pandemic filings ran near baseline. Eviction Lab tracked Tacoma, WA as part of its 34-metro Eviction Tracking System.
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within Armenia Heights. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Armenia Heights
The heaviest input here is economic stress at 6.8/10. That part is specific to this tract, computed from its own rent, income, and poverty figures. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Tampa eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.
Set against its neighbors, this tract scores about the same as the Hillsborough County average of 5.1 and in line with the Florida statewide average of 4.9. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.
Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 279 eviction filings here over 11 tracked years, with about 5.7% of renter households facing a filing in a typical year. Filings peaked at 8.4% of renter households in 2002.
During 2020 and 2021, eviction filings here ran at about 1.24x the pre-COVID monthly baseline, roughly back to the pre-pandemic baseline.
For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.
Frequently asked
About tract 12057000402
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 12057000402?
Census tract 12057000402 in the Armenia Heights neighborhood scores 5.4/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 12057000402?
Median gross rent is $1,298/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 77% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 12057000402?
27.4% of residents in tract 12057000402 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,340.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 12057000402?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 98th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 91th, household 81th, minority 80th, housing 99th.
Q5
Is tract 12057000402 considered part of Armenia Heights?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 12057000402 fall within Armenia Heights (neighborhood centroid within 1.3 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 12057000402?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 279 eviction filings across 11 validated years in tract 12057000402 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 5.65% of renter households, peaking at 8.4% in 2002. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
Did eviction filings in tract 12057000402 drop during COVID?
Pandemic-era filings ran 1.24× the pre-COVID monthly baseline. Filings returned near baseline. Tracked by the Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Tacoma, WA), 2020-2021.
Q8
How does tract 12057000402 compare to Tampa overall?
Tract 12057000402 scores 5.4/10, higher than the parent city of Tampa at 2.7/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Tampa eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Tampa
Top eight tracts in Tampa ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Tract · FL
The Oaks
6.2
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · FL
Altos Verdes
6.1
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · FL
Altos Verdes
6
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · FL
Alameda
6
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · FL
Altamira Heights
6
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · FL
North Tampa Heights
5.9
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · FL
Alameda
5.9
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · FL
Vedado
5.9
/ 10 · Elevated
Related