Within neighborhood
25
th percentile
Low
Neighborhood · Ranked #50,654 of 84,120 nationally
Armenia Heights Eviction Risk: Lower , Tampa
Tract 12057000500 · Hillsborough, FL · pop 4,157 · neighborhood within 0.7 mi
Census tract 12057000500 covers part of the Armenia Heights area of Tampa, FL, and scores 3.9/10 on landlord eviction risk. Population here is 4,157. 25% are severely burdened past the 50% mark. That cohort absorbs no shock: one repair bill or one cut shift converts straight into arrears.
Risk score
3.9
Lower
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 6%
Stable renters 4%
Owners 90%
Tract context
Occupied units1,619
Renter share10.8%
SVI overall0.34
Poverty rate12.8%
Median income$82,619
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
37
th percentile
Low
Within county
44
th percentile
Moderate
Within state
53
th percentile
Moderate
Geographic context
Risk heat across Tampa and the region
Centroid at 28.0434, -82.4731 · click any tract to drill in
Why Armenia Heights scores 3.9
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Tampa
4.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.3
State political climate
Florida legislature & governorship
1.5
Economic stress
12.8% poverty · this tract
3.2
Supply constraint
$2,024 rent vs county FMR
5.2
Rent control risk
Inherited from Tampa
1.5
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
3.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Tampa
4.0
Housing court bias
Inherited from Tampa
3.5
How Armenia Heights compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 34
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 55%Socioeconomic
- 55%Household composition
- 64%Racial/ethnic minority
- 5%Housing & transportation
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 173Total filings over 11 yrs
- 8.21%Avg annual filing rate
- 11.9%Peak (2003)
- 15Filings in 2016 (latest validated)
Filings climbed 15% over the past 11 months.
Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)
- 63Total filings 2020-21
- 0.9Avg monthly (observed)
- 1.1Pre-pandemic baseline
- 0.78×Ratio to baseline
Pandemic filings ran below baseline. Eviction Lab tracked Tacoma, WA as part of its 34-metro Eviction Tracking System.
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within Armenia Heights. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Armenia Heights
The main counterweight is state political climate at 1.5/10. On the softer side, rent-regulation exposure reads 1.5/10.
Against Hillsborough County at 51.5%, 60% of renters here are cost-burdened. Average gross rent is $2,024, 19% above the Tampa average.
Court records carry 173 eviction filings across 11 observed years. Well under the midpoint, eviction-process difficulty reads 3/10.
Filings peaked in 2003 at 11.9% of renter households. In a typical year about 8.2% of renter households face a filing. That is riskier than roughly 40% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model.
Only 11% of units are renter-occupied. Rental comparables are thin; price a renewal off the nearest genuine rental sub-market rather than off surrounding sale prices. Social vulnerability reads 4.1/10 on the CDC index, a measure of exposure to housing and economic shocks. Of its three components the housing type and transport measure is the least pressured.
It tracks the Hillsborough County average of 4.2 closely. Annual rent works out to 29% of average household income of $82,619.
These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.
Frequently asked
About tract 12057000500
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 12057000500?
Census tract 12057000500 in the Armenia Heights neighborhood scores 3.9/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 12057000500?
Median gross rent is $2,024/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 60% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 12057000500?
12.8% of residents in tract 12057000500 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 4,157.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 12057000500?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 34th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 55th, household 55th, minority 64th, housing 5th.
Q5
Is tract 12057000500 considered part of Armenia Heights?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 12057000500 fall within Armenia Heights (neighborhood centroid within 0.7 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 12057000500?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 173 eviction filings across 11 validated years in tract 12057000500 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 8.21% of renter households, peaking at 11.9% in 2003. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
Did eviction filings in tract 12057000500 drop during COVID?
Pandemic-era filings ran 0.78× the pre-COVID monthly baseline. Filings ran modestly below normal. Tracked by the Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Tacoma, WA), 2020-2021.
Q8
How does tract 12057000500 compare to Tampa overall?
Tract 12057000500 scores 3.9/10, right in line with the parent city of Tampa at 4/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Tampa eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Tampa
Top eight tracts in Tampa ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Tract · FL
Altos Verdes
5.4
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · FL
Morey Heights
5.4
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · FL
Arlington Heights
5.4
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · FL
Alameda
5.4
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · FL
Armenia Heights
5.4
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · FL
Alameda
5.4
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · FL
Armenia Heights
5.4
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · FL
Miranda
5.4
/ 10 · Moderate
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