Within neighborhood
50
th percentile
Moderate
Neighborhood · Ranked #41,065 of 84,120 nationally
Armenia Heights Eviction Risk: Moderate , Tampa
Tract 12057011907 · Hillsborough, FL · pop 3,524 · neighborhood within 0.7 mi
Landlord eviction risk in census tract 12057011907 (the Armenia Heights neighborhood of Tampa, Florida) comes in at 5.8/10, the Moderate tier. That is riskier than about 69% of US census tracts.
50% of renter households here spend at least 30% of income on rent, a severe level, and 23% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average gross rent is $1,680 monthly, set against $64,107 in average yearly household income, roughly 31% of income at the averages. About 66% of occupied units are renter-occupied, a renter-majority tract.
Risk score
4
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 33%
Stable renters 33%
Owners 34%
Tract context
Occupied units1,494
Renter share66.1%
SVI overall0.72
Poverty rate11.3%
Median income$64,107
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
13
th percentile
Very Low
Within county
63
th percentile
Elevated
Within state
68
th percentile
Elevated
Geographic context
Risk heat across Tampa and the region
Centroid at 28.0307, -82.4903 · click any tract to drill in
Why Armenia Heights scores 4
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Tampa
5.8
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.3
State political climate
Florida legislature & governorship
1.5
Economic stress
11.3% poverty · this tract
2.8
Supply constraint
$1,680 rent vs county FMR
3.5
Rent control risk
Inherited from Tampa
8.4
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
1.6
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Tampa
9.3
Housing court bias
Inherited from Tampa
7.8
How Armenia Heights compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 72
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 71%Socioeconomic
- 15%Household composition
- 79%Racial/ethnic minority
- 91%Housing & transportation
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)
- 514Total filings 2020-21
- 7.0Avg monthly (observed)
- 4.7Pre-pandemic baseline
- 1.50×Ratio to baseline
Pandemic filings ran above baseline. Eviction Lab tracked Tacoma, WA as part of its 34-metro Eviction Tracking System.
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within Armenia Heights. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Armenia Heights
The heaviest input here is tenant organizing strength at 9.3/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Tampa eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.
Set against its neighbors, this tract scores above the Hillsborough County average of 5.1 and above the Florida statewide average of 4.9. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.
During 2020 and 2021, eviction filings here ran at about 1.50x the pre-COVID monthly baseline, above pre-pandemic levels.
The tract is Hispanic or Latino and White and ranks around the 72nd percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. That is a middle-of-the-pack reading for social vulnerability.
For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.
Frequently asked
About tract 12057011907
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 12057011907?
Census tract 12057011907 in the Armenia Heights neighborhood scores 4/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 12057011907?
Median gross rent is $1,680/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 50% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 12057011907?
11.3% of residents in tract 12057011907 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,524.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 12057011907?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 72th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 71th, household 15th, minority 79th, housing 91th.
Q5
Is tract 12057011907 considered part of Armenia Heights?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 12057011907 fall within Armenia Heights (neighborhood centroid within 0.7 miles, OSM data).
Q6
Did eviction filings in tract 12057011907 drop during COVID?
Pandemic-era filings ran 1.50× the pre-COVID monthly baseline. Filings ran above pre-pandemic norms. Tracked by the Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Tacoma, WA), 2020-2021.
Q7
How does tract 12057011907 compare to Tampa overall?
Tract 12057011907 scores 4/10, higher than the parent city of Tampa at 2.7/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Tampa eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Tampa
Top eight tracts in Tampa ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Tract · FL
Ansley Park
5.5
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · FL
Ansley Park
5.2
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · FL
Al Dana Park
5.2
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · FL
Arbor Oaks
4.8
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · FL
Pine Crest Manor
4.7
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · FL
West Park
4.5
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · FL
Armenia Court
4.4
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · FL
Ansley Park
3.5
/ 10 · Low
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