Within neighborhood
0
th percentile
Very Low
Neighborhood · Ranked #67,219 of 84,120 nationally
Armenia Heights Eviction Risk: Lower , Tampa
Tract 12057011304 · Hillsborough, FL · pop 5,841 · neighborhood within 1.1 mi
Tract 12057011304 sits in the Armenia Heights area of Carrollwood, FL, carrying an eviction-risk score of 3/10. Population here is 5,841. 51% are severely burdened past the 50% mark. That cohort absorbs no shock: one repair bill or one cut shift converts straight into arrears.
Risk score
3
Lower
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 10%
Stable renters 7%
Owners 83%
Tract context
Occupied units2,426
Renter share17.0%
SVI overall0.19
Poverty rate7.0%
Median income$111,311
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
14
th percentile
Very Low
Within county
18
th percentile
Very Low
Within state
28
th percentile
Low
Geographic context
Risk heat across Tampa and the region
Centroid at 28.0470, -82.4955 · click any tract to drill in
Why Armenia Heights scores 3
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Tampa
5.8
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.3
State political climate
Florida legislature & governorship
1.5
Economic stress
7.0% poverty · this tract
1.8
Supply constraint
$1,219 rent vs county FMR
1.2
Rent control risk
Inherited from Tampa
7.9
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
1.1
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Tampa
6.7
Housing court bias
Inherited from Tampa
6.0
How Armenia Heights compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 19
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 19%Socioeconomic
- 61%Household composition
- 41%Racial/ethnic minority
- 11%Housing & transportation
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 285Total filings over 11 yrs
- 4.28%Avg annual filing rate
- 7.0%Peak (2009)
- 31Filings in 2016 (latest validated)
Filings climbed 210% over the past 11 months.
Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)
- 185Total filings 2020-21
- 2.5Avg monthly (observed)
- 2.0Pre-pandemic baseline
- 1.26×Ratio to baseline
Pandemic filings ran near baseline. Eviction Lab tracked Tacoma, WA as part of its 34-metro Eviction Tracking System.
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within Armenia Heights. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Armenia Heights
Pulling hardest the other way is eviction-process difficulty at 1.1/10. On the softer side, supply constraint reads 1.2/10.
Average gross rent is $1,219, 29% below the Carrollwood average. Well under the midpoint, state political climate reads 1.5/10. It sits 1.2 points below the Hillsborough County average of 4.2.
The filing record is not thin: 285 evictions over 11 years of observation. Against Hillsborough County at 51.5%, 56% of renters here are cost-burdened. Filings peaked in 2009 at 7.0% of renter households.
In a typical year about 4.3% of renter households face a filing. On the national scale it lands near the 20th percentile of the 84,120 tracts scored. At 17% renter-occupied this is predominantly owner territory, and comps have to be drawn from further out.
On the CDC Social Vulnerability Index the tract reads 2.7/10, which tracks how hard a shock lands on the households already here.
Tract-level figures come from the ACS 5-year release and are rebuilt whenever that, the court-record feed, or the statutory ledger behind the score changes.
Frequently asked
About tract 12057011304
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 12057011304?
Census tract 12057011304 in the Armenia Heights neighborhood scores 3/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 12057011304?
Median gross rent is $1,219/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 56% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 12057011304?
7.0% of residents in tract 12057011304 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 5,841.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 12057011304?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 19th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 19th, household 61th, minority 41th, housing 11th.
Q5
Is tract 12057011304 considered part of Armenia Heights?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 12057011304 fall within Armenia Heights (neighborhood centroid within 1.1 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 12057011304?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 285 eviction filings across 11 validated years in tract 12057011304 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 4.28% of renter households, peaking at 7.0% in 2009. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
Did eviction filings in tract 12057011304 drop during COVID?
Pandemic-era filings ran 1.26× the pre-COVID monthly baseline. Filings returned near baseline. Tracked by the Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Tacoma, WA), 2020-2021.
Q8
How does tract 12057011304 compare to Tampa overall?
Tract 12057011304 scores 3/10, lower than the parent city of Tampa at 4/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Tampa eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Tampa
Top eight tracts in Tampa ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
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