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Neighborhood · Ranked #67,219 of 84,120 nationally

Arbor Greene Eviction Risk: Lower , Pebble Creek

Tract 12057010212 · Hillsborough, FL · pop 5,034 · neighborhood within 0.7 mi

With a score of 3/10, tract 12057010212 in the Arbor Greene area of Tampa, FL reads lower for landlord eviction risk. Average gross rent is $2,547, 50% above the Tampa average.

Risk score
3
Lower
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 11% Stable renters 10% Owners 79%
Tract context
Occupied units1,807
Renter share21.1%
SVI overall0.20
Poverty rate6.4%
Median income$119,010

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
100 th percentile
Rank, 100th percentileLowHigh
#1 of 3 tracts In Arbor Greene
Very High
Within parent city
13 th percentile
Rank, 13th percentileLowHigh
#91 of 104 tracts In Pebble Creek
Very Low
Within county
9 th percentile
Rank, 9th percentileLowHigh
#304 of 333 tracts In Hillsborough
Very Low
Within state
28 th percentile
Rank, 28th percentileLowHigh
#3,704 of 5,122 tracts In Florida
Low
Geographic context

Risk heat across Pebble Creek and the region

Centroid at 28.1357, -82.3159 · click any tract to drill in

Why Arbor Greene scores 3

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Pebble Creek
4.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.3
State political climate
Florida legislature & governorship
1.5
Economic stress
6.4% poverty · this tract
1.6
Supply constraint
$2,547 rent vs county FMR
7.9
Rent control risk
Inherited from Pebble Creek
1.5
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
3.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Pebble Creek
4.0
Housing court bias
Inherited from Pebble Creek
3.5

How Arbor Greene compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Arbor Greene risk score vs. parent city / county / state3.0This tracttract 0102123.8Pebble Creekparent city4.2Countyavg tract in county4.1Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 20

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 22Total filings over 7 yrs
  • 1.32%Avg annual filing rate
  • 1.4%Peak (2011)
  • 3Filings in 2016 (latest validated)
Filings by year 2000 to 2016
Year-by-year eviction filings in tract 12057010212

Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)

  • 39Total filings 2020-21
  • 0.5Avg monthly (observed)
  • 0.8Pre-pandemic baseline
  • 0.67×Ratio to baseline
Monthly filings 2020–2021 2020-01-01 to 2026-01-01
Monthly eviction filings vs pre-pandemic baseline

Pandemic filings ran far below baseline (moratorium effect). Eviction Lab tracked Tacoma, WA as part of its 34-metro Eviction Tracking System.

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Arbor Greene. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Arbor Greene

The clearest offset is state political climate at 1.5/10. The voucher gap is 28.8%: households holding assistance that local rents will not absorb, which surfaces as churn rather than arrears. Running cool, rent-regulation exposure reads 1.5/10.

On the softer side, economic stress reads 1.6/10. The severe-burden share is 16%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment.

It sits 1.2 points below the Hillsborough County average of 4.2. Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 22 filings here across 7 tracked years. Filings peaked in 2011 at 1.4% of renter households.

In a typical year about 1.3% of renter households face a filing. On the national scale it lands near the 20th percentile of the 84,120 tracts scored.

At 21% renter-occupied this is predominantly owner territory, and comps have to be drawn from further out. Social vulnerability reads 2.8/10 on the CDC index, a measure of exposure to housing and economic shocks.

Statewide the FL average is 4.1, so this tract runs 1.1 points cooler.

These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.

Frequently asked

About tract 12057010212

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 12057010212?

Census tract 12057010212 in the Arbor Greene neighborhood scores 3/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 12057010212?

Median gross rent is $2,547/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 53% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 12057010212?

6.4% of residents in tract 12057010212 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 5,034.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 12057010212?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 20th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 21th, household 25th, minority 64th, housing 19th.
Q5

Is tract 12057010212 considered part of Arbor Greene?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 12057010212 fall within Arbor Greene (neighborhood centroid within 0.7 miles, OSM data).
Q6

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 12057010212?

Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 22 eviction filings across 7 validated years in tract 12057010212 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 1.32% of renter households, peaking at 1.4% in 2011. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7

Did eviction filings in tract 12057010212 drop during COVID?

Pandemic-era filings ran 0.67× the pre-COVID monthly baseline. Filings dropped sharply, likely a moratorium effect. Tracked by the Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Tacoma, WA), 2020-2021.
Q8

How does tract 12057010212 compare to Pebble Creek overall?

Tract 12057010212 scores 3/10, lower than the parent city of Pebble Creek at 3.8/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Pebble Creek; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Pebble Creek

Top eight tracts in Pebble Creek ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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