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Neighborhood · Ranked #75,086 of 84,120 nationally

Arbor Greene Eviction Risk: Lower , Pebble Creek

Tract 12057010217 · Hillsborough, FL · pop 4,385 · neighborhood within 1.1 mi

The Moderate-tier score of 4.6/10 for census tract 12057010217 reflects conditions in the Arbor Greene neighborhood of Pebble Creek, Florida. It lands near the 26th percentile nationally for landlord eviction risk.

Rent eats 30% or more of income for 48% of renter households, a severe level, and 8% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average gross rent is $1,803 monthly, set against $120,507 in average yearly household income, roughly 18% of income at the averages. Renters make up 53% of occupied homes, a renter-majority tract.

Risk score
1.9
Lower
Confidence 80% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 25% Stable renters 28% Owners 47%
Tract context
Occupied units1,452
Renter share53.2%
SVI overall0.32
Poverty rate4.7%
Median income$120,507

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
0 th percentile
Rank, 0th percentileLowHigh
#3 of 3 tracts In Arbor Greene
Very Low
Within county
11 th percentile
Rank, 11th percentileLowHigh
#296 of 333 tracts In Hillsborough
Very Low
Within state
11 th percentile
Rank, 11th percentileLowHigh
#4,578 of 5,122 tracts In Florida
Very Low
National
11 th percentile
Rank, 11th percentileLowHigh
#75,086 of 84,120 tracts In U.S.
Very Low
Geographic context

Risk heat across Pebble Creek and the region

Centroid at 28.1519, -82.3182 · click any tract to drill in

Why Arbor Greene scores 1.9

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Pebble Creek
1.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.3
State political climate
Florida legislature & governorship
1.5
Economic stress
4.7% poverty · this tract
1.2
Supply constraint
$1,803 rent vs county FMR
4.1
Rent control risk
Inherited from Pebble Creek
1.5
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
5.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Pebble Creek
4.0
Housing court bias
Inherited from Pebble Creek
5.0

How Arbor Greene compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Arbor Greene risk score vs. parent city / county / stateThis tract: 1.91.9This tracttract 010217Pebble Creek: 2.22.2Pebble Creekparent cityCounty: 3.63.6Countyavg tract in countyState: 3.53.5Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 32

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)

  • 297Total filings 2020-21
  • 4.1Avg monthly (observed)
  • 2.3Pre-pandemic baseline
  • 1.78×Ratio to baseline
Monthly filings 2020–2021 2020-01-01 to 2026-01-01
Monthly eviction filings vs pre-pandemic baseline2020-01-01: 2 filings (0.67× baseline)2020-02-01: 2 filings (1.14× baseline)2020-03-01: 2 filings (2.00× baseline)2020-04-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2020-05-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2020-06-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2020-07-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2020-08-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2020-09-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2020-10-01: 2 filings (0.80× baseline)2020-11-01: 2 filings (1.14× baseline)2020-12-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2021-01-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2021-02-01: 3 filings (1.71× baseline)2021-03-01: 2 filings (2.00× baseline)2021-04-01: 1 filings (0.40× baseline)2021-05-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2021-06-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2021-07-01: 1 filings (0.57× baseline)2021-08-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2021-09-01: 1 filings (0.44× baseline)2021-10-01: 2 filings (0.80× baseline)2021-11-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2021-12-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2022-01-01: 2 filings (0.67× baseline)2022-02-01: 1 filings (0.57× baseline)2022-03-01: 2 filings (2.00× baseline)2022-04-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2022-05-01: 1 filings (0.24× baseline)2022-06-01: 4 filings (2.67× baseline)2022-07-01: 1 filings (0.57× baseline)2022-08-01: 14 filings (7.00× baseline)2022-09-01: 2 filings (0.89× baseline)2022-10-01: 8 filings (3.20× baseline)2022-11-01: 8 filings (4.57× baseline)2022-12-01: 10 filings (2.86× baseline)2023-01-01: 2 filings (0.67× baseline)2023-02-01: 4 filings (2.29× baseline)2023-03-01: 15 filings (15.00× baseline)2023-04-01: 2 filings (0.80× baseline)2023-05-01: 13 filings (3.06× baseline)2023-06-01: 12 filings (8.00× baseline)2023-07-01: 7 filings (4.00× baseline)2023-08-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2023-09-01: 7 filings (3.11× baseline)2023-10-01: 11 filings (4.40× baseline)2023-11-01: 4 filings (2.29× baseline)2023-12-01: 5 filings (1.43× baseline)2024-01-01: 10 filings (3.33× baseline)2024-02-01: 3 filings (1.71× baseline)2024-03-01: 4 filings (4.00× baseline)2024-04-01: 4 filings (1.60× baseline)2024-05-01: 3 filings (0.71× baseline)2024-06-01: 7 filings (4.67× baseline)2024-07-01: 4 filings (2.29× baseline)2024-08-01: 4 filings (2.00× baseline)2024-09-01: 5 filings (2.22× baseline)2024-10-01: 6 filings (2.40× baseline)2024-11-01: 9 filings (5.14× baseline)2024-12-01: 4 filings (1.14× baseline)2025-01-01: 9 filings (3.00× baseline)2025-02-01: 4 filings (2.29× baseline)2025-03-01: 6 filings (6.00× baseline)2025-04-01: 6 filings (2.40× baseline)2025-05-01: 13 filings (3.06× baseline)2025-06-01: 17 filings (11.33× baseline)2025-07-01: 8 filings (4.57× baseline)2025-08-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2025-09-01: 8 filings (3.56× baseline)2025-10-01: 2 filings (0.80× baseline)2025-11-01: 3 filings (1.71× baseline)2025-12-01: 3 filings (0.86× baseline)2026-01-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)

Pandemic filings ran above baseline. Eviction Lab tracked Tacoma, WA as part of its 34-metro Eviction Tracking System.

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Arbor Greene. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Arbor Greene

The heaviest input here is eviction process difficulty at $1/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Pebble Creek, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.

Set against its neighbors, this tract scores below the Hillsborough County average of 5.1 and below the Florida statewide average of 4.9. Within its own county it reads on the safer side for landlords.

The tract is Hispanic or Latino and White and ranks around the 32nd percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. That is a relatively low-vulnerability reading.

During 2020 and 2021, eviction filings here ran at about 1.78x the pre-COVID monthly baseline, above pre-pandemic levels.

For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.

Frequently asked

About tract 12057010217

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 12057010217?

Census tract 12057010217 in the Arbor Greene neighborhood scores 1.9/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 12057010217?

Median gross rent is $1,803/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 48% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 12057010217?

4.7% of residents in tract 12057010217 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 4,385.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 12057010217?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 32th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 41th, household 11th, minority 82th, housing 32th.
Q5

Is tract 12057010217 considered part of Arbor Greene?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 12057010217 fall within Arbor Greene (neighborhood centroid within 1.1 miles, OSM data).
Q6

Did eviction filings in tract 12057010217 drop during COVID?

Pandemic-era filings ran 1.78× the pre-COVID monthly baseline. Filings ran above pre-pandemic norms. Tracked by the Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Tacoma, WA), 2020-2021.
Q7

How does tract 12057010217 compare to Pebble Creek overall?

Tract 12057010217 scores 1.9/10, lower than the parent city of Pebble Creek at 2.2/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Pebble Creek; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
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