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Neighborhood · Ranked #68,306 of 84,120 nationally

Arbor Greene Eviction Risk: Lower , Pebble Creek

Tract 12057010218 · Hillsborough, FL · pop 5,717 · neighborhood within 1.3 mi

How risky is Arbor Greene in Pebble Creek for landlords? Census tract 12057010218 scores 4.7/10, the Moderate tier. It lands near the 30th percentile nationally for landlord eviction risk.

About 34% of renters carry a rent burden of 30% of income or higher, a high level, and 4% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average rent runs $1,882 a month against an average household income of $91,366 a year, roughly 25% of income at the averages. Renters make up 26% of occupied homes.

Risk score
2.4
Lower
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 9% Stable renters 17% Owners 74%
Tract context
Occupied units2,129
Renter share26.2%
SVI overall0.53
Poverty rate8.4%
Median income$91,366

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
50 th percentile
Rank, 50th percentileLowHigh
#2 of 3 tracts In Arbor Greene
Moderate
Within parent city
100 th percentile
Rank, 100th percentileLowHigh
#1 of 2 tracts In Pebble Creek
Very High
Within county
22 th percentile
Rank, 22nd percentileLowHigh
#260 of 333 tracts In Hillsborough
Low
Within state
23 th percentile
Rank, 23rd percentileLowHigh
#3,967 of 5,122 tracts In Florida
Low
Geographic context

Risk heat across Pebble Creek and the region

Centroid at 28.1541, -82.3377 · click any tract to drill in

Why Arbor Greene scores 2.4

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Pebble Creek
4.6
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.3
State political climate
Florida legislature & governorship
1.5
Economic stress
8.4% poverty · this tract
2.1
Supply constraint
$1,882 rent vs county FMR
4.5
Rent control risk
Inherited from Pebble Creek
6.5
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
1.8
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Pebble Creek
5.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Pebble Creek
5.0

How Arbor Greene compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Arbor Greene risk score vs. parent city / county / stateThis tract: 2.42.4This tracttract 010218Pebble Creek: 2.22.2Pebble Creekparent cityCounty: 3.63.6Countyavg tract in countyState: 3.53.5Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 53

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)

  • 157Total filings 2020-21
  • 2.2Avg monthly (observed)
  • 2.1Pre-pandemic baseline
  • 1.01×Ratio to baseline
Monthly filings 2020–2021 2020-01-01 to 2026-01-01
Monthly eviction filings vs pre-pandemic baseline2020-01-01: 1 filings (0.36× baseline)2020-02-01: 4 filings (2.00× baseline)2020-03-01: 4 filings (4.00× baseline)2020-04-01: 1 filings (0.50× baseline)2020-05-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2020-06-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2020-07-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2020-08-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2020-09-01: 2 filings (1.60× baseline)2020-10-01: 1 filings (0.29× baseline)2020-11-01: 4 filings (2.00× baseline)2020-12-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2021-01-01: 1 filings (0.36× baseline)2021-02-01: 3 filings (1.50× baseline)2021-03-01: 1 filings (1.00× baseline)2021-04-01: 2 filings (1.00× baseline)2021-05-01: 1 filings (0.67× baseline)2021-06-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2021-07-01: 1 filings (0.33× baseline)2021-08-01: 4 filings (1.45× baseline)2021-09-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2021-10-01: 1 filings (0.29× baseline)2021-11-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2021-12-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2022-01-01: 5 filings (1.82× baseline)2022-02-01: 1 filings (0.50× baseline)2022-03-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2022-04-01: 2 filings (1.00× baseline)2022-05-01: 3 filings (2.00× baseline)2022-06-01: 1 filings (0.44× baseline)2022-07-01: 3 filings (1.00× baseline)2022-08-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2022-09-01: 1 filings (0.80× baseline)2022-10-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2022-11-01: 4 filings (2.00× baseline)2022-12-01: 3 filings (1.50× baseline)2023-01-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2023-02-01: 2 filings (1.00× baseline)2023-03-01: 2 filings (2.00× baseline)2023-04-01: 1 filings (0.50× baseline)2023-05-01: 4 filings (2.67× baseline)2023-06-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2023-07-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2023-08-01: 12 filings (4.36× baseline)2023-09-01: 5 filings (4.00× baseline)2023-10-01: 3 filings (0.86× baseline)2023-11-01: 4 filings (2.00× baseline)2023-12-01: 4 filings (2.00× baseline)2024-01-01: 1 filings (0.36× baseline)2024-02-01: 5 filings (2.50× baseline)2024-03-01: 1 filings (1.00× baseline)2024-04-01: 6 filings (3.00× baseline)2024-05-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2024-06-01: 2 filings (0.89× baseline)2024-07-01: 2 filings (0.67× baseline)2024-08-01: 5 filings (1.82× baseline)2024-09-01: 3 filings (2.40× baseline)2024-10-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2024-11-01: 2 filings (1.00× baseline)2024-12-01: 2 filings (1.00× baseline)2025-01-01: 3 filings (1.09× baseline)2025-02-01: 5 filings (2.50× baseline)2025-03-01: 4 filings (4.00× baseline)2025-04-01: 3 filings (1.50× baseline)2025-05-01: 1 filings (0.67× baseline)2025-06-01: 4 filings (1.78× baseline)2025-07-01: 2 filings (0.67× baseline)2025-08-01: 3 filings (1.09× baseline)2025-09-01: 4 filings (3.20× baseline)2025-10-01: 3 filings (0.86× baseline)2025-11-01: 2 filings (1.00× baseline)2025-12-01: 3 filings (1.50× baseline)2026-01-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)

Pandemic filings ran near baseline. Eviction Lab tracked Tacoma, WA as part of its 34-metro Eviction Tracking System.

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Arbor Greene. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Arbor Greene

What moves this score most is rent-control risk at 6.5/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Pebble Creek, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.

Set against its neighbors, this tract scores below the Hillsborough County average of 5.1 and in line with the Florida statewide average of 4.9. Within its own county it reads on the safer side for landlords.

During 2020 and 2021, eviction filings here ran at about 1.01x the pre-COVID monthly baseline, roughly back to the pre-pandemic baseline.

The tract is White and Hispanic or Latino and ranks around the 53rd percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. That is a middle-of-the-pack reading for social vulnerability.

For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.

Frequently asked

About tract 12057010218

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 12057010218?

Census tract 12057010218 in the Arbor Greene neighborhood scores 2.4/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 12057010218?

Median gross rent is $1,882/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 34% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 12057010218?

8.4% of residents in tract 12057010218 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 5,717.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 12057010218?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 53th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 52th, household 55th, minority 64th, housing 41th.
Q5

Is tract 12057010218 considered part of Arbor Greene?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 12057010218 fall within Arbor Greene (neighborhood centroid within 1.3 miles, OSM data).
Q6

Did eviction filings in tract 12057010218 drop during COVID?

Pandemic-era filings ran 1.01× the pre-COVID monthly baseline. Filings returned near baseline. Tracked by the Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Tacoma, WA), 2020-2021.
Q7

How does tract 12057010218 compare to Pebble Creek overall?

Tract 12057010218 scores 2.4/10, right in line with the parent city of Pebble Creek at 2.2/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Pebble Creek; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Pebble Creek

Top eight tracts in Pebble Creek ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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