Within neighborhood
50
th percentile
Moderate
Neighborhood · Ranked #24,859 of 84,120 nationally
Amber Place Eviction Risk: Moderate , East Lake-Orient Park
Tract 12057012002 · Hillsborough, FL · pop 4,154 · neighborhood within 0.6 mi
Tract 12057012002 sits in the Amber Place area of East Lake-Orient Park, FL, carrying an eviction-risk score of 5.4/10. It is home to 4,154 residents. The severe-burden share is 33%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment.
Risk score
5.4
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 21%
Stable renters 14%
Owners 65%
Tract context
Occupied units1,379
Renter share35.2%
SVI overall0.98
Poverty rate25.0%
Median income$40,219
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
100
th percentile
Very High
Within county
91
th percentile
Very High
Within state
90
th percentile
Very High
Geographic context
Risk heat across East Lake-Orient Park and the region
Centroid at 27.9704, -82.3783 · click any tract to drill in
Why Amber Place scores 5.4
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from East Lake-Orient Park
5.8
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.3
State political climate
Florida legislature & governorship
1.5
Economic stress
25.0% poverty · this tract
6.3
Supply constraint
$1,270 rent vs county FMR
1.4
Rent control risk
Inherited from East Lake-Orient Park
7.9
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
1.2
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from East Lake-Orient Park
9.1
Housing court bias
Inherited from East Lake-Orient Park
7.4
How Amber Place compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 98
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 91%Socioeconomic
- 93%Household composition
- 85%Racial/ethnic minority
- 97%Housing & transportation
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 451Total filings over 11 yrs
- 9.59%Avg annual filing rate
- 11.6%Peak (2016)
- 65Filings in 2016 (latest validated)
Filings climbed 67% over the past 11 months.
Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)
- 348Total filings 2020-21
- 4.8Avg monthly (observed)
- 5.7Pre-pandemic baseline
- 0.84×Ratio to baseline
Pandemic filings ran below baseline. Eviction Lab tracked Tacoma, WA as part of its 34-metro Eviction Tracking System.
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Amber Place
What pushes it up most is tenant-organizing strength at 9.1/10. Annualized rent equals 38% of average household income of $40,219, past the 30% affordability line, which thins the margin any screening standard has to work with. On the softer side, eviction-process difficulty reads 1.2/10.
Running cool, supply constraint reads 1.4/10. Cost burden runs 60% here against 51.5% across Hillsborough County.
The poverty rate is 25%, which in this model reads as reduced rent-recovery odds after a judgment. Adults with no health insurance runs 24.0% against 11.3% nationally.
It sits 1.2 points above the Hillsborough County average of 4.2. Average gross rent is $1,270, 18% below the East Lake-Orient Park average. Court records carry 451 eviction filings across 11 observed years.
The worst year on record was 2016, when 11.6% of renter households were served. In a typical year about 9.6% of renter households face a filing. That is riskier than roughly 70% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model.
All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.
Frequently asked
About tract 12057012002
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 12057012002?
Census tract 12057012002 in the Amber Place neighborhood scores 5.4/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 12057012002?
Median gross rent is $1,270/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 60% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 12057012002?
25.0% of residents in tract 12057012002 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 4,154.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 12057012002?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 98th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 91th, household 93th, minority 85th, housing 97th.
Q5
Is tract 12057012002 considered part of Amber Place?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 12057012002 fall within Amber Place (neighborhood centroid within 0.6 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 12057012002?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 451 eviction filings across 11 validated years in tract 12057012002 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 9.59% of renter households, peaking at 11.6% in 2016. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
Did eviction filings in tract 12057012002 drop during COVID?
Pandemic-era filings ran 0.84× the pre-COVID monthly baseline. Filings ran modestly below normal. Tracked by the Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Tacoma, WA), 2020-2021.
Q8
How does tract 12057012002 compare to East Lake-Orient Park overall?
Tract 12057012002 scores 5.4/10, higher than the parent city of East Lake-Orient Park at 4/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from East Lake-Orient Park; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in East Lake-Orient Park
Top eight tracts in East Lake-Orient Park ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
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