Within neighborhood
100
th percentile
Very High
Neighborhood · Ranked #42,763 of 84,120 nationally
Magnolia Green Eviction Risk: Lower , Plant City
Tract 12057013003 · Hillsborough, FL · pop 4,055 · neighborhood within 1.1 mi
Tract 12057013003 covers the Magnolia Green neighborhood of Plant City in Florida. Home to 4,055 residents, it scores 4.6/10 on landlord eviction risk. That is riskier than roughly 26% of the 84,120 US census tracts we score.
64% of renter households here spend at least 30% of income on rent, a severe level, and 24% are severely burdened at 50% or more. The typical renter pays about $1,158 a month while the average household earns $61,442 a year, roughly 23% of income at the averages. About 48% of occupied units are renter-occupied.
Risk score
3.9
Lower
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 31%
Stable renters 17%
Owners 52%
Tract context
Occupied units1,381
Renter share47.6%
SVI overall0.93
Poverty rate16.2%
Median income$61,442
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
60
th percentile
Elevated
Within county
59
th percentile
Elevated
Within state
65
th percentile
Elevated
Geographic context
Risk heat across Plant City and the region
Centroid at 27.9587, -82.1388 · click any tract to drill in
Why Magnolia Green scores 3.9
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Plant City
5.8
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.3
State political climate
Florida legislature & governorship
1.5
Economic stress
16.2% poverty · this tract
4.0
Supply constraint
$1,158 rent vs county FMR
1.0
Rent control risk
Inherited from Plant City
1.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
1.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Plant City
2.8
Housing court bias
Inherited from Plant City
2.8
How Magnolia Green compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 93
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 84%Socioeconomic
- 77%Household composition
- 71%Racial/ethnic minority
- 96%Housing & transportation
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 456Total filings over 11 yrs
- 25.13%Avg annual filing rate
- 20.9%Peak (2005)
- 15Filings in 2016 (latest validated)
Filings climbed 150% over the past 11 months.
Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)
- 93Total filings 2020-21
- 1.3Avg monthly (observed)
- 2.0Pre-pandemic baseline
- 0.63×Ratio to baseline
Pandemic filings ran far below baseline (moratorium effect). Eviction Lab tracked Tacoma, WA as part of its 34-metro Eviction Tracking System.
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within Magnolia Green. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Magnolia Green
What moves this score most is economic stress at $1/10. That part is specific to this tract, computed from its own rent, income, and poverty figures. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Plant City, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.
Set against its neighbors, this tract scores below the Hillsborough County average of 5.1 and below the Florida statewide average of 4.9. Within its own county it reads on the safer side for landlords.
During 2020 and 2021, eviction filings here ran at about 0.63x the pre-COVID monthly baseline, well below the pre-pandemic norm, the signature of an eviction moratorium at work.
Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 456 eviction filings here over 11 tracked years, with about 25.1% of renter households facing a filing in a typical year. Filings peaked at 20.9% of renter households in 2005.
For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.
Frequently asked
About tract 12057013003
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 12057013003?
Census tract 12057013003 in the Magnolia Green neighborhood scores 3.9/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 12057013003?
Median gross rent is $1,158/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 64% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 12057013003?
16.2% of residents in tract 12057013003 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 4,055.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 12057013003?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 93th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 84th, household 77th, minority 71th, housing 96th.
Q5
Is tract 12057013003 considered part of Magnolia Green?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 12057013003 fall within Magnolia Green (neighborhood centroid within 1.1 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 12057013003?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 456 eviction filings across 11 validated years in tract 12057013003 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 25.13% of renter households, peaking at 20.9% in 2005. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
Did eviction filings in tract 12057013003 drop during COVID?
Pandemic-era filings ran 0.63× the pre-COVID monthly baseline. Filings dropped sharply, likely a moratorium effect. Tracked by the Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Tacoma, WA), 2020-2021.
Q8
How does tract 12057013003 compare to Plant City overall?
Tract 12057013003 scores 3.9/10, higher than the parent city of Plant City at 2.3/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Plant City; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Plant City
Top eight tracts in Plant City ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Tract · FL
Alabama
4.9
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · FL
Trapnell
4.7
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · FL
Aldermans Addition
4.6
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · FL
Midway
4.5
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · FL
Aldermans Addition
4.2
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · FL
Beattys Corner
4.1
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · FL
Gordon Oaks
3.8
/ 10 · Low
Tract · FL
Terry Park
3.7
/ 10 · Low
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