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Census Tract · Ranked #28,095 of 84,120 nationally

Palm River-Clair Mel Eviction Risk: Moderate

Tract 12057013501 · Hillsborough, FL · pop 4,377 · 94% of tract blocks fall in Palm River-Clair Mel

With a score of 5.3/10, tract 12057013501 in Palm River-Clair Mel, FL reads moderate for landlord eviction risk. It is home to 4,377 residents. The severe-burden share is 36%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment.

Risk score
5.3
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 31% Stable renters 15% Owners 54%
Tract context
Occupied units1,574
Renter share46.5%
SVI overall0.96
Poverty rate19.7%
Median income$69,559

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within parent city
67 th percentile
Rank, 67th percentileLowHigh
#3 of 7 tracts In Palm River-Clair Mel
Elevated
Within county
80 th percentile
Rank, 80th percentileLowHigh
#69 of 333 tracts In Hillsborough
High
Within state
84 th percentile
Rank, 84th percentileLowHigh
#809 of 5,122 tracts In Florida
High
National
67 th percentile
Rank, 67th percentileLowHigh
#28,095 of 84,120 tracts In U.S.
Elevated
Geographic context

Risk heat across Palm River-Clair Mel and the region

Centroid at 27.9332, -82.4029 · click any tract to drill in

Why Palm River-Clair Mel scores 5.3

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Palm River-Clair Mel
5.8
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.3
State political climate
Florida legislature & governorship
1.5
Economic stress
19.7% poverty · this tract
4.9
Supply constraint
$1,350 rent vs county FMR
1.8
Rent control risk
Inherited from Palm River-Clair Mel
8.3
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
1.4
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Palm River-Clair Mel
8.0
Housing court bias
Inherited from Palm River-Clair Mel
7.6

How Palm River-Clair Mel compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Palm River-Clair Mel risk score vs. parent city / county / state5.3This tracttract 0135014.3Palm River-Clair Mparent city4.2Countyavg tract in county4.1Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 96

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 473Total filings over 11 yrs
  • 8.96%Avg annual filing rate
  • 10.2%Peak (2015)
  • 63Filings in 2016 (latest validated)
Filings by year 2000 to 2016
Year-by-year eviction filings in tract 12057013501
Filings climbed 142% over the past 11 months.

Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)

  • 240Total filings 2020-21
  • 3.3Avg monthly (observed)
  • 4.4Pre-pandemic baseline
  • 0.74×Ratio to baseline
Monthly filings 2020–2021 2020-01-01 to 2026-01-01
Monthly eviction filings vs pre-pandemic baseline

Pandemic filings ran below baseline. Eviction Lab tracked Tacoma, WA as part of its 34-metro Eviction Tracking System.

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Palm River-Clair Mel

67% of renter households cross the 30%-of-income line, well above the Hillsborough County average of 51.5%. The clearest offset is eviction-process difficulty at 1.4/10.

On the softer side, state political climate reads 1.5/10. Running hot, rent-regulation exposure reads 8.3/10. Adults with no health insurance runs 24.1% against 11.3% nationally.

Against the Hillsborough County average of 4.2, this tract reads riskier for landlords by 1.1 points. The poverty rate is 20%. Judgments in high-poverty tracts are collectible far less often than filing counts suggest. Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 473 filings here across 11 tracked years.

At $1,350 a month, rents run 11% under what the rest of Palm River-Clair Mel commands. The worst year on record was 2015, when 10.2% of renter households were served. In a typical year about 9.0% of renter households face a filing.

Nationally it ranks #28,095 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty. CDC social-vulnerability scoring puts the tract at 9.6/10.

Tract-level figures come from the ACS 5-year release and are rebuilt whenever that, the court-record feed, or the statutory ledger behind the score changes.

Frequently asked

About tract 12057013501

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 12057013501?

Census tract 12057013501 in Palm River-Clair Mel scores 5.3/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 12057013501?

Median gross rent is $1,350/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 67% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 12057013501?

19.7% of residents in tract 12057013501 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 4,377.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 12057013501?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 96th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 86th, household 97th, minority 73th, housing 90th.
Q5

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 12057013501?

Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 473 eviction filings across 11 validated years in tract 12057013501 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 8.96% of renter households, peaking at 10.2% in 2015. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q6

Did eviction filings in tract 12057013501 drop during COVID?

Pandemic-era filings ran 0.74× the pre-COVID monthly baseline. Filings ran modestly below normal. Tracked by the Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Tacoma, WA), 2020-2021.
Q7

How does tract 12057013501 compare to Palm River-Clair Mel overall?

Tract 12057013501 scores 5.3/10, higher than the parent city of Palm River-Clair Mel at 4.3/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Palm River-Clair Mel; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Palm River-Clair Mel

Top eight tracts in Palm River-Clair Mel ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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