Within neighborhood
50
th percentile
Moderate
Neighborhood · Ranked #61,757 of 84,120 nationally
Alafia Oaks Eviction Risk: Lower , Riverview
Tract 12057013705 · Hillsborough, FL · pop 7,385 · neighborhood within 1.3 mi
Tract 12057013705 covers the Alafia Oaks area of Riverview in Florida. Home to 7,385 residents, it scores 5.4/10 on landlord eviction risk. It lands near the 54th percentile nationally for landlord eviction risk.
About 72% of renters carry a rent burden of 30% of income or higher, a severe level, and 45% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average gross rent is $1,598 monthly, set against $82,754 in average yearly household income, roughly 23% of income at the averages. Renters make up 29% of occupied homes.
Risk score
2.8
Lower
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 21%
Stable renters 8%
Owners 71%
Tract context
Occupied units2,599
Renter share28.9%
SVI overall0.76
Poverty rate12.5%
Median income$82,754
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
80
th percentile
High
Within county
31
th percentile
Low
Within state
34
th percentile
Low
Geographic context
Risk heat across Riverview and the region
Centroid at 27.8777, -82.3392 · click any tract to drill in
Why Alafia Oaks scores 2.8
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Riverview
5.8
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.3
State political climate
Florida legislature & governorship
1.5
Economic stress
12.5% poverty · this tract
3.1
Supply constraint
$1,598 rent vs county FMR
3.1
Rent control risk
Inherited from Riverview
7.6
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
1.1
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Riverview
5.6
Housing court bias
Inherited from Riverview
6.0
How Alafia Oaks compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 76
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 71%Socioeconomic
- 71%Household composition
- 70%Racial/ethnic minority
- 70%Housing & transportation
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)
- 224Total filings 2020-21
- 3.1Avg monthly (observed)
- 3.1Pre-pandemic baseline
- 1.00×Ratio to baseline
Pandemic filings ran near baseline. Eviction Lab tracked Tacoma, WA as part of its 34-metro Eviction Tracking System.
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Alafia Oaks
What moves this score most is rent-control risk at 7.6/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Riverview eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.
Set against its neighbors, this tract scores above the Hillsborough County average of 5.1 and above the Florida statewide average of 4.9. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.
The tract is White and Black and ranks around the 76th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. High vulnerability tends to track with higher eviction-filing rates when rents climb.
During 2020 and 2021, eviction filings here ran at about 1.00x the pre-COVID monthly baseline, roughly back to the pre-pandemic baseline.
For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.
Frequently asked
About tract 12057013705
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 12057013705?
Census tract 12057013705 in the Alafia Oaks neighborhood scores 2.8/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 12057013705?
Median gross rent is $1,598/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 72% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 12057013705?
12.5% of residents in tract 12057013705 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 7,385.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 12057013705?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 76th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 71th, household 71th, minority 70th, housing 70th.
Q5
Is tract 12057013705 considered part of Alafia Oaks?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 12057013705 fall within Alafia Oaks (neighborhood centroid within 1.3 miles, OSM data).
Q6
Did eviction filings in tract 12057013705 drop during COVID?
Pandemic-era filings ran 1.00× the pre-COVID monthly baseline. Filings returned near baseline. Tracked by the Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Tacoma, WA), 2020-2021.
Q7
How does tract 12057013705 compare to Riverview overall?
Tract 12057013705 scores 2.8/10, higher than the parent city of Riverview at 2.3/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Riverview eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Riverview
Top eight tracts in Riverview ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Tract · FL
Ventura Bay
4.7
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · FL
Boyette Park
3.8
/ 10 · Low
Tract · FL
Winthrop
3.4
/ 10 · Low
Tract · FL
Colonial Hills
2.6
/ 10 · Low
Tract · FL
Boyette Park
2.6
/ 10 · Low
Tract · FL
Alafia Cove
2.4
/ 10 · Low
Tract · FL
Winthrop Village
2.3
/ 10 · Low
Tract · FL
12057013807
2.2
/ 10 · Low
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