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Neighborhood · Ranked #45,786 of 84,120 nationally

Arbors at Freedom Plaza Eviction Risk: Moderate , Sun City Center

Tract 12057014010 · Hillsborough, FL · pop 2,208 · neighborhood within 1.0 mi

12057014010 is a census tract in the Arbors at Freedom Plaza area of Sun City Center, FL. It scores 4.2/10 for landlords. It is home to 2,208 residents. The score leans hardest on rent-regulation exposure at 9.5/10.

Risk score
4.2
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 7% Stable renters 7% Owners 86%
Tract context
Occupied units1,348
Renter share13.2%
SVI overall0.17
Poverty rate7.3%
Median income$49,471

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
0 th percentile
Rank, 0th percentileLowHigh
#4 of 4 tracts In Arbors at Freedom Plaza
Very Low
Within parent city
43 th percentile
Rank, 43rd percentileLowHigh
#5 of 8 tracts In Sun City Center
Moderate
Within county
49 th percentile
Rank, 49th percentileLowHigh
#169 of 333 tracts In Hillsborough
Moderate
Within state
60 th percentile
Rank, 60th percentileLowHigh
#2,028 of 5,122 tracts In Florida
Elevated
Geographic context

Risk heat across Sun City Center and the region

Centroid at 27.7186, -82.3522 · click any tract to drill in

Why Arbors at Freedom Plaza scores 4.2

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Sun City Center
5.8
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.3
State political climate
Florida legislature & governorship
1.5
Economic stress
7.3% poverty · this tract
1.8
Supply constraint
$1,448 rent vs county FMR
2.3
Rent control risk
Inherited from Sun City Center
9.5
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
1.4
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Sun City Center
3.6
Housing court bias
Inherited from Sun City Center
7.0

How Arbors at Freedom Plaza compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Arbors at Freedom Plaza risk score vs. parent city / county / state4.2This tracttract 0140104.0Sun City Centerparent city4.2Countyavg tract in county4.1Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 17

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 13Total filings over 7 yrs
  • 1.05%Avg annual filing rate
  • 1.7%Peak (2011)
  • 1Filings in 2016 (latest validated)
Filings by year 2000 to 2016
Year-by-year eviction filings in tract 12057014010
Filings dropped 50% over the past 11 months.

Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)

  • 7Total filings 2020-21
  • 0.1Avg monthly (observed)
  • 0.1Pre-pandemic baseline
  • 0.67×Ratio to baseline
Monthly filings 2020–2021 2020-01-01 to 2026-01-01
Monthly eviction filings vs pre-pandemic baseline

Pandemic filings ran far below baseline (moratorium effect). Eviction Lab tracked Tacoma, WA as part of its 34-metro Eviction Tracking System.

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Arbors at Freedom Plaza. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Arbors at Freedom Plaza

Average gross rent is $1,448, 33% below the Sun City Center average. Annualized rent equals 35% of average household income of $49,471, past the 30% affordability line, which thins the margin any screening standard has to work with.

Well under the midpoint, eviction-process difficulty reads 1.4/10. On the softer side, state political climate reads 1.5/10.

The severe-burden share is 10%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment. Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 13 filings here across 7 tracked years.

The worst year on record was 2011, when 1.7% of renter households were served. In a typical year about 1.1% of renter households face a filing.

Nationally it ranks #45,786 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty. Only 13% of units are renter-occupied. Rental comparables are thin; price a renewal off the nearest genuine rental sub-market rather than off surrounding sale prices.

Social vulnerability reads 2.5/10 on the CDC index, a measure of exposure to housing and economic shocks. Of its three components the housing type and transport measure is the least pressured.

Rent takes 30% or more of income for 49% of renters. It tracks the Hillsborough County average of 4.2 closely.

These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.

Frequently asked

About tract 12057014010

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 12057014010?

Census tract 12057014010 in the Arbors at Freedom Plaza neighborhood scores 4.2/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 12057014010?

Median gross rent is $1,448/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 49% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 12057014010?

7.3% of residents in tract 12057014010 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 2,208.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 12057014010?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 17th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 48th, household 22th, minority 7th, housing 8th.
Q5

Is tract 12057014010 considered part of Arbors at Freedom Plaza?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 12057014010 fall within Arbors at Freedom Plaza (neighborhood centroid within 1.0 miles, OSM data).
Q6

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 12057014010?

Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 13 eviction filings across 7 validated years in tract 12057014010 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 1.05% of renter households, peaking at 1.7% in 2011. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7

Did eviction filings in tract 12057014010 drop during COVID?

Pandemic-era filings ran 0.67× the pre-COVID monthly baseline. Filings dropped sharply, likely a moratorium effect. Tracked by the Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Tacoma, WA), 2020-2021.
Q8

How does tract 12057014010 compare to Sun City Center overall?

Tract 12057014010 scores 4.2/10, right in line with the parent city of Sun City Center at 4/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Sun City Center; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Sun City Center

Top eight tracts in Sun City Center ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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