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Neighborhood · Ranked #34,278 of 84,120 nationally

Arbors at Freedom Plaza Eviction Risk: Moderate , Sun City Center

Tract 12057014014 · Hillsborough, FL · pop 2,142 · neighborhood within 0.7 mi

Census tract 12057014014 covers part of the Arbors at Freedom Plaza area of Sun City Center, FL, and scores 4.9/10 on landlord eviction risk. 67% are severely burdened past the 50% mark. That cohort absorbs no shock: one repair bill or one cut shift converts straight into arrears.

Risk score
4.9
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 28% Stable renters 5% Owners 67%
Tract context
Occupied units1,357
Renter share33.5%
SVI overall0.68
Poverty rate12.8%
Median income$41,673

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
67 th percentile
Rank, 67th percentileLowHigh
#2 of 4 tracts In Arbors at Freedom Plaza
Elevated
Within parent city
86 th percentile
Rank, 86th percentileLowHigh
#2 of 8 tracts In Sun City Center
High
Within county
72 th percentile
Rank, 72nd percentileLowHigh
#94 of 333 tracts In Hillsborough
Elevated
Within state
78 th percentile
Rank, 78th percentileLowHigh
#1,143 of 5,122 tracts In Florida
High
Geographic context

Risk heat across Sun City Center and the region

Centroid at 27.7083, -82.3580 · click any tract to drill in

Why Arbors at Freedom Plaza scores 4.9

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Sun City Center
5.8
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.3
State political climate
Florida legislature & governorship
1.5
Economic stress
12.8% poverty · this tract
3.2
Supply constraint
$3,165 rent vs county FMR
10.0
Rent control risk
Inherited from Sun City Center
9.5
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
1.4
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Sun City Center
3.6
Housing court bias
Inherited from Sun City Center
7.0

How Arbors at Freedom Plaza compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Arbors at Freedom Plaza risk score vs. parent city / county / state4.9This tracttract 0140144.0Sun City Centerparent city4.2Countyavg tract in county4.1Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 68

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 3Total filings over 2 yrs
  • 0.27%Avg annual filing rate
  • 0.3%Peak (2011)
  • 2Filings in 2011 (latest validated)
Filings by year 2000 to 2016
Year-by-year eviction filings in tract 12057014014

Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)

  • 7Total filings 2020-21
  • 0.1Avg monthly (observed)
  • 0.0Pre-pandemic baseline
  • 2.33×Ratio to baseline
Monthly filings 2020–2021 2020-01-01 to 2026-01-01
Monthly eviction filings vs pre-pandemic baseline

Pandemic filings ran above baseline. Eviction Lab tracked Tacoma, WA as part of its 34-metro Eviction Tracking System.

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Arbors at Freedom Plaza. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Arbors at Freedom Plaza

Against Hillsborough County at 51.5%, 85% of renters here are cost-burdened. Annualized rent equals 91% of average household income of $41,673, past the 30% affordability line, which thins the margin any screening standard has to work with. The dominant input is supply constraint at 10/10.

At $3,165 a month, rents run 47% over what the rest of Sun City Center commands. The voucher gap is 60.0%: households holding assistance that local rents will not absorb, which surfaces as churn rather than arrears. Running hot, rent-regulation exposure reads 9.5/10.

Well under the midpoint, eviction-process difficulty reads 1.4/10. Disability prevalence runs 46.1% against 31.5% nationally.

Court records carry 3 eviction filings across 2 observed years. It sits 0.7 points above the Hillsborough County average of 4.2. Filings peaked in 2011 at 0.3% of renter households.

In a typical year about 0.3% of renter households face a filing. That is riskier than roughly 59% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model.

Tract-level figures come from the ACS 5-year release and are rebuilt whenever that, the court-record feed, or the statutory ledger behind the score changes.

Frequently asked

About tract 12057014014

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 12057014014?

Census tract 12057014014 in the Arbors at Freedom Plaza neighborhood scores 4.9/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 12057014014?

Median gross rent is $3,165/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 85% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 12057014014?

12.8% of residents in tract 12057014014 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 2,142.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 12057014014?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 68th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 50th, household 53th, minority 17th, housing 96th.
Q5

Is tract 12057014014 considered part of Arbors at Freedom Plaza?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 12057014014 fall within Arbors at Freedom Plaza (neighborhood centroid within 0.7 miles, OSM data).
Q6

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 12057014014?

Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 3 eviction filings across 2 validated years in tract 12057014014 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 0.27% of renter households, peaking at 0.3% in 2011. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7

Did eviction filings in tract 12057014014 drop during COVID?

Pandemic-era filings ran 2.33× the pre-COVID monthly baseline. Filings ran above pre-pandemic norms. Tracked by the Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Tacoma, WA), 2020-2021.
Q8

How does tract 12057014014 compare to Sun City Center overall?

Tract 12057014014 scores 4.9/10, higher than the parent city of Sun City Center at 4/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Sun City Center; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Sun City Center

Top eight tracts in Sun City Center ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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