Neighborhood · Ranked #65,113 of 84,120 nationally

Breckenridge Eviction Risk: Lower , Estero

Tract 12071050103 · Lee, FL · pop 1,310 · neighborhood within 0.7 mi

The Breckenridge neighborhood of Estero anchors census tract 12071050103, which lands at 3.7/10 on landlord eviction risk. It lands near the 8th percentile nationally for landlord eviction risk.

About 17% of renters carry a rent burden of 30% of income or higher, a modest level, and 7% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average rent runs $1,875 a month against an average household income of $82,014 a year, roughly 27% of income at the averages. Renters make up 12% of occupied homes.

Risk score

2.6

Lower

Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale

Household mix · 100 hh

Burdened renters 2% Stable renters 10% Owners 88%

Tract context

Occupied units693

Renter share12.4%

SVI overall0.13

Poverty rate8.8%

Median income$82,014

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Estero and the region

Centroid at 26.4543, -81.8289 · click any tract to drill in

Why Breckenridge scores 2.6

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly

Local political climate

Inherited from Estero

4.6

Regional political climate

2024 county presidential margin

4.0

State political climate

Florida legislature & governorship

1.5

Economic stress

8.8% poverty · this tract

2.2

Supply constraint

$1,875 rent vs county FMR

5.2

Rent control risk

Inherited from Estero

6.0

Eviction process difficulty

State law sets the calendar

1.5

Tenant organizing strength

Inherited from Estero

3.9

Housing court bias

Inherited from Estero

4.9

How Breckenridge compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.

CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 13

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

25%Socioeconomic
16%Household composition
17%Racial/ethnic minority
18%Housing & transportation

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Breckenridge

The score leans hardest on rent-control risk at $1/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Estero, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.

Set against its neighbors, this tract scores below the Lee County average of 4.4 and below the Florida statewide average of 4.9. Within its own county it reads on the safer side for landlords.

The tract is predominantly White and ranks around the 13th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. That is a relatively low-vulnerability reading.

For a landlord, this is among the easier places to operate: faster process, lighter tenant-protection overhead, and shorter typical cases.

Frequently asked

About tract 12071050103

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 12071050103?

Census tract 12071050103 in the Breckenridge neighborhood scores 2.6/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.

What is the average rent in tract 12071050103?

Median gross rent is $1,875/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 17% of renter households are cost-burdened.

What is the poverty rate in tract 12071050103?

8.8% of residents in tract 12071050103 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 1,310.

How socially vulnerable is tract 12071050103?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 13th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 25th, household 16th, minority 17th, housing 18th.

Is tract 12071050103 considered part of Breckenridge?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 12071050103 fall within Breckenridge (neighborhood centroid within 0.7 miles, OSM data).

How does tract 12071050103 compare to Estero overall?

Tract 12071050103 scores 2.6/10, higher than the parent city of Estero at 2.2/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Estero; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.

Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Estero

Top eight tracts in Estero ranked by composite eviction-risk score.