Neighborhood · Ranked #69,776 of 84,120 nationally

Pelican Sound Golf & River Club Eviction Risk: Lower , Estero

Tract 12071050320 · Lee, FL · pop 5,421 · neighborhood within 0.5 mi

The Moderate-tier score of $1/10 for census tract 12071050320 reflects conditions in Pelican Sound Golf & River Club in Estero, Florida. It lands near the 12th percentile nationally for landlord eviction risk.

About 30% of renters carry a rent burden of 30% of income or higher, a moderate level, and 27% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average rent runs $1,762 a month against an average household income of $100,658 a year, roughly 21% of income at the averages. Renters make up 26% of occupied homes.

Risk score

2.3

Lower

Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale

Household mix · 100 hh

Burdened renters 8% Stable renters 18% Owners 74%

Tract context

Occupied units2,470

Renter share25.8%

SVI overall0.46

Poverty rate9.6%

Median income$100,658

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Estero and the region

Centroid at 26.4225, -81.8201 · click any tract to drill in

Why Pelican Sound Golf & River Club scores 2.3

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly

Local political climate

Inherited from Estero

4.6

Regional political climate

2024 county presidential margin

4.0

State political climate

Florida legislature & governorship

1.5

Economic stress

9.6% poverty · this tract

2.4

Supply constraint

$1,762 rent vs county FMR

4.6

Rent control risk

Inherited from Estero

6.0

Eviction process difficulty

State law sets the calendar

1.5

Tenant organizing strength

Inherited from Estero

3.9

Housing court bias

Inherited from Estero

4.9

How Pelican Sound Golf & River Club compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.

CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 46

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

29%Socioeconomic
46%Household composition
34%Racial/ethnic minority
75%Housing & transportation

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Pelican Sound Golf & River Club. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Pelican Sound Golf & River Club

What moves this score most is rent-control risk at $1/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Estero, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.

Set against its neighbors, this tract scores below the Lee County average of 4.4 and below the Florida statewide average of 4.9. Within its own county it reads on the safer side for landlords.

The tract is predominantly White and ranks around the 46th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. That is a middle-of-the-pack reading for social vulnerability.

For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.

Frequently asked

About tract 12071050320

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 12071050320?

Census tract 12071050320 in the Pelican Sound Golf & River Club neighborhood scores 2.3/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.

What is the average rent in tract 12071050320?

Median gross rent is $1,762/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 30% of renter households are cost-burdened.

What is the poverty rate in tract 12071050320?

9.6% of residents in tract 12071050320 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 5,421.

How socially vulnerable is tract 12071050320?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 46th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 29th, household 46th, minority 34th, housing 75th.

Is tract 12071050320 considered part of Pelican Sound Golf & River Club?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 12071050320 fall within Pelican Sound Golf & River Club (neighborhood centroid within 0.5 miles, OSM data).

How does tract 12071050320 compare to Estero overall?

Tract 12071050320 scores 2.3/10, right in line with the parent city of Estero at 2.2/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Estero; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.

Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Estero

Top eight tracts in Estero ranked by composite eviction-risk score.