Neighborhood · Ranked #80,791 of 84,120 nationally

Pelican Sound Golf & River Club Eviction Risk: Lower , Estero

Tract 12071050319 · Lee, FL · pop 2,536 · neighborhood within 1.2 mi

Census tract 12071050319 covers the Pelican Sound Golf & River Club area of Estero, home to 2,536 residents. For landlords it grades 4.3/10, a moderate reading. That is riskier than roughly 19% of the 84,120 US census tracts we score.

About 43% of renters carry a rent burden of 30% of income or higher, a severe level, and 0% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average household income is about $136,938 a year. About 10% of occupied units are renter-occupied.

Risk score

1.3

Lower

Confidence 85% · 1–10 scale

Household mix · 100 hh

Burdened renters 4% Stable renters 6% Owners 90%

Tract context

Occupied units1,175

Renter share10.3%

SVI overall0.13

Poverty rate2.3%

Median income$136,938

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Estero and the region

Centroid at 26.4237, -81.8412 · click any tract to drill in

Why Pelican Sound Golf & River Club scores 1.3

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly

Local political climate

Inherited from Estero

4.6

Regional political climate

2024 county presidential margin

4.0

State political climate

Florida legislature & governorship

1.5

Economic stress

2.3% poverty · this tract

1.0

Supply constraint

tract rent vs county FMR

5.0

Rent control risk

Inherited from Estero

6.0

Eviction process difficulty

State law sets the calendar

1.5

Tenant organizing strength

Inherited from Estero

3.9

Housing court bias

Inherited from Estero

4.9

How Pelican Sound Golf & River Club compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.

CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 13

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

13%Socioeconomic
43%Household composition
6%Racial/ethnic minority
18%Housing & transportation

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Pelican Sound Golf & River Club. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Pelican Sound Golf & River Club

What moves this score most is rent-control risk at $1/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Estero, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.

Set against its neighbors, this tract scores about the same as the Lee County average of 4.4 and below the Florida statewide average of 4.9. Within its own county it reads on the safer side for landlords.

The tract is predominantly White and ranks around the 13th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. That is a relatively low-vulnerability reading.

For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.

Frequently asked

About tract 12071050319

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 12071050319?

Census tract 12071050319 in the Pelican Sound Golf & River Club neighborhood scores 1.3/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.

What is the poverty rate in tract 12071050319?

2.3% of residents in tract 12071050319 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 2,536.

How socially vulnerable is tract 12071050319?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 13th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 13th, household 43th, minority 6th, housing 18th.

Is tract 12071050319 considered part of Pelican Sound Golf & River Club?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 12071050319 fall within Pelican Sound Golf & River Club (neighborhood centroid within 1.2 miles, OSM data).

How does tract 12071050319 compare to Estero overall?

Tract 12071050319 scores 1.3/10, lower than the parent city of Estero at 2.2/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Estero; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.

Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Estero

Top eight tracts in Estero ranked by composite eviction-risk score.