Neighborhood · Ranked #44,239 of 84,120 nationally

River District Eviction Risk: Moderate , Fort Myers

Tract 12071080300 · Lee, FL · pop 2,885 · neighborhood within 0.5 mi

Census tract 12071080300 covers part of the River District area of Fort Myers, FL, and scores 4.3/10 on landlord eviction risk. It is home to 2,885 residents. 39% are severely burdened past the 50% mark. That cohort absorbs no shock: one repair bill or one cut shift converts straight into arrears.

Risk score

4.3

Moderate

Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale

Household mix · 100 hh

Burdened renters 44% Stable renters 26% Owners 30%

Tract context

Occupied units1,244

Renter share69.5%

SVI overall0.81

Poverty rate13.7%

Median income$49,662

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Fort Myers and the region

Centroid at 26.6512, -81.8724 · click any tract to drill in

Why River District scores 4.3

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly

Local political climate

Inherited from Fort Myers

3.0

Regional political climate

2024 county presidential margin

4.0

State political climate

Florida legislature & governorship

1.5

Economic stress

13.7% poverty · this tract

3.4

Supply constraint

$1,627 rent vs county FMR

3.8

Rent control risk

Inherited from Fort Myers

1.0

Eviction process difficulty

State law sets the calendar

2.5

Tenant organizing strength

Inherited from Fort Myers

2.5

Housing court bias

Inherited from Fort Myers

3.0

How River District compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.

CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 81

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

86%Socioeconomic
64%Household composition
50%Racial/ethnic minority
76%Housing & transportation

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within River District. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in River District

The clearest offset is rent-regulation exposure at 1/10. Annualized rent equals 39% of average household income of $49,662, past the 30% affordability line, which thins the margin any screening standard has to work with.

63% of renter households cross the 30%-of-income line, markedly above the Lee County average of 52.2%. Running cool, state political climate reads 1.5/10.

70% of occupied units are rented, so comparables are plentiful and vacancy risk is low, but a mispriced renewal loses the tenant to a building nearby. Well under the midpoint, eviction-process difficulty reads 2.5/10. That is riskier than roughly 47% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model.

Social vulnerability reads 8.3/10 on the CDC index, a measure of exposure to housing and economic shocks. Of its three components the socioeconomic standing measure is the most pressured. It tracks the Lee County average of 3.7 closely.

Average gross rent is $1,627, close to the Fort Myers average.

All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.

Frequently asked

About tract 12071080300

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 12071080300?

Census tract 12071080300 in the River District neighborhood scores 4.3/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.

What is the average rent in tract 12071080300?

Median gross rent is $1,627/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 63% of renter households are cost-burdened.

What is the poverty rate in tract 12071080300?

13.7% of residents in tract 12071080300 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 2,885.

How socially vulnerable is tract 12071080300?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 81th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 86th, household 64th, minority 50th, housing 76th.

Is tract 12071080300 considered part of River District?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 12071080300 fall within River District (neighborhood centroid within 0.5 miles, OSM data).

How does tract 12071080300 compare to Fort Myers overall?

Tract 12071080300 scores 4.3/10, higher than the parent city of Fort Myers at 3.4/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Fort Myers eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.

Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Fort Myers

Top eight tracts in Fort Myers ranked by composite eviction-risk score.