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Neighborhood · Fort Myers, FL

River District Eviction Risk: Moderate

3 census tracts · pop 7,437 · pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score 4.4/10 · range 4.1–4.8

River District takes in 3 census tracts of Fort Myers, FL, population 7,437. The Eviction Risk Score is 4.4/10, in the Moderate tier. Against a Fort Myers baseline of 36.9%, 66% of renters here cross the 30%-of-income line.

34% are severely burdened, paying half their income or more in rent. That cohort has no absorption capacity for an unexpected bill, and it is where non-payment filings originate. The main counterweight is rent-regulation exposure, at 1/10.

Set annual rent against average household income of $47,299 and the ratio lands at 34%, above the conventional 30% ceiling. This is a renter market: 68% of occupied units are tenant-occupied. Running cool is supply constraint, at 2.4/10.

The poverty rate is 21%, which shows up in this model as reduced rent-recovery odds after a judgment. Well under the midpoint is eviction-process difficulty, at 2.5/10. Average gross rent is $1,351, 14% below the Fort Myers average of $1,580.

That places it #5 of 16 neighborhoods in Fort Myers. Social vulnerability runs high at 8.4/10, concentrating the disaster- and displacement-exposure this model treats as a lagging risk input. The 3 tracts here are tightly clustered, 0.7 points apart at the extremes.

The area figure travels well to individual addresses here, though the per-tract table below still carries the detail. Scores move when the ACS release, the court-record feed, or the statute ledger behind them moves.

Risk score
4.4
Moderate
3 tracts · population-weighted
River District vs Fort Myers How this neighborhood stacks against the citywide average
% of income on rent
65.5% +78%
Fort Myers: 36.9%
Average gross rent
$1,351 -14%
Fort Myers: $1,580
Average HH income
$47,299 -24%
Fort Myers: $62,160
Poverty rate
21.0% +25%
Fort Myers: 16.8%
Renter share
67.8% +33%
Fort Myers: 50.9%
Peer neighborhoods

Neighborhoods with similar eviction risk

Same county, closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Geographic context

Risk heat across River District and the region

Click any tract to drill in · 3 tracts span score 4.1–4.8

Why River District scores 4.4

9 axes · pop-weighted · 1 = landlord-friendly
State political climate
legislature & governorship · Range 1.5–1.5 across tracts
1.5
Regional political climate
County-level mix · 2024 presidential margin · Range 4.0–4.0 across tracts
4.0
Local political climate
Parent city governance · Range 3.0–3.0 across tracts
3.0
Rent control risk
66% of income on rent · Range 1.0–1.0 across tracts
1.0
Eviction process difficulty
State notice requirements & court backlog · Range 2.5–2.5 across tracts
2.5
Tenant organizing strength
68% renter households · Range 2.5–2.5 across tracts
2.5
Housing court bias
County bench composition · Range 3.0–3.0 across tracts
3.0
Economic stress
21.0% below poverty line · Range 3.4–8.7 across tracts
5.3
Supply constraint
Rent-to-FMR gap & zoning friction · Range 1.0–3.8 across tracts
2.4
Risk score comparison

River District vs. parent city, state, U.S.

Eviction Risk Score (0–10 scale).

River District score vs. parent city, state, U.S.River District: 4.44.4River DistrictNeighborhoodParent city: 3.43.4Parent cityhost cityState: 3.93.9Stateavg in stateU.S.: 5.15.1U.S.national avgU.S. avg = 5.0
Variance across tracts

How uniformly does eviction risk play out in River District?

Left: distribution of constituent tract scores. Right: every tract as a heat square. Click any square to drill in.

Score distribution
0246810
Spread of 0.7 points from 4.1 to 4.8. Tracts are relatively uniform, so conditions feel similar throughout the neighborhood.
Tracts as heat grid
Each square = one census tract. Color tracks the same green→red ramp as the chloropleth map above.
Census tracts

3 tracts in River District

Ranked highest-risk first. Click for per-tract detail.

Tract Score Pop % over 30% on rent Average rent
12071000700 4.8 2,609 64% $1,074
12071080300 4.3 2,885 63% $1,627
12071000800 4.1 1,943 72% $1,312
Social Vulnerability Index

CDC SVI percentile: 82

Pop-weighted across 3 tracts. Higher = more vulnerable to disaster, displacement, and rent shocks. Source: CDC/ATSDR SVI 2022.

Socioeconomic status 76%ile
Poverty, unemployment, no-HS-diploma, housing cost burden
Household characteristics 75%ile
Single-parent HH, disability, language barriers, age 17- / 65+
Racial/ethnic minority 59%ile
Hispanic + non-white share of population
Housing & transport 84%ile
Multi-unit structures, mobile homes, crowding, no vehicle
Frequently asked

About River District

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for River District?

River District scores 4.4/10 (Moderate tier) across 3 census tracts. The pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income and poverty signals.
Q2

How does River District compare to Fort Myers overall?

River District scores 1.0 points higher than Fort Myers overall (3.4/10). Renters spend 66% of income on rent vs 37% citywide. Average rent: $1,351 vs $1,580.
Q3

What is the average rent in River District?

Average gross rent in River District is $1,351/month (pop-weighted across 3 census tracts, ACS 5-year 2023). 66% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q4

What percentage of River District residents are renters?

68% of River District households are renter-occupied (vs 51% in Fort Myers). The neighborhood has 7,437 residents.
Q5

Is River District a high social-vulnerability area?

River District sits in the 82nd percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index (highly vulnerable). The index combines poverty, unemployment, household composition, racial/ethnic minority share, and housing/transportation factors across all US census tracts.
Q6

Which tracts in River District have the highest eviction risk?

The highest-risk constituent tract in River District is census tract 12071000700 (score 4.8/10). Across the 3 tracts in this neighborhood the score ranges from 4.1 to 4.8, a spread of 0.7 points.
Q7

How safe is River District for landlords?

River District carries a moderate-tier eviction-risk profile for landlords (4.4/10). Pop-weighted across 3 constituent tracts, the score blends parent-city rent-control posture, county eviction-process timelines, and tract-specific rent-to-income / poverty signals. Compared to Fort Myers as a whole (3.4/10), this neighborhood is higher-risk.
Q8

What is the demographic breakdown of River District?

River District has 7,470 residents. Top groups: White (non-Hispanic) (50.7%), Black (non-Hispanic) (28.2%), Hispanic / Latino (14.1%). Source: ACS 5-year 2023, table B03002.
Nearby

Other neighborhoods near River District

Sibling neighborhoods

Other neighborhoods inside Fort Myers

Same parent city, ranked by score similarity to River District.

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