Within neighborhood
20
th percentile
Low
Neighborhood · Ranked #48,956 of 84,120 nationally
Palma Sola Bay Club Eviction Risk: Moderate , Bradenton
Tract 12081001107 · Manatee, FL · pop 3,745 · neighborhood within 1.2 mi
With a score of 4/10, tract 12081001107 in the Palma Sola Bay Club area of Cortez, FL reads moderate for landlord eviction risk. 37% are severely burdened past the 50% mark. That cohort absorbs no shock: one repair bill or one cut shift converts straight into arrears.
Risk score
4
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 20%
Stable renters 15%
Owners 65%
Tract context
Occupied units1,852
Renter share34.9%
SVI overall0.62
Poverty rate15.2%
Median income$76,010
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
0
th percentile
Very Low
Within county
49
th percentile
Moderate
Within state
56
th percentile
Elevated
Geographic context
Risk heat across Bradenton and the region
Centroid at 27.4681, -82.6593 · click any tract to drill in
Why Palma Sola Bay Club scores 4
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Bradenton
4.8
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
4.2
State political climate
Florida legislature & governorship
1.5
Economic stress
15.2% poverty · this tract
3.8
Supply constraint
$1,812 rent vs county FMR
4.8
Rent control risk
Inherited from Bradenton
3.5
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
1.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Bradenton
3.6
Housing court bias
Inherited from Bradenton
4.7
How Palma Sola Bay Club compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 62
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 52%Socioeconomic
- 73%Household composition
- 38%Racial/ethnic minority
- 65%Housing & transportation
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 87Total filings over 4 yrs
- 4.60%Avg annual filing rate
- 7.8%Peak (2002)
- 18Filings in 2016 (latest validated)
Filings dropped 44% over the past 4 months.
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within Palma Sola Bay Club. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Palma Sola Bay Club
The clearest offset is eviction-process difficulty at 1/10. Well under the midpoint, state political climate reads 1.5/10.
The filing record is not thin: 87 evictions over 4 years of observation. Filings peaked in 2002 at 7.8% of renter households. In a typical year about 4.6% of renter households face a filing.
That is riskier than roughly 42% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model. The legal-climate inputs (statute speed, court posture, rent-regulation exposure) come from Cortez as a whole. Only the economic and supply signals are measured inside this tract. On the CDC Social Vulnerability Index the tract reads 6.6/10, which tracks how hard a shock lands on the households already here.
57% of renter households spend at least 30% of income on rent. It tracks the Manatee County average of 4.1 closely. Average gross rent is $1,812, close to the Cortez average.
Annual rent works out to 29% of average household income of $76,010. 35% of occupied units are renter-occupied.
All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.
Frequently asked
About tract 12081001107
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 12081001107?
Census tract 12081001107 in the Palma Sola Bay Club neighborhood scores 4/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 12081001107?
Median gross rent is $1,812/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 57% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 12081001107?
15.2% of residents in tract 12081001107 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,745.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 12081001107?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 62th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 52th, household 73th, minority 38th, housing 65th.
Q5
Is tract 12081001107 considered part of Palma Sola Bay Club?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 12081001107 fall within Palma Sola Bay Club (neighborhood centroid within 1.2 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 12081001107?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 87 eviction filings across 4 validated years in tract 12081001107 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 4.60% of renter households, peaking at 7.8% in 2002. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
How does tract 12081001107 compare to Bradenton overall?
Tract 12081001107 scores 4/10, lower than the parent city of Bradenton at 4.4/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Bradenton; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Bradenton
Top eight tracts in Bradenton ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
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