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Neighborhood · Ranked #52,479 of 84,120 nationally

Palma Sola Bay Club Eviction Risk: Lower , Bradenton

Tract 12081000403 · Manatee, FL · pop 1,576 · neighborhood within 0.8 mi

With a score of 3.8/10, tract 12081000403 in the Palma Sola Bay Club area of Bradenton, FL reads lower for landlord eviction risk. Pulling hardest the other way is state political climate at 1.5/10.

Risk score
3.8
Lower
Confidence 60% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 0% Stable renters 0% Owners 100%
Tract context
Occupied units698
SVI overall0.29
Poverty rate5.8%
Median income$89,542

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
0 th percentile
Rank, 0th percentileLowHigh
#6 of 6 tracts In Palma Sola Bay Club
Very Low
Within parent city
14 th percentile
Rank, 14th percentileLowHigh
#19 of 22 tracts In Bradenton
Very Low
Within county
41 th percentile
Rank, 41st percentileLowHigh
#55 of 93 tracts In Manatee
Moderate
Within state
50 th percentile
Rank, 50th percentileLowHigh
#2,560 of 5,122 tracts In Florida
Moderate
Geographic context

Risk heat across Bradenton and the region

Centroid at 27.4813, -82.6438 · click any tract to drill in

Why Palma Sola Bay Club scores 3.8

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Bradenton
4.8
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
4.2
State political climate
Florida legislature & governorship
1.5
Economic stress
5.8% poverty · this tract
1.5
Supply constraint
tract rent vs county FMR
5.0
Rent control risk
Inherited from Bradenton
8.4
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
1.6
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Bradenton
8.4
Housing court bias
Inherited from Bradenton
7.5

How Palma Sola Bay Club compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Palma Sola Bay Club risk score vs. parent city / county / state3.8This tracttract 0004034.4Bradentonparent city4.1Countyavg tract in county4.1Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 29

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 3Total filings over 2 yrs
  • 3.30%Avg annual filing rate
  • 5.6%Peak (2016)
  • 2Filings in 2016 (latest validated)
Filings by year 2002 to 2016
Year-by-year eviction filings in tract 12081000403
Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Palma Sola Bay Club. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Palma Sola Bay Club

Running cool, economic stress reads 1.5/10. On the high side, rent-regulation exposure reads 8.4/10. Court records carry 3 eviction filings across 2 observed years.

The worst year on record was 2016, when 5.6% of renter households were served. In a typical year about 3.3% of renter households face a filing.

That is riskier than roughly 38% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model. On the CDC Social Vulnerability Index the tract reads 3.6/10, which tracks how hard a shock lands on the households already here. Of its three components the housing type and transport measure is the least pressured.

Model confidence here is 60%, lower than typical because some ACS inputs for this tract carry wide margins of error, so read the score as a band, not a point. Poverty sits at 6%, low enough that arrears here usually signal a specific shock rather than a structural income gap.

It tracks the Manatee County average of 4.1 closely.

These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.

Frequently asked

About tract 12081000403

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 12081000403?

Census tract 12081000403 in the Palma Sola Bay Club neighborhood scores 3.8/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the poverty rate in tract 12081000403?

5.8% of residents in tract 12081000403 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 1,576.
Q3

How socially vulnerable is tract 12081000403?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 29th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 39th, household 50th, minority 39th, housing 15th.
Q4

Is tract 12081000403 considered part of Palma Sola Bay Club?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 12081000403 fall within Palma Sola Bay Club (neighborhood centroid within 0.8 miles, OSM data).
Q5

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 12081000403?

Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 3 eviction filings across 2 validated years in tract 12081000403 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 3.30% of renter households, peaking at 5.6% in 2016. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q6

How does tract 12081000403 compare to Bradenton overall?

Tract 12081000403 scores 3.8/10, lower than the parent city of Bradenton at 4.4/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Bradenton; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Bradenton

Top eight tracts in Bradenton ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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