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Neighborhood · Ranked #58,384 of 84,120 nationally

Palma Sola Bay Club Eviction Risk: Lower , Bradenton

Tract 12081000403 · Manatee, FL · pop 1,576 · neighborhood within 0.8 mi

How risky is the Palma Sola Bay Club neighborhood of Bradenton for landlords? Census tract 12081000403 scores 4.8/10, the Moderate tier. That is riskier than roughly 33% of the 84,120 US census tracts we score.

Average household income is about $89,542 a year. Renters make up 0% of occupied homes.

Risk score
3
Lower
Confidence 60% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 0% Stable renters 0% Owners 100%
Tract context
Occupied units698
SVI overall0.29
Poverty rate5.8%
Median income$89,542

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
0 th percentile
Rank, 0th percentileLowHigh
#6 of 6 tracts In Palma Sola Bay Club
Very Low
Within parent city
14 th percentile
Rank, 14th percentileLowHigh
#19 of 22 tracts In Bradenton
Very Low
Within county
39 th percentile
Rank, 39th percentileLowHigh
#57 of 93 tracts In Manatee
Low
Within state
41 th percentile
Rank, 41st percentileLowHigh
#3,043 of 5,122 tracts In Florida
Moderate
Geographic context

Risk heat across Bradenton and the region

Centroid at 27.4813, -82.6438 · click any tract to drill in

Why Palma Sola Bay Club scores 3

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Bradenton
4.8
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
4.2
State political climate
Florida legislature & governorship
1.5
Economic stress
5.8% poverty · this tract
1.5
Supply constraint
tract rent vs county FMR
5.0
Rent control risk
Inherited from Bradenton
8.4
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
1.6
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Bradenton
8.4
Housing court bias
Inherited from Bradenton
7.5

How Palma Sola Bay Club compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Palma Sola Bay Club risk score vs. parent city / county / stateThis tract: 3.03.0This tracttract 000403Bradenton: 2.62.6Bradentonparent cityCounty: 3.33.3Countyavg tract in countyState: 3.53.5Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 29

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 3Total filings over 2 yrs
  • 3.30%Avg annual filing rate
  • 5.6%Peak (2016)
  • 2Filings in 2016 (latest validated)
Filings by year 2002 to 2016
Year-by-year eviction filings in tract 120810004032002: 0 filings (0.00/100 renter HHs)2003: 0 filings (0.00/100 renter HHs)2015: 1 filings (1.04/100 renter HHs)2016: 2 filings (5.56/100 renter HHs)
Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Palma Sola Bay Club. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Palma Sola Bay Club

The score leans hardest on rent-control risk at 8.4/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Bradenton, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.

Set against its neighbors, this tract scores about the same as the Manatee County average of 5.0 and in line with the Florida statewide average of 4.9. Within its own county it reads on the safer side for landlords.

Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 3 eviction filings here over 2 tracked years, with about 3.3% of renter households facing a filing in a typical year. Filings peaked at 5.6% of renter households in 2016.

The tract is predominantly White and ranks around the 29th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. That is a relatively low-vulnerability reading.

For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.

Frequently asked

About tract 12081000403

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 12081000403?

Census tract 12081000403 in the Palma Sola Bay Club neighborhood scores 3/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the poverty rate in tract 12081000403?

5.8% of residents in tract 12081000403 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 1,576.
Q3

How socially vulnerable is tract 12081000403?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 29th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 39th, household 50th, minority 39th, housing 15th.
Q4

Is tract 12081000403 considered part of Palma Sola Bay Club?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 12081000403 fall within Palma Sola Bay Club (neighborhood centroid within 0.8 miles, OSM data).
Q5

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 12081000403?

Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 3 eviction filings across 2 validated years in tract 12081000403 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 3.30% of renter households, peaking at 5.6% in 2016. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q6

How does tract 12081000403 compare to Bradenton overall?

Tract 12081000403 scores 3/10, higher than the parent city of Bradenton at 2.6/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Bradenton; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Bradenton

Top eight tracts in Bradenton ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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