Palma Sola Bay Club Eviction Risk: Moderate , Bradenton
Tract 12081000407 · Manatee, FL · pop 4,531 · neighborhood within 1.4 mi
Tract 12081000407 sits in the Palma Sola Bay Club area of Bradenton, FL, carrying an eviction-risk score of 4.3/10. It is home to 4,531 residents. 44% are severely burdened past the 50% mark. That cohort absorbs no shock: one repair bill or one cut shift converts straight into arrears.
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Risk heat across Bradenton and the region
Centroid at 27.4873, -82.6283 · click any tract to drill in
Why Palma Sola Bay Club scores 4.3
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyHow Palma Sola Bay Club compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.SVI percentile: 46
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 29%Socioeconomic
- 49%Household composition
- 14%Racial/ethnic minority
- 80%Housing & transportation
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 8Total filings over 3 yrs
- 0.80%Avg annual filing rate
- 1.0%Peak (2016)
- 4Filings in 2016 (latest validated)
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within Palma Sola Bay Club. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
What drives eviction risk in Palma Sola Bay Club
Cost burden runs 72% here against 53.5% across Manatee County. Average gross rent is $2,636, 63% above the Bradenton average. The voucher gap is 42.8%: households holding assistance that local rents will not absorb, which surfaces as churn rather than arrears.
Annualized rent equals 48% of average household income of $65,302, past the 30% affordability line, which thins the margin any screening standard has to work with. The dominant input is supply constraint at 9.3/10. Running cool, economic stress reads 1.4/10.
On the softer side, state political climate reads 1.5/10. Court records carry 8 eviction filings across 3 observed years. The worst year on record was 2016, when 1.0% of renter households were served.
In a typical year about 0.8% of renter households face a filing. That is riskier than roughly 47% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model.
At 16% renter-occupied this is predominantly owner territory, and comps have to be drawn from further out. CDC social-vulnerability scoring puts the tract at 5.1/10. Of its three components the housing type and transport measure is the most pressured.
All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.
About tract 12081000407
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 12081000407?
What is the average rent in tract 12081000407?
What is the poverty rate in tract 12081000407?
How socially vulnerable is tract 12081000407?
Is tract 12081000407 considered part of Palma Sola Bay Club?
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 12081000407?
How does tract 12081000407 compare to Bradenton overall?
Highest-risk tracts in Bradenton
Top eight tracts in Bradenton ranked by composite eviction-risk score.