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Neighborhood · Ranked #51,553 of 84,120 nationally

Palma Sola Bay Club Eviction Risk: Lower , Bradenton

Tract 12081000407 · Manatee, FL · pop 4,531 · neighborhood within 1.4 mi

Tract 12081000407 covers the Palma Sola Bay Club neighborhood of Bradenton in Florida. Home to 4,531 residents, it scores 5.6/10 on landlord eviction risk. It lands near the 62nd percentile nationally for landlord eviction risk.

Rent eats 30% or more of income for 72% of renter households, a severe level, and 44% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average rent runs $2,636 a month against an average household income of $65,302 a year, roughly 48% of income at the averages. Renters make up 16% of occupied homes.

Risk score
3.4
Lower
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 12% Stable renters 5% Owners 83%
Tract context
Occupied units2,074
Renter share16.2%
SVI overall0.46
Poverty rate5.5%
Median income$65,302

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
40 th percentile
Rank, 40th percentileLowHigh
#4 of 6 tracts In Palma Sola Bay Club
Moderate
Within parent city
29 th percentile
Rank, 29th percentileLowHigh
#16 of 22 tracts In Bradenton
Low
Within county
59 th percentile
Rank, 59th percentileLowHigh
#39 of 93 tracts In Manatee
Elevated
Within state
52 th percentile
Rank, 52nd percentileLowHigh
#2,476 of 5,122 tracts In Florida
Moderate
Geographic context

Risk heat across Bradenton and the region

Centroid at 27.4873, -82.6283 · click any tract to drill in

Why Palma Sola Bay Club scores 3.4

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Bradenton
4.8
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
4.2
State political climate
Florida legislature & governorship
1.5
Economic stress
5.5% poverty · this tract
1.4
Supply constraint
$2,636 rent vs county FMR
9.3
Rent control risk
Inherited from Bradenton
8.4
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
1.6
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Bradenton
8.4
Housing court bias
Inherited from Bradenton
7.5

How Palma Sola Bay Club compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Palma Sola Bay Club risk score vs. parent city / county / stateThis tract: 3.43.4This tracttract 000407Bradenton: 2.62.6Bradentonparent cityCounty: 3.33.3Countyavg tract in countyState: 3.53.5Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 46

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 8Total filings over 3 yrs
  • 0.80%Avg annual filing rate
  • 1.0%Peak (2016)
  • 4Filings in 2016 (latest validated)
Filings by year 2002 to 2016
Year-by-year eviction filings in tract 120810004072002: 2 filings (0.72/100 renter HHs)2003: 2 filings (0.72/100 renter HHs)2015: 0 filings (0.00/100 renter HHs)2016: 4 filings (0.96/100 renter HHs)
Filings climbed 100% over the past 4 months.
Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Palma Sola Bay Club. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Palma Sola Bay Club

What moves this score most is supply constraint at 9.3/10. That part is specific to this tract, computed from its own rent, income, and poverty figures. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Bradenton, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.

Set against its neighbors, this tract scores above the Manatee County average of 5.0 and above the Florida statewide average of 4.9. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.

Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 8 eviction filings here over 3 tracked years, with about 0.8% of renter households facing a filing in a typical year. Filings peaked at 1.0% of renter households in 2016.

The tract is predominantly White and ranks around the 46th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. That is a middle-of-the-pack reading for social vulnerability.

For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.

Frequently asked

About tract 12081000407

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 12081000407?

Census tract 12081000407 in the Palma Sola Bay Club neighborhood scores 3.4/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 12081000407?

Median gross rent is $2,636/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 72% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 12081000407?

5.5% of residents in tract 12081000407 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 4,531.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 12081000407?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 46th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 29th, household 49th, minority 14th, housing 80th.
Q5

Is tract 12081000407 considered part of Palma Sola Bay Club?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 12081000407 fall within Palma Sola Bay Club (neighborhood centroid within 1.4 miles, OSM data).
Q6

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 12081000407?

Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 8 eviction filings across 3 validated years in tract 12081000407 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 0.80% of renter households, peaking at 1.0% in 2016. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7

How does tract 12081000407 compare to Bradenton overall?

Tract 12081000407 scores 3.4/10, higher than the parent city of Bradenton at 2.6/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Bradenton; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Bradenton

Top eight tracts in Bradenton ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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