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Neighborhood · Bradenton, FL

Palma Sola Bay Club Eviction Risk: Moderate

6 census tracts · pop 19,525 · pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score 4.7/10 · range 3.8–5.8

Palma Sola Bay Club spans 6 census tracts of Bradenton, FL, population 19,525. That produces an Eviction Risk Score of 4.7/10, Moderate tier. 58% of renters here are cost-burdened at the 30% threshold, dramatically above the Bradenton rate of 37.8%.

The severe-burden share is 35%. Those renters are past the 50% mark, and they miss rent for reasons that have nothing to do with willingness to pay. Pulling the other way is eviction-process difficulty, at 1.5/10.

The 6 tracts inside this boundary do not behave alike. Individual scores run 3.8 to 5.8, a 2-point gap wide enough that the area average misleads on any specific address. Running hot is rent-regulation exposure at 7.5/10.

Filings are well documented here: 250 across 4 observed tracts. On the high side is tenant-organizing strength at 7.5/10.

The worst year on record was 2016, when filings touched 17.2% of renter households. At $1,804 a month, rents sit 11% over what the rest of Bradenton commands. Judgments average 1.8% of renter households a year, the share of filings that actually convert to an order.

Annual rent works out to 32% of average household income of $67,918. 32% of occupied units are renter-occupied.

Underwrite the address, not the area: with 2 points between its best and worst tract, the per-tract table below is the operative number. Scores move when the ACS release, the court-record feed, or the statute ledger behind them moves.

Risk score
4.7
Moderate
6 tracts · population-weighted
Palma Sola Bay Club vs Bradenton How this neighborhood stacks against the citywide average
% of income on rent
58.1% +54%
Bradenton: 37.8%
Average gross rent
$1,804 +11%
Bradenton: $1,618
Average HH income
$67,918 +11%
Bradenton: $60,964
Poverty rate
13.1% -8%
Bradenton: 14.2%
Renter share
31.7% -28%
Bradenton: 44.0%
Peer neighborhoods

Neighborhoods with similar eviction risk

Same county, closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Palma Sola Bay Club and the region

Click any tract to drill in · 6 tracts span score 3.8–5.8

Why Palma Sola Bay Club scores 4.7

9 axes · pop-weighted · 1 = landlord-friendly
State political climate
legislature & governorship · Range 1.5–1.5 across tracts
1.5
Regional political climate
County-level mix · 2024 presidential margin · Range 4.2–4.2 across tracts
4.2
Local political climate
Parent city governance · Range 4.8–4.8 across tracts
4.8
Rent control risk
58% of income on rent · Range 3.5–8.4 across tracts
7.5
Eviction process difficulty
State notice requirements & court backlog · Range 1.0–1.6 across tracts
1.5
Tenant organizing strength
32% renter households · Range 3.6–8.4 across tracts
7.5
Housing court bias
County bench composition · Range 4.7–7.5 across tracts
7.0
Economic stress
13.1% below poverty line · Range 1.4–5.9 across tracts
3.3
Supply constraint
Rent-to-FMR gap & zoning friction · Range 2.9–9.3 across tracts
5.6
Risk score comparison

Palma Sola Bay Club vs. parent city, state, U.S.

Eviction Risk Score (0–10 scale).

Palma Sola Bay Club score vs. parent city, state, U.S.4.7Palma Sola Bay CluNeighborhood4.4Parent cityhost city3.9Stateavg in state5.1U.S.national avgU.S. avg = 5.0
Variance across tracts

How uniformly does eviction risk play out in Palma Sola Bay Club?

Left: distribution of constituent tract scores. Right: every tract as a heat square. Click any square to drill in.

Score distribution
0246810
Spread of 2 points from 3.8 to 5.8. This neighborhood crosses multiple risk tiers, so block-by-block conditions vary substantially.
Tracts as heat grid
Each square = one census tract. Color tracks the same green→red ramp as the chloropleth map above.
Census tracts

6 tracts in Palma Sola Bay Club

Ranked highest-risk first. Click for per-tract detail.

Tract Score Pop % over 30% on rent Average rent
12081001106 5.8 4,127 59% $1,465
12081000409 4.9 2,421 66% $2,081
12081000410 4.8 3,125 61% $1,728
12081000407 4.3 4,531 72% $2,636
12081001107 4 3,745 57% $1,812
12081000403 3.8 1,576 , ,
Social Vulnerability Index

CDC SVI percentile: 55

Pop-weighted across 6 tracts. Higher = more vulnerable to disaster, displacement, and rent shocks. Source: CDC/ATSDR SVI 2022.

Socioeconomic status 55%ile
Poverty, unemployment, no-HS-diploma, housing cost burden
Household characteristics 63%ile
Single-parent HH, disability, language barriers, age 17- / 65+
Racial/ethnic minority 37%ile
Hispanic + non-white share of population
Housing & transport 54%ile
Multi-unit structures, mobile homes, crowding, no vehicle
Eviction filings · Princeton Eviction Lab

Court-record eviction history in Palma Sola Bay Club

Aggregated across 4 validated constituent tracts. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households, pop-weighted.

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 250Total filings (sum)
  • 4.16%Avg annual filing rate
  • 17.2%Peak year (2016)
  • 2.04%Latest filed (2016)
Frequently asked

About Palma Sola Bay Club

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for Palma Sola Bay Club?

Palma Sola Bay Club scores 4.7/10 (Moderate tier) across 6 census tracts. The pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income and poverty signals.
Q2

How does Palma Sola Bay Club compare to Bradenton overall?

Palma Sola Bay Club scores 0.3 points higher than Bradenton overall (4.4/10). Renters spend 58% of income on rent vs 38% citywide. Average rent: $1,804 vs $1,618.
Q3

What is the average rent in Palma Sola Bay Club?

Average gross rent in Palma Sola Bay Club is $1,804/month (pop-weighted across 6 census tracts, ACS 5-year 2023). 58% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q4

What percentage of Palma Sola Bay Club residents are renters?

32% of Palma Sola Bay Club households are renter-occupied (vs 44% in Bradenton). The neighborhood has 19,525 residents.
Q5

Is Palma Sola Bay Club a high social-vulnerability area?

Palma Sola Bay Club sits in the 55th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index (moderately vulnerable). The index combines poverty, unemployment, household composition, racial/ethnic minority share, and housing/transportation factors across all US census tracts.
Q6

Which tracts in Palma Sola Bay Club have the highest eviction risk?

The highest-risk constituent tract in Palma Sola Bay Club is census tract 12081001106 (score 5.8/10). Across the 6 tracts in this neighborhood the score ranges from 3.8 to 5.8, a spread of 2 points.
Q7

How safe is Palma Sola Bay Club for landlords?

Palma Sola Bay Club carries a moderate-tier eviction-risk profile for landlords (4.7/10). Pop-weighted across 6 constituent tracts, the score blends parent-city rent-control posture, county eviction-process timelines, and tract-specific rent-to-income / poverty signals. Compared to Bradenton as a whole (4.4/10), this neighborhood is in line with the citywide level.
Q8

What is the demographic breakdown of Palma Sola Bay Club?

Palma Sola Bay Club has 19,380 residents. Top groups: White (non-Hispanic) (74.2%), Hispanic / Latino (16.7%), Black (non-Hispanic) (4.5%). Source: ACS 5-year 2023, table B03002.
Nearby

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