Neighborhood · Ranked #35,669 of 84,120 nationally

Palma Sola Bay Club Eviction Risk: Moderate , Bradenton

Tract 12081000410 · Manatee, FL · pop 3,125 · neighborhood within 0.9 mi

12081000410 is a census tract in the Palma Sola Bay Club area of Bradenton, FL. It scores 4.8/10 for landlords. Severe burden reaches 43%. Those are renters paying half their income or more, and that is where non-payment filings originate.

Risk score

4.8

Moderate

Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale

Household mix · 100 hh

Burdened renters 11% Stable renters 7% Owners 82%

Tract context

Occupied units1,468

Renter share18.7%

SVI overall0.42

Poverty rate11.7%

Median income$69,231

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Bradenton and the region

Centroid at 27.4738, -82.6271 · click any tract to drill in

Why Palma Sola Bay Club scores 4.8

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly

Local political climate

Inherited from Bradenton

4.8

Regional political climate

2024 county presidential margin

4.2

State political climate

Florida legislature & governorship

1.5

Economic stress

11.7% poverty · this tract

2.9

Supply constraint

$1,728 rent vs county FMR

4.4

Rent control risk

Inherited from Bradenton

8.4

Eviction process difficulty

State law sets the calendar

1.6

Tenant organizing strength

Inherited from Bradenton

8.4

Housing court bias

Inherited from Bradenton

7.5

How Palma Sola Bay Club compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.

CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 42

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

69%Socioeconomic
41%Household composition
36%Racial/ethnic minority
16%Housing & transportation

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Palma Sola Bay Club. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Palma Sola Bay Club

The main counterweight is state political climate at 1.5/10. Running hot, rent-regulation exposure reads 8.4/10. On the high side, tenant-organizing strength reads 8.4/10.

Cost burden runs 61% here against 53.5% across Manatee County. It sits 0.7 points above the Manatee County average of 4.1. Nationally it ranks #35,669 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty.

Only 19% of units are renter-occupied. Rental comparables are thin; price a renewal off the nearest genuine rental sub-market rather than off surrounding sale prices. CDC social-vulnerability scoring puts the tract at 4.8/10.

Of its three components the housing type and transport measure is the least pressured. Average gross rent is $1,728, close to the Bradenton average.

Annual rent works out to 30% of average household income of $69,231.

All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.

Frequently asked

About tract 12081000410

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 12081000410?

Census tract 12081000410 in the Palma Sola Bay Club neighborhood scores 4.8/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.

What is the average rent in tract 12081000410?

Median gross rent is $1,728/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 61% of renter households are cost-burdened.

What is the poverty rate in tract 12081000410?

11.7% of residents in tract 12081000410 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,125.

How socially vulnerable is tract 12081000410?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 42th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 69th, household 41th, minority 36th, housing 16th.

Is tract 12081000410 considered part of Palma Sola Bay Club?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 12081000410 fall within Palma Sola Bay Club (neighborhood centroid within 0.9 miles, OSM data).

How does tract 12081000410 compare to Bradenton overall?

Tract 12081000410 scores 4.8/10, higher than the parent city of Bradenton at 4.4/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Bradenton; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.

Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Bradenton

Top eight tracts in Bradenton ranked by composite eviction-risk score.