Within neighborhood
67
th percentile
Elevated
Neighborhood · Ranked #18,163 of 84,120 nationally
Overtown Eviction Risk: Elevated , Miami
Tract 12086003004 · Miami-Dade, FL · pop 5,639 · neighborhood within 1.2 mi
With a score of 6/10, tract 12086003004 in the Overtown area of Miami, FL reads elevated for landlord eviction risk. It is home to 5,639 residents. Adults with no health insurance runs 35.2% against 11.3% nationally.
Risk score
6
Elevated
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 65%
Stable renters 29%
Owners 6%
Tract context
Occupied units2,469
Renter share94.0%
SVI overall0.93
Poverty rate29.5%
Median income$35,363
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
82
th percentile
High
Within county
89
th percentile
High
Within state
98
th percentile
Very High
Geographic context
Risk heat across Miami and the region
Centroid at 25.7898, -80.2185 · click any tract to drill in
Why Overtown scores 6
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Miami
6.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.4
State political climate
Florida legislature & governorship
1.5
Economic stress
29.5% poverty · this tract
7.4
Supply constraint
$1,363 rent vs county FMR
1.0
Rent control risk
Inherited from Miami
2.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
3.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Miami
6.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Miami
5.0
How Overtown compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 93
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 86%Socioeconomic
- 71%Household composition
- 97%Racial/ethnic minority
- 94%Housing & transportation
Historical context · 1930s redlining
HOLC grade: C: Definitely Declining
This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade C meant mixed-race / working-class neighborhoods rated as risky. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.
- 0%Grade A
- 0%Grade B
- 38%Grade C
- 0%Grade D · redlined
Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 127Total filings over 2 yrs
- 3.55%Avg annual filing rate
- 4.3%Peak (2015)
- 53Filings in 2016 (latest validated)
Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)
- 624Total filings 2020-21
- 8.6Avg monthly (observed)
- 3.6Pre-pandemic baseline
- 2.41×Ratio to baseline
Pandemic filings ran above baseline. Eviction Lab tracked Miami as part of its 34-metro Eviction Tracking System.
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within Overtown. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Overtown
The severe-burden share is 31%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment. Set annual rent against average income of $35,363 and the ratio lands at 46%, above the conventional 30% ceiling.
94% of occupied units are rented, so comparables are plentiful and vacancy risk is low, but a mispriced renewal loses the tenant to a building nearby. Pulling hardest the other way is supply constraint at 1/10.
69% of renter households cross the 30%-of-income line, well above the Miami-Dade County average of 57.9%. Well under the midpoint, state political climate reads 1.5/10. The poverty rate is 30%, which in this model reads as reduced rent-recovery odds after a judgment.
It sits 1.4 points above the Miami-Dade County average of 4.6. Running cool, rent-regulation exposure reads 2/10.
Average gross rent is $1,363, 22% below the Miami average. Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 127 filings here across 2 tracked years.
Tract-level figures come from the ACS 5-year release and are rebuilt whenever that, the court-record feed, or the statutory ledger behind the score changes.
Frequently asked
About tract 12086003004
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 12086003004?
Census tract 12086003004 in the Overtown neighborhood scores 6/10 (Elevated tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 12086003004?
Median gross rent is $1,363/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 69% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 12086003004?
29.5% of residents in tract 12086003004 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 5,639.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 12086003004?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 93th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 86th, household 71th, minority 97th, housing 94th.
Q5
Is tract 12086003004 considered part of Overtown?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 12086003004 fall within Overtown (neighborhood centroid within 1.2 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 12086003004?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 127 eviction filings across 2 validated years in tract 12086003004 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 3.55% of renter households, peaking at 4.3% in 2015. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
Did eviction filings in tract 12086003004 drop during COVID?
Pandemic-era filings ran 2.41× the pre-COVID monthly baseline. Filings ran above pre-pandemic norms. Tracked by the Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Miami eviction risk), 2020-2021.
Q8
How does tract 12086003004 compare to Miami overall?
Tract 12086003004 scores 6/10, higher than the parent city of Miami at 4.6/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Miami eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q9
Was tract 12086003004 historically redlined?
Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of C. 0% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Miami
Top eight tracts in Miami ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Tract · FL
12086001704
6
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · FL
Little Havana
6
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · FL
Wynwood
6
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · FL
12086005003
6
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · FL
Little Havana
6
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · FL
Wynwood
6
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · FL
Downtown Miami
6
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · FL
12086001802
6
/ 10 · Elevated
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