Neighborhood · Ranked #23,808 of 84,120 nationally
Española Way Eviction Risk: Moderate , Miami Beach
Tract 12086004207 ·
Miami-Dade, FL · pop 2,141 · neighborhood within 0.7 mi
Census tract 12086004207 covers part of the Española Way area of Miami Beach, FL, and scores 5.5/10 on landlord eviction risk. Population here is 2,141. What pushes it up most is tenant-organizing strength at 9.6/10.
Risk score
5.5
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 43%Stable renters 48%Owners 9%
Tract context
Occupied units1,084
Renter share90.6%
SVI overall0.49
Poverty rate10.5%
Median income$75,750
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
22th percentile
#8 of 10 tracts In Española Way
Low
Within parent city
39th percentile
#18 of 29 tracts In Miami Beach
Low
Within county
76th percentile
#172 of 706 tracts In Miami-Dade
High
Within state
92th percentile
#431 of 5,122 tracts In Florida
Very High
Geographic context
Risk heat across Miami Beach and the region
Centroid at 25.7875, -80.1437 · click any tract to drill in
Why Española Way scores 5.5
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Miami Beach
5.8
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.4
State political climate
Florida legislature & governorship
1.5
Economic stress
10.5% poverty · this tract
2.6
Supply constraint
$2,400 rent vs county FMR
5.3
Rent control risk
Inherited from Miami Beach
8.6
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
1.2
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Miami Beach
9.6
Housing court bias
Inherited from Miami Beach
7.6
How Española Way compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 49
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
75%Socioeconomic
3%Household composition
58%Racial/ethnic minority
62%Housing & transportation
Historical context · 1930s redlining
HOLC grade: B: Still Desirable
This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade B meant middle-class areas with mortgage access. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.
0%Grade A
81%Grade B
0%Grade C
0%Grade D · redlined
Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)
316Total filings 2020-21
4.3Avg monthly (observed)
14.9Pre-pandemic baseline
0.29×Ratio to baseline
Monthly filings 2020–20212020-01-01 to 2026-01-01
Pandemic filings ran far below baseline (moratorium effect). Eviction Lab tracked Miami as part of its 34-metro Eviction Tracking System.
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within Española Way. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
91% of occupied units are rented, so comparables are plentiful and vacancy risk is low, but a mispriced renewal loses the tenant to a building nearby. 28% are severely burdened past the 50% mark. That cohort absorbs no shock: one repair bill or one cut shift converts straight into arrears.
Set annual rent against average income of $75,750 and the ratio lands at 38%, above the conventional 30% ceiling. Running cool, eviction-process difficulty reads 1.2/10.
Average gross rent is $2,400, 31% above the Miami Beach average. 47% of renter households cross the 30%-of-income line, well below the Miami-Dade County average of 57.9%. Sitting well above the midpoint, rent-regulation exposure reads 8.6/10.
It sits 0.9 points above the Miami-Dade County average of 4.6. In the 1930s the federal Home Owners' Loan Corporation graded this ground B ("Still Desirable"). Redlining cut off mortgage credit to whole blocks for decades, and the areas graded D still carry measurably lower ownership and higher rent burden today. On the national scale it lands near the 72nd percentile of the 84,120 tracts scored.
On the CDC Social Vulnerability Index the tract reads 5.4/10, which tracks how hard a shock lands on the households already here. Statewide the FL average is 4.1, so this tract runs 1.4 points hotter.
These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.
Frequently asked
About tract 12086004207
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 12086004207?
Census tract 12086004207 in the Española Way neighborhood scores 5.5/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 12086004207?
Median gross rent is $2,400/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 47% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 12086004207?
10.5% of residents in tract 12086004207 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 2,141.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 12086004207?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 49th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 75th, household 3th, minority 58th, housing 62th.
Q5
Is tract 12086004207 considered part of Española Way?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 12086004207 fall within Española Way (neighborhood centroid within 0.7 miles, OSM data).
Q6
Did eviction filings in tract 12086004207 drop during COVID?
Pandemic-era filings ran 0.29× the pre-COVID monthly baseline. Filings dropped sharply, likely a moratorium effect. Tracked by the Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Miami eviction risk), 2020-2021.
Q7
How does tract 12086004207 compare to Miami Beach overall?
Tract 12086004207 scores 5.5/10, lower than the parent city of Miami Beach at 5.9/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Miami Beach eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q8
Was tract 12086004207 historically redlined?
Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of B. 0% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Miami Beach
Top eight tracts in Miami Beach ranked by composite eviction-risk score.