Within neighborhood
44
th percentile
Moderate
Neighborhood · Ranked #20,506 of 84,120 nationally
Little Havana Eviction Risk: Moderate , Miami
Tract 12086005103 · Miami-Dade, FL · pop 2,574 · neighborhood within 0.9 mi
12086005103 is a census tract in the Little Havana area of Miami, FL. It scores 5.8/10 for landlords. It is home to 2,574 residents. Annualized rent equals 53% of average household income of $34,474, past the 30% affordability line, which thins the margin any screening standard has to work with.
Risk score
5.8
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 47%
Stable renters 32%
Owners 21%
Tract context
Occupied units940
Renter share79.1%
SVI overall0.98
Poverty rate17.1%
Median income$34,474
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
62
th percentile
Elevated
Within county
81
th percentile
High
Within state
95
th percentile
Very High
Geographic context
Risk heat across Miami and the region
Centroid at 25.7814, -80.2353 · click any tract to drill in
Why Little Havana scores 5.8
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Miami
6.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.4
State political climate
Florida legislature & governorship
1.5
Economic stress
17.1% poverty · this tract
4.3
Supply constraint
$1,512 rent vs county FMR
1.5
Rent control risk
Inherited from Miami
2.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
3.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Miami
6.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Miami
5.0
How Little Havana compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 98
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 89%Socioeconomic
- 91%Household composition
- 96%Racial/ethnic minority
- 98%Housing & transportation
Historical context · 1930s redlining
HOLC grade: C: Definitely Declining
This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade C meant mixed-race / working-class neighborhoods rated as risky. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.
- 0%Grade A
- 0%Grade B
- 39%Grade C
- 0%Grade D · redlined
Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 29Total filings over 2 yrs
- 2.01%Avg annual filing rate
- 2.8%Peak (2015)
- 9Filings in 2016 (latest validated)
Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)
- 46Total filings 2020-21
- 0.6Avg monthly (observed)
- 0.5Pre-pandemic baseline
- 1.39×Ratio to baseline
Pandemic filings ran above baseline. Eviction Lab tracked Miami as part of its 34-metro Eviction Tracking System.
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within Little Havana. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Little Havana
Adults with no health insurance runs 39.6% against 11.3% nationally. Severe burden reaches 26%. Those are renters paying half their income or more, and that is where non-payment filings originate. 79% of occupied units are rented, so comparables are plentiful and vacancy risk is low, but a mispriced renewal loses the tenant to a building nearby.
The clearest offset is state political climate at 1.5/10. Well under the midpoint, supply constraint reads 1.5/10.
Running cool, rent-regulation exposure reads 2/10. It sits 1.2 points above the Miami-Dade County average of 4.6.
Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 29 filings here across 2 tracked years. Average gross rent is $1,512, 14% below the Miami average. The worst year on record was 2015, when 2.8% of renter households were served.
In the 1930s the federal Home Owners' Loan Corporation graded this ground C ("Definitely Declining"). Redlining cut off mortgage credit to whole blocks for decades, and the areas graded D still carry measurably lower ownership and higher rent burden today. In a typical year about 2.0% of renter households face a filing.
Tract-level figures come from the ACS 5-year release and are rebuilt whenever that, the court-record feed, or the statutory ledger behind the score changes.
Frequently asked
About tract 12086005103
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 12086005103?
Census tract 12086005103 in the Little Havana neighborhood scores 5.8/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 12086005103?
Median gross rent is $1,512/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 59% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 12086005103?
17.1% of residents in tract 12086005103 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 2,574.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 12086005103?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 98th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 89th, household 91th, minority 96th, housing 98th.
Q5
Is tract 12086005103 considered part of Little Havana?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 12086005103 fall within Little Havana (neighborhood centroid within 0.9 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 12086005103?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 29 eviction filings across 2 validated years in tract 12086005103 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 2.01% of renter households, peaking at 2.8% in 2015. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
Did eviction filings in tract 12086005103 drop during COVID?
Pandemic-era filings ran 1.39× the pre-COVID monthly baseline. Filings ran above pre-pandemic norms. Tracked by the Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Miami eviction risk), 2020-2021.
Q8
How does tract 12086005103 compare to Miami overall?
Tract 12086005103 scores 5.8/10, higher than the parent city of Miami at 4.6/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Miami eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q9
Was tract 12086005103 historically redlined?
Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of C. 0% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Miami
Top eight tracts in Miami ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Tract · FL
Oakland Grove
6
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · FL
Little Havana
6
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · FL
12086002403
6
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · FL
12086003006
6
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · FL
12086001501
6
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · FL
Little Havana
6
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · FL
12086002404
6
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · FL
Overtown
6
/ 10 · Elevated
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