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Neighborhood · Ranked #19,562 of 84,120 nationally

Little Havana Eviction Risk: Moderate , Miami

Tract 12086005407 · Miami-Dade, FL · pop 2,559 · neighborhood within 0.1 mi

Census tract 12086005407 runs through Little Havana in Miami. With 2,559 residents, it scores 5.2/10 for landlords. On the national scale it ranks #44,756 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty.

54% of renter households here spend at least 30% of income on rent, a severe level, and 31% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average gross rent is $1,291 monthly, set against $40,057 in average yearly household income, roughly 39% of income at the averages. Renters make up 73% of occupied homes, a renter-majority tract.

Risk score
5.4
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 40% Stable renters 34% Owners 26%
Tract context
Occupied units943
Renter share73.4%
SVI overall0.97
Poverty rate21.7%
Median income$40,057

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
52 th percentile
Rank, 52nd percentileLowHigh
#13 of 26 tracts In Little Havana
Moderate
Within parent city
66 th percentile
Rank, 66th percentileLowHigh
#45 of 132 tracts In Miami
Elevated
Within county
85 th percentile
Rank, 85th percentileLowHigh
#106 of 706 tracts In Miami-Dade
High
Within state
92 th percentile
Rank, 92nd percentileLowHigh
#391 of 5,122 tracts In Florida
Very High
Geographic context

Risk heat across Miami and the region

Centroid at 25.7689, -80.2349 · click any tract to drill in

Why Little Havana scores 5.4

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Miami
6.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.4
State political climate
Florida legislature & governorship
1.5
Economic stress
21.7% poverty · this tract
5.4
Supply constraint
$1,291 rent vs county FMR
1.0
Rent control risk
Inherited from Miami
2.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
3.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Miami
6.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Miami
5.0

How Little Havana compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Little Havana risk score vs. parent city / county / stateThis tract: 5.45.4This tracttract 005407Miami: 3.13.1Miamiparent cityCounty: 3.93.9Countyavg tract in countyState: 3.53.5Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 97

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Historical context · 1930s redlining

HOLC grade: B: Still Desirable

This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade B meant middle-class areas with mortgage access. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.

Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 29Total filings over 2 yrs
  • 2.85%Avg annual filing rate
  • 3.3%Peak (2016)
  • 16Filings in 2016 (latest validated)

Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)

  • 80Total filings 2020-21
  • 1.1Avg monthly (observed)
  • 0.7Pre-pandemic baseline
  • 1.67×Ratio to baseline
Monthly filings 2020–2021 2020-01-01 to 2026-01-01
Monthly eviction filings vs pre-pandemic baseline2020-01-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2020-02-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2020-03-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2020-04-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2020-05-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2020-06-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2020-07-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2020-08-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2020-09-01: 1 filings (1.20× baseline)2020-10-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2020-11-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2020-12-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2021-01-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2021-02-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2021-03-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2021-04-01: 3 filings (3.00× baseline)2021-05-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2021-06-01: 1 filings (5.88× baseline)2021-07-01: 1 filings (2.00× baseline)2021-08-01: 1 filings (1.49× baseline)2021-09-01: 4 filings (4.82× baseline)2021-10-01: 1 filings (0.85× baseline)2021-11-01: 5 filings (10.00× baseline)2021-12-01: 1 filings (1.49× baseline)2022-01-01: 3 filings (17.65× baseline)2022-02-01: 1 filings (1.20× baseline)2022-03-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2022-04-01: 2 filings (2.00× baseline)2022-05-01: 2 filings (2.00× baseline)2022-06-01: 1 filings (5.88× baseline)2022-07-01: 6 filings (12.00× baseline)2022-08-01: 2 filings (2.99× baseline)2022-09-01: 3 filings (3.61× baseline)2022-10-01: 1 filings (0.85× baseline)2022-11-01: 2 filings (4.00× baseline)2022-12-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2023-01-01: 1 filings (5.88× baseline)2023-02-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2023-03-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2023-04-01: 1 filings (1.00× baseline)2023-05-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2023-06-01: 2 filings (11.76× baseline)2023-07-01: 8 filings (16.00× baseline)2023-08-01: 5 filings (7.46× baseline)2023-09-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2023-10-01: 4 filings (3.42× baseline)2023-11-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2023-12-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2024-01-01: 1 filings (5.88× baseline)2024-02-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2024-03-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2024-04-01: 1 filings (1.00× baseline)2024-05-01: 2 filings (2.00× baseline)2024-06-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2024-07-01: 1 filings (2.00× baseline)2024-08-01: 2 filings (2.99× baseline)2024-09-01: 1 filings (1.20× baseline)2024-10-01: 1 filings (0.85× baseline)2024-11-01: 3 filings (6.00× baseline)2024-12-01: 1 filings (1.49× baseline)2025-01-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2025-02-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2025-03-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2025-04-01: 1 filings (1.00× baseline)2025-05-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2025-06-01: 1 filings (5.88× baseline)2025-07-01: 2 filings (4.00× baseline)2025-08-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2025-09-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2025-10-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2025-11-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2025-12-01: 1 filings (1.49× baseline)2026-01-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)

Pandemic filings ran above baseline. Eviction Lab tracked Miami as part of its 34-metro Eviction Tracking System.

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Little Havana. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Little Havana

What moves this score most is tenant organizing strength at 6.5/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Miami eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.

Set against its neighbors, this tract scores about the same as the Miami-Dade County average of 5.3 and in line with the Florida statewide average of 4.9. Within its own county it reads on the safer side for landlords.

The tract is predominantly Hispanic or Latino and ranks around the 97th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. High vulnerability tends to track with higher eviction-filing rates when rents climb.

Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 29 eviction filings here over 2 tracked years, with about 2.8% of renter households facing a filing in a typical year. Filings peaked at 3.3% of renter households in 2016.

For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.

Frequently asked

About tract 12086005407

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 12086005407?

Census tract 12086005407 in the Little Havana neighborhood scores 5.4/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 12086005407?

Median gross rent is $1,291/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 54% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 12086005407?

21.7% of residents in tract 12086005407 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 2,559.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 12086005407?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 97th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 87th, household 78th, minority 96th, housing 99th.
Q5

Is tract 12086005407 considered part of Little Havana?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 12086005407 fall within Little Havana (neighborhood centroid within 0.1 miles, OSM data).
Q6

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 12086005407?

Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 29 eviction filings across 2 validated years in tract 12086005407 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 2.85% of renter households, peaking at 3.3% in 2016. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7

Did eviction filings in tract 12086005407 drop during COVID?

Pandemic-era filings ran 1.67× the pre-COVID monthly baseline. Filings ran above pre-pandemic norms. Tracked by the Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Miami eviction risk), 2020-2021.
Q8

How does tract 12086005407 compare to Miami overall?

Tract 12086005407 scores 5.4/10, higher than the parent city of Miami at 3.1/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Miami eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q9

Was tract 12086005407 historically redlined?

Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of B. 0% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Miami

Top eight tracts in Miami ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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