Within neighborhood
100
th percentile
Very High
Neighborhood · Ranked #18,163 of 84,120 nationally
Overtown Eviction Risk: Elevated , Miami
Tract 12086003400 · Miami-Dade, FL · pop 3,349 · neighborhood within 0.2 mi
With a score of 6/10, tract 12086003400 in the Overtown area of Miami, FL reads elevated for landlord eviction risk. Population here is 3,349. Severe burden reaches 37%. Those are renters paying half their income or more, and that is where non-payment filings originate.
Risk score
6
Elevated
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 72%
Stable renters 28%
Owners 0%
Tract context
Occupied units1,773
Renter share100.0%
SVI overall0.95
Poverty rate25.5%
Median income$39,210
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
80
th percentile
High
Within county
87
th percentile
High
Within state
98
th percentile
Very High
Geographic context
Risk heat across Miami and the region
Centroid at 25.7839, -80.2005 · click any tract to drill in
Why Overtown scores 6
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Miami
6.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.4
State political climate
Florida legislature & governorship
1.5
Economic stress
25.5% poverty · this tract
6.4
Supply constraint
$1,320 rent vs county FMR
1.0
Rent control risk
Inherited from Miami
2.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
3.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Miami
6.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Miami
5.0
How Overtown compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 95
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 94%Socioeconomic
- 74%Household composition
- 95%Racial/ethnic minority
- 91%Housing & transportation
Historical context · 1930s redlining
HOLC grade: D: Hazardous (Redlined)
This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade D meant Black, immigrant, and poor neighborhoods systematically denied mortgage credit. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.
- 0%Grade A
- 0%Grade B
- 0%Grade C
- 78%Grade D · redlined
Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 471Total filings over 2 yrs
- 26.74%Avg annual filing rate
- 37.0%Peak (2015)
- 197Filings in 2016 (latest validated)
Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)
- 868Total filings 2020-21
- 11.9Avg monthly (observed)
- 12.6Pre-pandemic baseline
- 0.95×Ratio to baseline
Pandemic filings ran below baseline. Eviction Lab tracked Miami as part of its 34-metro Eviction Tracking System.
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within Overtown. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Overtown
100% of occupied units are rented, so comparables are plentiful and vacancy risk is low, but a mispriced renewal loses the tenant to a building nearby. Cost burden runs 72% here against 57.9% across Miami-Dade County. The clearest offset is supply constraint at 1/10.
Annualized rent equals 40% of average household income of $39,210, past the 30% affordability line, which thins the margin any screening standard has to work with. Well under the midpoint, state political climate reads 1.5/10.
Adults with no health insurance runs 25.5% against 11.3% nationally. Average gross rent is $1,320, 25% below the Miami average. The poverty rate is 26%, which in this model reads as reduced rent-recovery odds after a judgment.
It sits 1.4 points above the Miami-Dade County average of 4.6. Running cool, rent-regulation exposure reads 2/10.
Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 471 filings here across 2 tracked years. The worst year on record was 2015, when 37.0% of renter households were served.
Tract-level figures come from the ACS 5-year release and are rebuilt whenever that, the court-record feed, or the statutory ledger behind the score changes.
Frequently asked
About tract 12086003400
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 12086003400?
Census tract 12086003400 in the Overtown neighborhood scores 6/10 (Elevated tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 12086003400?
Median gross rent is $1,320/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 72% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 12086003400?
25.5% of residents in tract 12086003400 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,349.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 12086003400?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 95th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 94th, household 74th, minority 95th, housing 91th.
Q5
Is tract 12086003400 considered part of Overtown?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 12086003400 fall within Overtown (neighborhood centroid within 0.2 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 12086003400?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 471 eviction filings across 2 validated years in tract 12086003400 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 26.74% of renter households, peaking at 37.0% in 2015. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
Did eviction filings in tract 12086003400 drop during COVID?
Pandemic-era filings ran 0.95× the pre-COVID monthly baseline. Filings ran modestly below normal. Tracked by the Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Miami eviction risk), 2020-2021.
Q8
How does tract 12086003400 compare to Miami overall?
Tract 12086003400 scores 6/10, higher than the parent city of Miami at 4.6/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Miami eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q9
Was tract 12086003400 historically redlined?
Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of D. 78% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Miami
Top eight tracts in Miami ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Tract · FL
12086003006
6
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · FL
Oakland Grove
6
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · FL
Little Havana
6
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · FL
12086002403
6
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · FL
Overtown
6
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · FL
12086001501
6
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · FL
Little Havana
6
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · FL
12086002404
6
/ 10 · Elevated
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