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Neighborhood · Ranked #65,414 of 84,120 nationally

Modello Eviction Risk: Lower , Leisure City

Tract 12086011105 · Miami-Dade, FL · pop 4,116 · neighborhood within 1.0 mi

Tract 12086011105 sits in the Modello area of Miami-Dade County, FL, carrying an eviction-risk score of 3.1/10. It is home to 4,116 residents. Against Miami-Dade County at 57.9%, 37% of renters here are cost-burdened.

Risk score
3.1
Lower
Confidence 80% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 5% Stable renters 9% Owners 86%
Tract context
Occupied units1,172
Renter share14.6%
SVI overall0.63
Poverty rate5.9%
Median income$129,808

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
0 th percentile
Rank, 0th percentileLowHigh
#7 of 7 tracts In Modello
Very Low
Within county
17 th percentile
Rank, 17th percentileLowHigh
#587 of 706 tracts In Miami-Dade
Very Low
Within state
31 th percentile
Rank, 31st percentileLowHigh
#3,550 of 5,122 tracts In Florida
Low
National
22 th percentile
Rank, 22nd percentileLowHigh
#65,414 of 84,120 tracts In U.S.
Low
Geographic context

Risk heat across Leisure City and the region

Centroid at 25.5111, -80.4553 · click any tract to drill in

Why Modello scores 3.1

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Leisure City
1.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.4
State political climate
Florida legislature & governorship
1.5
Economic stress
5.9% poverty · this tract
1.5
Supply constraint
$1,794 rent vs county FMR
2.7
Rent control risk
Inherited from Leisure City
1.5
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
5.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Leisure City
4.0
Housing court bias
Inherited from Leisure City
5.0

How Modello compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Modello risk score vs. parent city / county / state3.1This tracttract 0111053.7Leisure Cityparent city4.6Countyavg tract in county4.1Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 63

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)

  • 74Total filings 2020-21
  • 1.0Avg monthly (observed)
  • 0.3Pre-pandemic baseline
  • 2.96×Ratio to baseline
Monthly filings 2020–2021 2020-01-01 to 2026-01-01
Monthly eviction filings vs pre-pandemic baseline

Pandemic filings ran above baseline. Eviction Lab tracked Miami as part of its 34-metro Eviction Tracking System.

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Modello. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Modello

Pulling hardest the other way is state political climate at 1.5/10. On the softer side, local political climate reads 1.5/10. Running cool, rent-regulation exposure reads 1.5/10.

18% are severely burdened past the 50% mark. That cohort absorbs no shock: one repair bill or one cut shift converts straight into arrears. It sits 1.5 points below the Miami-Dade County average of 4.6. Adults with no health insurance runs 21.3% against 11.3% nationally.

That is riskier than roughly 22% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model. At 15% renter-occupied this is predominantly owner territory, and comps have to be drawn from further out. On the CDC Social Vulnerability Index the tract reads 6.6/10, which tracks how hard a shock lands on the households already here.

Rent consumes only 17% of average household income of $129,808, an unusually wide affordability cushion. Statewide the FL average is 4.1, so this tract runs 1.0 points cooler. Poverty sits at 6%, low enough that arrears here usually signal a specific shock rather than a structural income gap.

Average gross rent runs $1,794 a month.

All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.

Frequently asked

About tract 12086011105

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 12086011105?

Census tract 12086011105 in the Modello neighborhood scores 3.1/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 12086011105?

Median gross rent is $1,794/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 37% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 12086011105?

5.9% of residents in tract 12086011105 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 4,116.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 12086011105?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 63th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 47th, household 52th, minority 84th, housing 68th.
Q5

Is tract 12086011105 considered part of Modello?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 12086011105 fall within Modello (neighborhood centroid within 1.0 miles, OSM data).
Q6

Did eviction filings in tract 12086011105 drop during COVID?

Pandemic-era filings ran 2.96× the pre-COVID monthly baseline. Filings ran above pre-pandemic norms. Tracked by the Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Miami eviction risk), 2020-2021.
Q7

How does tract 12086011105 compare to Leisure City overall?

Tract 12086011105 scores 3.1/10, lower than the parent city of Leisure City at 3.7/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Leisure City; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
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