Within neighborhood
50
th percentile
Moderate
Neighborhood · Ranked #44,239 of 84,120 nationally
Modello Eviction Risk: Moderate , Leisure City
Tract 12086011012 · Miami-Dade, FL · pop 2,268 · neighborhood within 1.3 mi
With a score of 4.3/10, tract 12086011012 in the Modello area of Leisure City, FL reads moderate for landlord eviction risk. Severe burden reaches 70%. Those are renters paying half their income or more, and that is where non-payment filings originate.
Risk score
4.3
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 9%
Stable renters 4%
Owners 87%
Tract context
Occupied units650
Renter share13.2%
SVI overall0.92
Poverty rate16.0%
Median income$54,300
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
50
th percentile
Moderate
Within county
47
th percentile
Moderate
Within state
63
th percentile
Elevated
Geographic context
Risk heat across Leisure City and the region
Centroid at 25.4860, -80.4345 · click any tract to drill in
Why Modello scores 4.3
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Leisure City
5.8
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.4
State political climate
Florida legislature & governorship
1.5
Economic stress
16.0% poverty · this tract
4.0
Supply constraint
$2,133 rent vs county FMR
4.2
Rent control risk
Inherited from Leisure City
1.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
1.3
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Leisure City
1.3
Housing court bias
Inherited from Leisure City
1.6
How Modello compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 92
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 99%Socioeconomic
- 97%Household composition
- 90%Racial/ethnic minority
- 32%Housing & transportation
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)
- 21Total filings 2020-21
- 0.3Avg monthly (observed)
- 0.3Pre-pandemic baseline
- 0.95×Ratio to baseline
Pandemic filings ran below baseline. Eviction Lab tracked Miami as part of its 34-metro Eviction Tracking System.
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within Modello. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Modello
Set annual rent against average income of $54,300 and the ratio lands at 47%, above the conventional 30% ceiling. Adults with no health insurance runs 34.1% against 11.3% nationally.
Pulling hardest the other way is rent-regulation exposure at 1/10. 70% of renter households cross the 30%-of-income line, markedly above the Miami-Dade County average of 57.9%. Well under the midpoint, eviction-process difficulty reads 1.3/10.
On the softer side, tenant-organizing strength reads 1.3/10. At $2,133 a month, rents run 24% over what the rest of Leisure City commands.
On the national scale it lands near the 47th percentile of the 84,120 tracts scored. At 13% renter-occupied this is predominantly owner territory, and comps have to be drawn from further out.
On the CDC Social Vulnerability Index the tract reads 9.3/10, which tracks how hard a shock lands on the households already here. Of its three components the socioeconomic standing measure is the most pressured. It tracks the Miami-Dade County average of 4.6 closely.
All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.
Frequently asked
About tract 12086011012
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 12086011012?
Census tract 12086011012 in the Modello neighborhood scores 4.3/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 12086011012?
Median gross rent is $2,133/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 70% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 12086011012?
16.0% of residents in tract 12086011012 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 2,268.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 12086011012?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 92th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 99th, household 97th, minority 90th, housing 32th.
Q5
Is tract 12086011012 considered part of Modello?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 12086011012 fall within Modello (neighborhood centroid within 1.3 miles, OSM data).
Q6
Did eviction filings in tract 12086011012 drop during COVID?
Pandemic-era filings ran 0.95× the pre-COVID monthly baseline. Filings ran modestly below normal. Tracked by the Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Miami eviction risk), 2020-2021.
Q7
How does tract 12086011012 compare to Leisure City overall?
Tract 12086011012 scores 4.3/10, higher than the parent city of Leisure City at 3.7/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Leisure City; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Leisure City
Top eight tracts in Leisure City ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Related