7 census tracts · pop 34,352 · pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score 5.1/10
· range 3.1–7.9
Modello is a 7-tract neighborhood of Leisure City, FL, population 34,352. The Eviction Risk Score is 5.1/10, in the Moderate tier. Scores across the 7 constituent tracts range from 3.1 to 7.9. A 4.8-point internal spread means block-level underwriting beats area-level here.
38% are severely burdened, paying half their income or more in rent. That cohort has no absorption capacity for an unexpected bill, and it is where non-payment filings originate. Set annual rent against average household income of $61,861 and the ratio lands at 33%, above the conventional 30% ceiling.
56% of renters here are cost-burdened at the 30% threshold, higher than the Leisure City rate of 47.5%. The clearest offset is eviction-process difficulty, at 1.9/10.
Running cool is supply constraint, at 2.4/10. The poverty rate is 21%, which shows up in this model as reduced rent-recovery odds after a judgment.
Filings are well documented here: 154 across 2 observed tracts. On the softer side is rent-regulation exposure, at 2.7/10.
Filing activity peaked in 2016 at 11.0% of renter households. Judgments average 2.7% of renter households a year, the share of filings that actually convert to an order.
Social vulnerability runs high at 8.8/10, concentrating the disaster- and displacement-exposure this model treats as a lagging risk input. Average gross rent runs $1,714, close to the Leisure City average. 54% of occupied units are renter-occupied.
Underwrite the address, not the area: with 4.8 points between its best and worst tract, the per-tract table below is the operative number. Scores move when the ACS release, the court-record feed, or the statute ledger behind them moves.
Risk score
5.1
Moderate
7 tracts · population-weighted
Modello vs Leisure CityHow this neighborhood stacks against the citywide average
Single-parent HH, disability, language barriers, age 17- / 65+
Racial/ethnic minority92%ile
Hispanic + non-white share of population
Housing & transport64%ile
Multi-unit structures, mobile homes, crowding, no vehicle
Eviction filings · Princeton Eviction Lab
Court-record eviction history in Modello
Aggregated across 2 validated constituent tracts. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households, pop-weighted.
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
154Total filings (sum)
5.90%Avg annual filing rate
11.0%Peak year (2016)
6.38%Latest filed (2016)
Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)
1,140Total filings 2020-21
2.9Avg monthly observed
2.7Pre-pandemic baseline
1.29×Ratio to baseline
Pandemic filings ran near baseline. Tracked under Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Miami).
Frequently asked
About Modello
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for Modello?
Modello scores 5.1/10 (Moderate tier) across 7 census tracts. The pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income and poverty signals.
Q2
How does Modello compare to Leisure City overall?
Modello scores 1.4 points higher than Leisure City overall (3.7/10). Renters spend 56% of income on rent vs 48% citywide. Average rent: $1,714 vs $1,723.
Q3
What is the average rent in Modello?
Average gross rent in Modello is $1,714/month (pop-weighted across 7 census tracts, ACS 5-year 2023). 56% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q4
What percentage of Modello residents are renters?
54% of Modello households are renter-occupied (vs 56% in Leisure City). The neighborhood has 34,352 residents.
Q5
Is Modello a high social-vulnerability area?
Modello sits in the 87th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index (highly vulnerable). The index combines poverty, unemployment, household composition, racial/ethnic minority share, and housing/transportation factors across all US census tracts.
Q6
Which tracts in Modello have the highest eviction risk?
The highest-risk constituent tract in Modello is census tract 12086010804 (score 7.9/10). Across the 7 tracts in this neighborhood the score ranges from 3.1 to 7.9, a spread of 4.8 points.
Q7
How safe is Modello for landlords?
Modello carries a moderate-tier eviction-risk profile for landlords (5.1/10). Pop-weighted across 7 constituent tracts, the score blends parent-city rent-control posture, county eviction-process timelines, and tract-specific rent-to-income / poverty signals. Compared to Leisure City as a whole (3.7/10), this neighborhood is higher-risk.
Q8
What is the demographic breakdown of Modello?
Modello has 35,091 residents. Top groups: Hispanic / Latino (77.4%), Black (non-Hispanic) (12.3%), White (non-Hispanic) (8.4%). Source: ACS 5-year 2023, table B03002.
