Neighborhood · Leisure City, FL

Modello Eviction Risk: Moderate

7 census tracts · pop 34,352 · pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score 4.8/10 · range 2.1–5.8

Modello is a hispanic / latino neighborhood in Leisure City with 7 census tracts and a population of 34,352 residents. The neighborhood's pop-weighted eviction-risk score of 4.8/10 (Moderate tier) blends state law, county-level filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty. 56% of renters here pay at least 30% of household income on rent, and 38% are severely cost-burdened (≥50% of income). Average gross rent of $1,714/month sits 1% lower than the Leisure City citywide average ($1,723).

Risk score

4.8

Moderate

7 tracts · population-weighted

Modello vs Leisure City How this neighborhood stacks against the citywide average

% of income on rent

56.1% +18%

Leisure City: 47.5%

Average gross rent

$1,714 -1%

Leisure City: $1,723

Average HH income

$61,861 +21%

Leisure City: $51,017

Poverty rate

20.9% -1%

Leisure City: 21.1%

Renter share

53.7% -5%

Leisure City: 56.4%

Peer neighborhoods

Neighborhoods with similar eviction risk

Same county, closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Modello and the region

Click any tract to drill in · 7 tracts span score 2.1–5.8

Why Modello scores 4.8

9 axes · pop-weighted · 1 = landlord-friendly

State political climate

legislature & governorship · Range 1.5–1.5 across tracts

1.5

Regional political climate

County-level mix · 2024 presidential margin · Range 5.4–5.4 across tracts

5.4

Local political climate

Parent city governance · Range 1.5–5.8 across tracts

5.3

Rent control risk

56% of income on rent · Range 1.0–8.9 across tracts

2.7

Eviction process difficulty

State notice requirements & court backlog · Range 1.3–5.0 across tracts

1.9

Tenant organizing strength

54% renter households · Range 1.3–9.8 across tracts

3.4

Housing court bias

County bench composition · Range 1.6–9.0 across tracts

3.6

Economic stress

20.9% below poverty line · Range 1.5–7.3 across tracts

5.2

Supply constraint

Rent-to-FMR gap & zoning friction · Range 1.0–4.6 across tracts

2.4

Risk score comparison

Modello vs. parent city, state, U.S.

Eviction Risk Score (0–10 scale).

Variance across tracts

How uniformly does eviction risk play out in Modello?

Left: distribution of constituent tract scores. Right: every tract as a heat square. Click any square to drill in.

Score distribution

0246810

Spread of 3.7 points from 2.1 to 5.8. This neighborhood crosses multiple risk tiers, so block-by-block conditions vary substantially.

Tracts as heat grid

5.8 5.7 5.6 4.5 4.5 3.7 2.1

Each square = one census tract. Color tracks the same green→red ramp as the chloropleth map above.

Census tracts

7 tracts in Modello

Ranked highest-risk first. Click for per-tract detail.

Tract↕	Score↕	Pop↕	% over 30% on rent↕	Average rent↕
12086010804	5.8	7,232	59%	$1,616
12086010900	5.7	6,894	58%	$1,344
12086010805	5.6	5,535	63%	$1,680
12086011013	4.5	3,716	63%	$1,660
12086011012	4.5	2,268	70%	$2,133
12086011003	3.7	4,591	44%	$2,231
12086011105	2.1	4,116	37%	$1,794

Social Vulnerability Index

CDC SVI percentile: 87

Pop-weighted across 7 tracts. Higher = more vulnerable to disaster, displacement, and rent shocks. Source: CDC/ATSDR SVI 2022.

Socioeconomic status 88%ile

Poverty, unemployment, no-HS-diploma, housing cost burden

Household characteristics 83%ile

Single-parent HH, disability, language barriers, age 17- / 65+

Racial/ethnic minority 92%ile

Hispanic + non-white share of population

Housing & transport 64%ile

Multi-unit structures, mobile homes, crowding, no vehicle

Eviction filings · Princeton Eviction Lab

Court-record eviction history in Modello

Aggregated across 2 validated constituent tracts. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households, pop-weighted.

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

154Total filings (sum)
5.90%Avg annual filing rate
11.0%Peak year (2016)
6.38%Latest filed (2016)

Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)

1,140Total filings 2020-21
2.9Avg monthly observed
2.7Pre-pandemic baseline
1.29×Ratio to baseline

Pandemic filings ran near baseline. Tracked under Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Miami).

Frequently asked

About Modello

What is the eviction-risk score for Modello?

Modello scores 4.8/10 (Moderate tier) across 7 census tracts. The pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income and poverty signals.

How does Modello compare to Leisure City overall?

Modello scores 2.3 points higher than Leisure City overall (2.5/10). Renters spend 56% of income on rent vs 48% citywide. Average rent: $1,714 vs $1,723.

What is the average rent in Modello?

Average gross rent in Modello is $1,714/month (pop-weighted across 7 census tracts, ACS 5-year 2023). 56% of renter households are cost-burdened.

What percentage of Modello residents are renters?

54% of Modello households are renter-occupied (vs 56% in Leisure City). The neighborhood has 34,352 residents.

Is Modello a high social-vulnerability area?

Modello sits in the 87th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index (highly vulnerable). The index combines poverty, unemployment, household composition, racial/ethnic minority share, and housing/transportation factors across all US census tracts.

Which tracts in Modello have the highest eviction risk?

The highest-risk constituent tract in Modello is census tract 12086010804 (score 5.8/10). Across the 7 tracts in this neighborhood the score ranges from 2.1 to 5.8, a spread of 3.7 points.

How safe is Modello for landlords?

Modello carries a moderate-tier eviction-risk profile for landlords (4.8/10). Pop-weighted across 7 constituent tracts, the score blends parent-city rent-control posture, county eviction-process timelines, and tract-specific rent-to-income / poverty signals. Compared to Leisure City as a whole (2.5/10), this neighborhood is higher-risk.

What is the demographic breakdown of Modello?

Modello has 35,091 residents (Hispanic / Latino Neighborhood). Top groups: Hispanic / Latino (77.4%), Black (non-Hispanic) (12.3%), White (non-Hispanic) (8.4%). Source: ACS 5-year 2023, table B03002.

Nearby

Other neighborhoods near Modello

2.9 Crystal Cay 7 tracts · pop 31,726 2.7 Cutler Bay 6 tracts · pop 23,599 1.6 Palmetto Bay 3 tracts · pop 13,583 2 Centris 5 tracts · pop 22,677 3.2 Spanish Trace Condominums 11 tracts · pop 37,740 2.1 Pinecrest 4 tracts · pop 16,056

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