Within neighborhood
33
th percentile
Low
Neighborhood · Ranked #44,239 of 84,120 nationally
Modello Eviction Risk: Moderate , Leisure City
Tract 12086011013 · Miami-Dade, FL · pop 3,716 · neighborhood within 1.5 mi
Census tract 12086011013 covers part of the Modello area of Leisure City, FL, and scores 4.3/10 on landlord eviction risk. Population here is 3,716. Severe burden reaches 31%. Those are renters paying half their income or more, and that is where non-payment filings originate.
Risk score
4.3
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 12%
Stable renters 7%
Owners 81%
Tract context
Occupied units933
Renter share19.2%
SVI overall0.64
Poverty rate19.5%
Median income$68,426
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
25
th percentile
Low
Within county
48
th percentile
Moderate
Within state
63
th percentile
Elevated
Geographic context
Risk heat across Leisure City and the region
Centroid at 25.4977, -80.4203 · click any tract to drill in
Why Modello scores 4.3
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Leisure City
5.8
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.4
State political climate
Florida legislature & governorship
1.5
Economic stress
19.5% poverty · this tract
4.9
Supply constraint
$1,660 rent vs county FMR
2.1
Rent control risk
Inherited from Leisure City
1.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
1.3
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Leisure City
1.3
Housing court bias
Inherited from Leisure City
1.6
How Modello compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 64
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 77%Socioeconomic
- 74%Household composition
- 93%Racial/ethnic minority
- 16%Housing & transportation
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)
- 20Total filings 2020-21
- 0.3Avg monthly (observed)
- 0.5Pre-pandemic baseline
- 0.59×Ratio to baseline
Pandemic filings ran far below baseline (moratorium effect). Eviction Lab tracked Miami as part of its 34-metro Eviction Tracking System.
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within Modello. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Modello
The clearest offset is rent-regulation exposure at 1/10. Adults with no health insurance runs 30.1% against 11.3% nationally.
On the softer side, eviction-process difficulty reads 1.3/10. Running cool, tenant-organizing strength reads 1.3/10. The poverty rate is 19%, which in this model reads as reduced rent-recovery odds after a judgment.
Against Miami-Dade County at 57.9%, 63% of renters here are cost-burdened. Nationally it ranks #44,239 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty.
At 19% renter-occupied this is predominantly owner territory, and comps have to be drawn from further out. On the CDC Social Vulnerability Index the tract reads 6.8/10, which tracks how hard a shock lands on the households already here.
Of its three components the housing type and transport measure is the least pressured. It tracks the Miami-Dade County average of 4.6 closely. Average gross rent is $1,660, close to the Leisure City average.
These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.
Frequently asked
About tract 12086011013
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 12086011013?
Census tract 12086011013 in the Modello neighborhood scores 4.3/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 12086011013?
Median gross rent is $1,660/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 63% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 12086011013?
19.5% of residents in tract 12086011013 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,716.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 12086011013?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 64th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 77th, household 74th, minority 93th, housing 16th.
Q5
Is tract 12086011013 considered part of Modello?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 12086011013 fall within Modello (neighborhood centroid within 1.5 miles, OSM data).
Q6
Did eviction filings in tract 12086011013 drop during COVID?
Pandemic-era filings ran 0.59× the pre-COVID monthly baseline. Filings dropped sharply, likely a moratorium effect. Tracked by the Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Miami eviction risk), 2020-2021.
Q7
How does tract 12086011013 compare to Leisure City overall?
Tract 12086011013 scores 4.3/10, higher than the parent city of Leisure City at 3.7/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Leisure City; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Leisure City
Top eight tracts in Leisure City ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
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